104 Lower Oak St · Wilmington, DE
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.26%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $476 – $884
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +13.7/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investor special in a prime Wilmington location with serious upside. This shell sits just minutes from the waterfront and directly across from a major redevelopment project expected to transform the area in the near future. Whether you’re looking for your next flip or a BRRRR opportunity, this property has strong potential for both short-term profit and long-term cash flow. The current layout offers the ability to restore it as a 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom, or explore adding a second-floor addition to create a 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom layout and maximize value. Solid foundation and great opportunity for the right investor to bring this one back to life. Property is boarded up, bring a screw gun to access the front door.
Key facts
- Solid foundation
- Waterfront
- Built 1906
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $763 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $82k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.5% vs local median 5.6% in Wilmington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#52 in DE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: employment D+, schools D, commute D.
- Christina School District (suburban): math 22% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #18 of 26 in DE (top 69%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.3%/yr); 167 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,367 units permitted in New Castle County in 2024 (201 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- New Castle County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.3% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 92 days — a 9% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $70k; 28% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1906 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 92 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1906 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.85% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- 36.39%
- DSCR
- 2.62
- GRM
- 4.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $104,332
- List price
- $89,900
- Delta
- -13.83%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Lower Oak St | 0.05mi | 2/1.0 | 850 (+3%) | 1mo | $112,500 | $132 | 91 |
| 2 Lower Oak St | 0.06mi | 2/1.5 | 850 (+3%) | 1mo | $112,500 | $132 | 89 |
| 1120 Beech St | 0.13mi | 2/1.0 | 825 (0%) | 6mo | $112,500 | $136 | 89 |
| 908 Marshall St | 0.09mi | 2/1.0 | 775 (-6%) | 1mo | $95,000 | $123 | 85 |
| 11 Cedar St | 0.12mi | 2/1.0 | 875 (+6%) | 4mo | $110,000 | $126 | 81 |
| 801 Wright St | 0.08mi | 2/1.0 | 750 (-9%) | 8mo | $95,000 | $127 | 74 |
| 420 S Van Buren St | 0.24mi | 2/1.0 | 875 (+6%) | 7mo | $67,500 | $77 | 73 |
| 105 Christina Lndg #704 | 0.64mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 825 (0%) | 1mo | $225,000 | $273 | 64 |
| 105-Unit Christina Lndg #307 | 0.65mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 825 (0%) | 2mo | $225,000 | $273 | 63 |
| 530 Harlan Blvd #510 | 0.35mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 912 (+10%) | 1mo | $282,500 | $310 | 60 |
| 530 Harlan Blvd #522 | 0.35mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 904 (+10%) | 8mo | $245,000 | $271 | 56 |
| 117 N Dupont St | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 | 875 (+6%) | 5mo | $138,000 | $158 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.35% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 35.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.58×
- Total profit
- $39,825
- Equity at exit
- $13,404
- IRR
- 44.1%
- Equity multiple
- 5.87×
- Total profit
- $122,681
- Equity at exit
- $7,773
Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 70 Landlord-Friendly
- State Delaware
- 70 Landlord-Friendly · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 19805
- Rents YoY
- 6.3%
- Active inventory
- 167
- Price-to-rent
- 4.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,663 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$471
- Tax from tax record
- −$42 /mo · $501/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$349
- Net cashflow
- $763
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,475
- Closing costs
- $2,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 128 Lower Oak St Wilmington, DE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 871 | $1,595 | $1.83 | 3d | 1 | 0.01mi |
| 231 5th Ave Wilmington, DE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,350 | $1.29 | 43d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 401 Justison St Wilmington, DE | 1.0 | 1.0 | 787 | $1,855 | $2.36 | 1d | 13 | 0.28mi |
| 331 Justison St Wilmington, DE | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 859 | $2,205 | $2.57 | 1d | 9 | 0.29mi |
| 1401 Maryland Ave Wilmington, DE | 1.0 | 1.0 | 612 | $1,275 | $2.08 | 43d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 1227 Linden St Wilmington, DE | 3.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $1,850 | $1.95 | 3d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1507 Coleman St Wilmington, DE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,495 | $2.30 | 24d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 1110 Read St Wilmington, DE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 20d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1114 Lancaster Ave Wilmington, DE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $1,400 | $1.81 | 24d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 101 Avenue of the Arts Wilmington, DE | 1.0 | 1.0 | 726 | $2,195 | $3.02 | 1d | 3 | 0.56mi |
| 105 Christina Landing Dr #1503 Wilmington, DE | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1025 | $2,500 | $2.44 | 16d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 105 Christina Landing Dr Wilmington, DE | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1025 | $2,400 | $2.34 | 10d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 545 Homestead Rd Wilmington, DE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,399 | $1.75 | 43d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1600 Bonwood Rd Wilmington, DE | 2.0 | 2.0 | 970 | $1,614 | $1.66 | 15d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1600 Bonwood Rd Wilmington, DE | 1.0 | 1.0 | 702 | $1,290 | $1.84 | 2d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 207 S DuPont St Wilmington, DE | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,495 | $1.50 | 18d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 115 Christina Landing Dr Wilmington, DE | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1195 | $2,796 | $2.34 | 1d | 13 | 0.66mi |
| 1815 Maple St Wilmington, DE | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,995 | $1.81 | 18d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 507 W 4th St Wilmington, DE | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1075 | $1,800 | $1.67 | 12d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 210 N Market St Wilmington, DE | 1.0 | 1.0 | 746 | $1,750 | $2.34 | 2d | 6 | 0.78mi |
| 225 W 4th St Unit 2 Wilmington, DE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,599 | $1.60 | 43d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 225 W 4th St Unit 1 Wilmington, DE | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,399 | $1.87 | 43d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 617 W 6th St Unit 617 B Wilmington, DE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,600 | $1.60 | 5d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 820 W 7th St Wilmington, DE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,650 | $1.65 | 43d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 517 N West St Wilmington, DE | 1.0 | 1.0 | 646 | $1,295 | $2.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 2 W 4th St Wilmington, DE | 1.0 | 1.0 | 623 | $1,908 | $3.06 | 3d | 5 | 0.82mi |
