🏷️ Likely Rental
105 S Court St · Lapeer, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.6/10.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$172,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Updated Duplex in Lapeer, close to everything. Both units have been updated (Flooring, kitchens, paint and bathroom's). Live in one/ rent the other (Howard st has good Tenant who would like to stay) or rent both. Rental Certified with City and one tenant already in place. 2 units with separate meters, each with laundry area. Court st unit: 2 bedroom (one on main floor), 1 bath, living rm, Kitchen with appliances has access to bsmt. Rents for $950mth Howard st unit (only available to see with accepted offer please do not disturb tenant) Ranch unit, 2 bedroom, 1 bath, living area, kitchen (with appliances), Laundry area (rents for $850) EZ walk to town or dinner. This is a great place to start your rental journey Roof was done in 2022.
Key facts
- Updated duplex
- Laundry area
- Roof was done
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $172k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $322 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $172k).
- Recommended offer: $162k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 3.6% in Lapeer — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#231 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: schools D+, employment D, commute F.
- Lapeer Community Schools (town): math 31% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #202 of 540 in MI (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 186 active listings in the ZIP; 152 units permitted in Lapeer County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lapeer County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($162k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 25 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $18k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $120k; 43% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.01%
- DSCR
- 1.36
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $293,792
- List price
- $172,000
- Delta
- -41.46%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 166 N Court St | 0.18mi | 4/2.0 | 2,277 (-5%) | 5mo | $173,100 | $76 | 79 |
| 617 Turnbull St | 0.42mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,385 (-1%) | 3mo | $375,000 | $157 | 70 |
| 287 S Elm St | 0.28mi | 4/2.0 | 2,300 (-4%) | 16mo | $150,000 | $65 | 67 |
| 538 S Elm St | 0.36mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,196 (-8%) | 2mo | $299,000 | $136 | 60 |
| 648 N Calhoun St | 0.55mi | 4/2.0 | 2,382 (-1%) | 24mo | $218,000 | $92 | 53 |
| 61 Old Carriage Ln | 0.37mi | 4/2.5 | 2,043 (-15%) | 10mo | $340,000 | $166 | 47 |
| 445 N Monroe St | 0.53mi | 4/1.5 | 2,655 (+11%) | 18mo | $195,000 | $73 | 40 |
| 1086 N Saginaw St | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,111 (-12%) | 5mo | $220,000 | $104 | 39 |
| 37 S Jackson St | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,668 (+11%) | 7mo | $55,000 | $21 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.85×
- Total profit
- $-7,417
- Equity at exit
- $25,646
- IRR
- 5.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.41×
- Total profit
- $19,789
- Equity at exit
- $14,871
Cash invested: $48,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48446
- Active inventory
- 186
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,790 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$902
- Tax from tax record
- −$118 /mo · $1,421/yr
- Insurance
- −$72
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$376
- Net cashflow
- $322
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $419 | -5% $370 | +0% $322 | +5% $273 | +10% $224 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $180 | -5% $251 | +0% $322 | +5% $392 | +10% $463 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $408 | -0.5pp $365 | base $322 | +0.5pp $277 | +1.0pp $232 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,000
- Closing costs
- $5,160
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 50 events
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2026-06-18days on market $172,000 Active 65 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $172,000 Active 64 DOM
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2026-06-16pricedays on market $172,000 Active 63 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $180,000 Active 62 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $180,000 Active 60 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $180,000 Active 56 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $180,000 Active 55 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $180,000 Active 54 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $180,000 Active 51 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $180,000 Active 50 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $180,000 Active 49 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $180,000 Active 48 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $180,000 Active 47 DOM
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2026-05-13price $180,000 743-char remark
Show marketing remark (750 chars)
Updated Duplex in Lapeer, close to everything. Both units have been updated (Flooring, kitchens, paint and bathroom's). Live in one/ rent the other (Howard st has good Tenant who would like to stay) or rent both. Rental Certified with City and one tenant already in place. 2 units with separate meters, each with laundry area. Court st unit: 2 bedroom (one on main floor), 1 bath, living rm, Kitchen with appliances has access to bsmt. Rents for $950mth Howard st unit (only available to see with accepted offer please do not disturb tenant) Ranch unit, 2 bedroom, 1 bath, living area, kitchen (with appliances), Laundry area (rents for $850) EZ walk to town or dinner. This is a great place to start your rental journey Roof was done in 2022.
-
2026-05-13price $180,000 750-char remark
Show marketing remark (750 chars)
Updated Duplex in Lapeer, close to everything. Both units have been updated (Flooring, kitchens, paint and bathroom's). Live in one/ rent the other (Howard st has good Tenant who would like to stay) or rent both. Rental Certified with City and one tenant already in place. 2 units with separate meters, each with laundry area. Court st unit: 2 bedroom (one on main floor), 1 bath, living rm, Kitchen with appliances has access to bsmt. Rents for $950mth Howard st unit (only available to see with accepted offer please do not disturb tenant) Ranch unit, 2 bedroom, 1 bath, living area, kitchen (with appliances), Laundry area (rents for $850) EZ walk to town or dinner. This is a great place to start your rental journey Roof was done in 2022.
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2026-04-13$189,900 Active 743-char remark
Show marketing remark (750 chars)
Updated Duplex in Lapeer, close to everything. Both units have been updated (Flooring, kitchens, paint and bathroom's). Live in one/ rent the other (Howard st has good Tenant who would like to stay) or rent both. Rental Certified with City and one tenant already in place. 2 units with separate meters, each with laundry area. Court st unit: 2 bedroom (one on main floor), 1 bath, living rm, Kitchen with appliances has access to bsmt. Rents for $950mth Howard st unit (only available to see with accepted offer please do not disturb tenant) Ranch unit, 2 bedroom, 1 bath, living area, kitchen (with appliances), Laundry area (rents for $850) EZ walk to town or dinner. This is a great place to start your rental journey Roof was done in 2022.
