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2637 Canary Dr
D Composite 43.39
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.4/30.0
  • DSCR +6.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +1.3/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$210,000

2637 Canary Dr · Brunswick, GA 31520
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,109 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 58 Days on market
Built 1960 9,583 sqft lot $189/sqft · 14% above area Est $184k · 14% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This 1960s gem is in the heart of town and is within walking distance of Southeast Georgia Health System and the College of Coastal Georgia. Whether you are looking for a starter home or an investment property, this 3-bedroom, 2-bath home is turn-key enough to move in today, and has plenty of room to add your own personal touches. There are hardwood floors throughout and new LVP flooring in the kitchen. The large backyard serves as a blank canvas for gardening or for outdoor entertainment. Schedule your showing today!

Key facts

  • Large backyard
  • Hardwood floors
  • 9,583 sq ft lot

Tags

HARDWOOD FLOORSLARGE BACKYARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $210k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $167 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $190k (9.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $190k (9.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 4.1% in Brunswick — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#401 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: crime D, schools D-, amenities F.
  • Glynn County (other): math 37% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #47 of 174 in GA (top 27%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 183 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 70% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 734 units permitted in Glynn County in 2024 (136 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,895/mo this rent would consume 57% of the median local household income ($40k/yr) (locally 1406% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Glynn County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($204k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $189,535 (9.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.90%
Cap rate
7.63%
Cash-on-cash
4.77%
DSCR
1.21
GRM
9.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$184,401
List price
$210,000
Delta
13.88%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3237 Willow Ave 0.27mi 3/2.0 1,092 (-2%) 11mo $212,000 $194 76
2706 Canary St 0.10mi 3/1.0 1,156 (+4%) 12mo $150,000 $130 74
3015 E 3rd St 0.29mi 3/1.0 1,164 (+5%) 1mo $219,900 $189 73
2722 Canary Dr 0.14mi 3/1.0 1,068 (-4%) 17mo $168,300 $158 69
2622 Fourth St 0.04mi 3/1.5 1,176 (+6%) 22mo $185,600 $158 68
2706 Canary Dr 0.10mi 3/1.0 1,264 (+14%) 2mo $215,000 $170 67
2630 Starling St 0.14mi 3/1.5 1,220 (+10%) 22mo $205,000 $168 56
2600 Cate St 0.55mi 3/2.0 1,020 (-8%) 6mo $153,750 $151 56
2441 Blain St 0.58mi 3/1.0 1,136 (+2%) 18mo $110,000 $97 50
3314 N Cleburne St 0.52mi 3/2.0 960 (-13%) 14mo $52,000 $54 41
2908 Maple Rd 0.52mi 3/1.0 1,242 (+12%) 20mo $170,000 $137 35
2400 Blain St 0.57mi 3/1.0 948 (-14%) 21mo $55,000 $58 28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.08% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.8%
Equity multiple
0.67×
Total profit
$-19,359
Equity at exit
$31,312
10-year hold
IRR
3.0%
Equity multiple
1.24×
Total profit
$14,029
Equity at exit
$18,157

Cash invested: $58,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31520

Rents YoY
5.1%
Active inventory
183
Price-to-rent
9.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,895 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,101
Tax from tax record
$75 /mo · $895/yr
Insurance
$88
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$398
Net cashflow
$167