| 600 N Washington St Wilmington, DE | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,275 | $1.82 | 43d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 219 S Union St Unit B Wilmington, DE | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1075 | $1,150 | $1.07 | 24d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1215 W 7th St Apt 1 Wilmington, DE | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,275 | $1.27 | 18d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1000 W 8th St Unit 3 Wilmington, DE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,695 | $1.61 | 24d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 709 Windsor St Unit 3 Wilmington, DE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $1,500 | $1.53 | 43d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 711 Windsor St Wilmington, DE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $1,460 | $1.49 | 43d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 800 N Adams St Wilmington, DE | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,195 | $1.84 | 43d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1522 W 7th St Unit 1 Wilmington, DE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,800 | $2.00 | 4d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 401 A St Wilmington, DE | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 716 | $2,605 | $3.64 | 1d | 13 | 0.91mi |
| 802 N Broom St Apt 2 Wilmington, DE | 2.0 | 21.0 | 800 | $1,695 | $2.12 | 22d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 822 N Adams St Wilmington, DE | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,225 | $1.88 | 43d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 703 Orange St Wilmington, DE | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,475 | $1.84 | 43d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 801 N Orange St Wilmington, DE | 3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1118 | $3,211 | $2.87 | 2d | 117 | 1.02mi |
| 824 N West St Wilmington, DE | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,262 | $1.80 | 43d | 1 | 1.02mi |
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,900 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,900 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,900 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,900 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $89,900 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $89,900 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,900 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,900 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $89,900 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $89,900 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $89,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,900 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,900 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-04-15price $89,900 727-char remark
Show marketing remark (727 chars)
Investor special in a prime Wilmington location with serious upside. This shell sits just minutes from the waterfront and directly across from a major redevelopment project expected to transform the area in the near future. Whether you’re looking for your next flip or a BRRRR opportunity, this property has strong potential for both short-term profit and long-term cash flow. The current layout offers the ability to restore it as a 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom, or explore adding a second-floor addition to create a 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom layout and maximize value. Solid foundation and great opportunity for the right investor to bring this one back to life. Property is boarded up, bring a screw gun to access the front door.
-
2026-03-18$100,000 Active 727-char remark
Show marketing remark (727 chars)
Investor special in a prime Wilmington location with serious upside. This shell sits just minutes from the waterfront and directly across from a major redevelopment project expected to transform the area in the near future. Whether you’re looking for your next flip or a BRRRR opportunity, this property has strong potential for both short-term profit and long-term cash flow. The current layout offers the ability to restore it as a 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom, or explore adding a second-floor addition to create a 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom layout and maximize value. Solid foundation and great opportunity for the right investor to bring this one back to life. Property is boarded up, bring a screw gun to access the front door.
-
2024-11-01soldstatus $70,000
-
2019-09-20soldstatus $29,900 Closed
-
2019-09-11status Pending
-
2019-09-03historical
-
2019-09-02price $29,900
-
2019-08-31status Active
-
2019-08-27historical Active Under Contract
-
2019-08-23status Pending
-
2019-08-08historical Active Under Contract
-
2019-06-28price $34,900
-
2019-06-17$39,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast DE · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $501 · $42/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $511 · $43/mo
- Expected delta
- +$10/yr (+$1/mo · 2.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 26% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,960
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,036
- − Property taxes
- −$501
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,597
- − Management
- −$1,597
- − Depreciation
- −$2,615
- Taxable income
- $8,164
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,959
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,201/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Christina School District
- NCES district ID
- 1000200
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,838
- Composite
- 24.93/100
- National rank
- #7567
- State rank
- #18 of 26 in DE
Livability — Wilmington
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #52
- US rank
- #14251
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Wilmington, DE
- County
- New Castle County · 483,412 people
- City population
- 173,480
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,402
- Household income
- $60,221
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1730.0
Population outlook (New Castle County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 594,686 people
- By 2030
- 609,164 · +2.4%
- By 2040
- 632,154 · +6.3%
- By 2050
- 649,068 · +9.1%
- By 2075
- 687,771 · +15.7%
- By 2100
- 694,961 · +16.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 37% Black 32% Hispanic / Latino 25% Two or more races 10%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10% Puerto Rican 10% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 18% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · New Castle
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+32.6) · D 65.5% · R 32.9% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.1pp toward R · 2008: 40.6pp · 2024: 32.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+32.6 2020: D+37.1 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+34.1 2008: D+40.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -291.16%
- Current HPI
- 259.1455
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.35%
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+125.3% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-15 Price Changed $89,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-18 Listed $100,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
- 2019-09-20 Sold (MLS) $29,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-09-11 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-09-03 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-09-02 Price Changed $29,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-08-31 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-08-27 Contingent — BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-08-23 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-08-08 Contingent — BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-06-28 Price Changed $34,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-06-17 Listed $39,900 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+3.9%/yrLatest (2024): $501 · +2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…