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3907 Branch St 5-Plex
C- Composite 54.17
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.8/30.0
  • DSCR +7.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$419,000

3907 Branch St · Moss Point, MS 39563
15 bd · 8.0 ba · 4,272 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 111 Days on market
Built 1972 0.41 ac lot Est $337k · 24% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 5 units. confirmed

5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.

Listing remarks

8 Plex Apartment for sale near Hwy 90 and Hwy 63. Each unit consist of 2-bedroom 1 bath. 5 Apartments are rented, Property is in good condition

Key facts

  • 0.41 acre lot
  • Built 1972
  • Listed 111 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Assigned parking
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Water served by separate meters
  • Home design: Multi-family property; One level
  • Construction: Brick veneer and siding exterior; Slab foundation; Building area reported as 650 (source: public records); Year built (source: public records)
  • Exterior features: Shingle roof; Lot approximately 0.41 acres

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 8 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning; Window units for additional cooling
  • Interior features: 8 total bathrooms; Owner pays trash collection; Tenants pay utilities, cable TV, deposits, electricity, and water

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $419k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $809 ($10k/yr) — positive. Per door: $162/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $419k).
  • Recommended offer: $381k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 6.8% in Moss Point — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#77 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: health & safety D+, schools D, amenities F.
  • Moss Point Separate School District (suburban): math 17% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #94 of 130 in MS (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 86 active listings in the ZIP; 516 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $22k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $19k appreciation (4.6% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (4.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $117k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 111 days — a 9% lower offer ($381k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 9 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $381,290 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 111 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.04%
Cap rate
8.61%
Cash-on-cash
8.27%
DSCR
1.37
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$337,488
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6525 Jasmine St 0.17mi 16/8.0 (+1) 4,447 (+4%) 2mo $349,900 $79 79

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.6% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.0%
Equity multiple
2.18×
Total profit
$138,514
Equity at exit
$227,381
10-year hold
IRR
19.2%
Equity multiple
4.23×
Total profit
$378,769
Equity at exit
$384,352

Cash invested: $117,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39563

Home prices YoY
3.0%
Active inventory
86
Price-to-rent
40.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,343 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,197
Tax from tax record
$251 /mo · $3,006/yr
Insurance
$175
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$912
Net cashflow
$809

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,319
Max offer price $419,000
Occupancy floor 76%

5-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (5 units) $4,343

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$104,750
Closing costs
$12,570
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 32 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $419,000 Active 111 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $419,000 Active 110 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $419,000 Active 109 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $419,000 Active 108 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $419,000 Active 106 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $419,000 Active 105 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $419,000 Active 103 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $419,000 Active 102 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $419,000 Active 101 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $419,000 Active 100 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $419,000 Active 95 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $419,000 Active 94 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $419,000 Active 93 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $419,000 Active 92 DOM
  15. 2026-04-13
    price $419,000
  16. 2026-02-27
    listed $425,000 Active
  17. 2025-11-22
    historical
  18. 2025-11-21
    status Active
  19. 2025-01-05
    price $700
  20. 2024-11-09
    historical
  21. 2024-11-04
    listed $375,000 Active
  22. 2024-05-01
    listed $725
  23. 2024-03-15
    historical $650
  24. 2024-02-06
    listed $650
  25. 2021-10-01
    historical
  26. 2021-10-01
    historical
  27. 2021-09-01
    historical
  28. 2015-05-20
    soldstatus
  29. 2014-07-17
    listed $130,000
  30. 2014-02-03
    listed $176,000
  31. 2013-04-11
    listed $176,000
  32. 2011-09-20
    listed $195,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,006 · $251/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,310 · $276/mo
Expected delta
+$304/yr (+$25/mo · 10.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 74% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$52,116
− Mortgage interest
−$23,471
− Property taxes
−$3,006
− Insurance
−$2,095
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,169
− Management
−$4,169
− Depreciation
−$12,189
Taxable income
$3,017
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$724
After-tax cash flow
$8,979/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Moss Point Separate School District
NCES district ID
2803000
Math proficiency
17% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
22% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$38,041
Composite
16.34/100
National rank
#9205
State rank
#94 of 130 in MS

Livability — Moss Point

Score
67/100
State rank
#77
US rank
#10398

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Moss Point, MS
City population
12,023
Population (ZIP)
12,023

Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
146,926 people
By 2030
148,442 · +1.0%
By 2040
149,631 · +1.8%
By 2050
148,723 · +1.2%
By 2075
147,845 · +0.6%
By 2100
144,510 · -1.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (74%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 74% White 18% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 0%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Jackson

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.9) · D 29.5% · R 69.4% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-6.4pp toward R · 2008: -33.5pp · 2024: -39.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.9 2020: R+34.6 2016: R+39.9 2012: R+36.1 2008: R+33.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.60%
Current HPI
155.3138
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+114.9% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-13 Price Changed $419,000 MLSU
  • 2026-02-27 Listed $425,000 MLSU
  • 2025-11-22 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2025-11-21 Relisted MLSU
  • 2025-01-05 Price Changed $700 MLSU
  • 2024-11-09 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2024-11-04 Listed $375,000 MLSU
  • 2024-05-01 Listed for Rent $725 MLSU
  • 2024-03-15 Rental Removed $650 MLSU
  • 2024-02-06 Listed for Rent $650 MLSU
  • 2021-10-01 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2021-10-01 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2021-09-01 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2015-05-20 Sold (MLS) MLSU
  • 2014-07-17 Listed $130,000 MLSU
  • 2014-02-03 Listed $176,000 MLSU
  • 2013-04-11 Listed $176,000 MLSU
  • 2011-09-20 Listed $195,000 MLSU

Property tax history

+1.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,006 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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