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,683
Max offer price $210,000
Occupancy floor 86%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$52,500
Closing costs
$6,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2640 Canary Dr Brunswick, GA 4.0 2.0 1450 $2,200 $1.52 44d 1 0.03mi
3220 Altama Ave Brunswick, GA 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,650 $1.27 44d 1 0.43mi
900 Pointe Grand Way Brunswick, GA 2.0 2.0 1170 $1,520 $1.30 2d 10 0.67mi
1105 Fountain Lake Dr Brunswick, GA 2.0–3.0 2.0–2.5 1157 $1,575 $1.36 2d 6 0.94mi
3742 Ogg Ave Brunswick, GA 2.0 1.0 797 $1,250 $1.57 44d 1 1.00mi
3200 Cypress Mill Rd Brunswick, GA 2.0–3.0 2.0 1168 $1,485 $1.27 8d 13 1.04mi
2408 Gordon St Brunswick, GA 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,550 $1.41 44d 1 1.09mi
3602 Norwich St Brunswick, GA 3.0 1.0 1012 $1,550 $1.53 44d 1 1.09mi
3518 Hardee Ave Brunswick, GA 3.0 1.0 948 $1,550 $1.64 44d 1 1.13mi
2928 Reynolds St Brunswick, GA 4.0 1.0 1398 $1,800 $1.29 44d 1 1.27mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $210,000 Active 58 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $210,000 Active 57 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $210,000 Active 56 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $210,000 Active 55 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $210,000 Active 54 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $210,000 Active 52 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $210,000 Active 51 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $225,000 Active 49 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $225,000 Active 48 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $225,000 Active 47 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $225,000 Active 46 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $225,000 Active 43 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $225,000 Active 42 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $225,000 Active 41 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $225,000 Active 40 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $225,000 Active 39 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $225,000 Active 38 DOM
  18. 2026-05-12
    status Active 523-char remark
    Show marketing remark (523 chars)

    This 1960s gem is in the heart of town and is within walking distance of Southeast Georgia Health System and the College of Coastal Georgia. Whether you are looking for a starter home or an investment property, this 3-bedroom, 2-bath home is turn-key enough to move in today, and has plenty of room to add your own personal touches. There are hardwood floors throughout and new LVP flooring in the kitchen. The large backyard serves as a blank canvas for gardening or for outdoor entertainment. Schedule your showing today!

  19. 2026-04-29
    status Pending 523-char remark
    Show marketing remark (523 chars)

    This 1960s gem is in the heart of town and is within walking distance of Southeast Georgia Health System and the College of Coastal Georgia. Whether you are looking for a starter home or an investment property, this 3-bedroom, 2-bath home is turn-key enough to move in today, and has plenty of room to add your own personal touches. There are hardwood floors throughout and new LVP flooring in the kitchen. The large backyard serves as a blank canvas for gardening or for outdoor entertainment. Schedule your showing today!

  20. 2026-04-09
    listed $225,000 Active 523-char remark
    Show marketing remark (523 chars)

    This 1960s gem is in the heart of town and is within walking distance of Southeast Georgia Health System and the College of Coastal Georgia. Whether you are looking for a starter home or an investment property, this 3-bedroom, 2-bath home is turn-key enough to move in today, and has plenty of room to add your own personal touches. There are hardwood floors throughout and new LVP flooring in the kitchen. The large backyard serves as a blank canvas for gardening or for outdoor entertainment. Schedule your showing today!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$895 · $75/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,932 · $161/mo
Expected delta
+$1,037/yr (+$86/mo · 115.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 76% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,744
− Mortgage interest
−$11,763
− Property taxes
−$895
− Insurance
−$1,847
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,820
− Management
−$1,820
− Depreciation
−$6,109
Taxable loss
−$1,510
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$362
After-tax cash flow
$2,372/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Glynn County
NCES district ID
1302400
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$47,554
Composite
33.83/100
National rank
#5359
State rank
#47 of 174 in GA

Livability — Brunswick

Score
59/100
State rank
#401
US rank
#19832

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety D- User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Glynn County · 69,019 people
City population
51,239
Metro
Brunswick, GA
Population (ZIP)
22,313
Household income
$40,071
Rent vs Own
54.5% rent · 45.5% own
Severe rent burden
1406.0

Population outlook (Glynn County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
91,404 people
By 2030
94,806 · +3.7%
By 2040
100,060 · +9.5%
By 2050
103,258 · +13.0%
By 2075
107,970 · +18.1%
By 2100
103,363 · +13.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
Black 50% White 33% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 9% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 10% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Glynn

2024 margin
Strong R (+26.0) · D 36.8% · R 62.8%
2008→2024 swing
-2.6pp toward R · 2008: -23.4pp · 2024: -26.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+26.0 2020: R+23.2 2016: R+28.6 2012: R+27.0 2008: R+23.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -274.83%
Current HPI
180.4581
Rent YoY
▲ 5.08%
Metro
Brunswick, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Relisted GIAR
  • 2026-04-29 Pending GIAR
  • 2026-04-09 Listed $225,000 GIAR

Property tax history

+3.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $895 · +2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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