-
2026-04-13$189,900 Active 750-char remark
Show marketing remark (750 chars)
Updated Duplex in Lapeer, close to everything. Both units have been updated (Flooring, kitchens, paint and bathroom's). Live in one/ rent the other (Howard st has good Tenant who would like to stay) or rent both. Rental Certified with City and one tenant already in place. 2 units with separate meters, each with laundry area. Court st unit: 2 bedroom (one on main floor), 1 bath, living rm, Kitchen with appliances has access to bsmt. Rents for $950mth Howard st unit (only available to see with accepted offer please do not disturb tenant) Ranch unit, 2 bedroom, 1 bath, living area, kitchen (with appliances), Laundry area (rents for $850) EZ walk to town or dinner. This is a great place to start your rental journey Roof was done in 2022.
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2021-01-11soldstatus $120,000
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2021-01-05soldstatus $120,000 Sold
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2021-01-05soldstatus $120,000 Closed
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2020-11-26status Pending
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2020-11-26status Pending
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2020-10-16status Active
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2020-10-16status Active
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2020-10-08status Pending
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2020-10-08status Pending
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2020-09-14$129,900 Active
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2020-09-14$129,900 Active
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2019-12-17historical
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2019-12-17historical
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2019-12-17historical
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2019-12-17historical
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2019-08-31price $119,000
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2019-08-31price $119,000
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2019-08-31price $119,000
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2019-08-31price $119,000
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2019-08-19status Active
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2019-08-19status Active
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2019-08-19status Active
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2019-08-19status Active
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2019-07-19status Pending
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2019-07-19status Pending
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2019-07-19status Pending
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2019-07-19status Pending
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2019-07-19price $125,000
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2019-07-19price $125,000
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2019-07-18price $125,000
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2019-07-18price $125,000
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2019-06-25$129,000 Active
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2019-06-25$129,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,421 · $118/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,035 · $170/mo
- Expected delta
- +$614/yr (+$51/mo · 43.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,475
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,635
- − Property taxes
- −$1,421
- − Insurance
- −$860
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,718
- − Management
- −$1,718
- − Depreciation
- −$5,004
- Taxable income
- $1,119
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$269
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,591/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lapeer Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2621180
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,749
- Composite
- 34.79/100
- National rank
- #5113
- State rank
- #202 of 540 in MI
Livability — Lapeer
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #231
- US rank
- #5855
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lapeer, MI
- County
- Lapeer County · 30,581 people
- City population
- 30,581
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,581
- Household income
- $66,062
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 908.0
Population outlook (Lapeer County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 89,826 people
- By 2030
- 89,535 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 86,695 · -3.5%
- By 2050
- 80,566 · -10.3%
- By 2075
- 65,783 · -26.8%
- By 2100
- 46,584 · -48.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lapeer
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.8) · D 29.5% · R 69.3% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -36.8pp toward R · 2008: -3.0pp · 2024: -39.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.8 2020: R+36.3 2016: R+38.3 2012: R+11.5 2008: R+3.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -243.58%
- Current HPI
- 212.3665
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+157.5% since first listed72 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $180,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $180,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-13 Listed $189,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-13 Listed $189,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-01-11 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
- 2021-01-05 Sold (MLS) $120,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-01-05 Sold (MLS) $120,000 REALCOMP
- 2020-11-26 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-11-26 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2020-10-16 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-10-16 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2020-10-08 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-10-08 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2020-09-14 Listed $129,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-09-14 Listed $129,900 REALCOMP
- 2019-12-17 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2019-12-17 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2019-12-17 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-12-17 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-08-31 Price Changed $119,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-08-31 Price Changed $119,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-08-31 Price Changed $119,000 REALCOMP
- 2019-08-31 Price Changed $119,000 REALCOMP
- 2019-08-19 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-08-19 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-08-19 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2019-08-19 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2019-07-19 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-07-19 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-07-19 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2019-07-19 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2019-07-19 Price Changed $125,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-07-19 Price Changed $125,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-07-18 Price Changed $125,000 REALCOMP
- 2019-07-18 Price Changed $125,000 REALCOMP
- 2019-06-25 Listed $129,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-06-25 Listed $129,000 REALCOMP
- 2019-06-22 Listed $129,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-06-22 Listed $129,000 REALCOMP
- 2016-12-02 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-12-02 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-12-02 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-12-02 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2016-12-01 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2016-10-12 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2016-10-12 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-09-07 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2016-08-02 Price Changed $129,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-08-02 Price Changed $129,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-08-02 Price Changed $129,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-08-02 Price Changed $129,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-08-02 Price Changed $129,900 REALCOMP
- 2016-08-02 Price Changed $129,900 REALCOMP
- 2016-08-02 Price Changed $129,900 REALCOMP
- 2016-08-02 Price Changed $129,900 REALCOMP
- 2016-06-29 Listed $135,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-06-29 Listed $135,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-06-29 Listed $135,000 REALCOMP
- 2016-06-29 Listed $135,000 REALCOMP
- 2016-04-22 Listed $135,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-04-21 Listed $135,000 REALCOMP
- 2016-04-19 Listed $135,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-04-19 Listed $129,900 REALCOMP
- 2015-01-28 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2014-07-29 Listed $90,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2013-09-05 Sold (Public Records) $56,990 Public Records
- 2013-09-04 Sold (MLS) $56,990 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2013-09-04 Sold (MLS) $56,990 REALCOMP
- 2013-06-24 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2013-06-24 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2013-05-04 Listed $69,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2013-05-04 Listed $69,900 REALCOMP
Property tax history
-0.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,421 · -57.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…