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7325 Boyer Rd
B Composite 71.78
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +2.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0

$39,000

7325 Boyer Rd · Fort Garland, CO 81133
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 480 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 17 Days on market
Built 2011 5.06 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Manifest the ultimate opportunity to create your dream retreat with this unfinished cabin nestled in the breathtaking foothills of the Sangre de Cristo mountain range. Located in the desirable Sangre de Cristo Ranches Subdivision, this property offers a blank canvas for you to design and finish to your personal taste. Surrounded by a wealth of recreational activities, you can enjoy fishing and boating at Mountain Home Reservoir and Smith Reservoir, as well as hiking, biking, and hunting in the stunning landscapes nearby. With the Great Sand Dunes National Park and Preserve just a short drive away, your outdoor adventures are limitless. Embrace the chance to own a piece of Colorado paradise

Key facts

  • Smith reservoir
  • 5.06 acre lot
  • Built 2011

Tags

MOUNTAIN HOME RESERVOIRSMITH RESERVOIR

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot size approximately 5.06 acres
  • Financial info: Pets allowed

Exterior

  • Utilities: Cistern water; Septic tank sewer; Cellular phone reception
  • Home design: Single-story; Residential single family; Possible residential or recreational use
  • Construction: Wood siding; Wood frame construction; Stick built; Metal roof
  • Exterior features: Shed(s); Property has a view; Located on a cul-de-sac; Foothills setting; Wooded lot; Off-grid characteristic; County road frontage; Dirt road access

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Wood heating; Wood stove
  • Interior features: Unfurnished; Other interior features

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $39k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $489 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($956 rent vs $39k).
  • Recommended offer: $38k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 21.3% vs local median 1.7% in Fort Garland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 54/100 on livability (#364 in CO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A, housing A; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, crime F.
  • Sierra Grande School District No. R-30 (rural): math 20% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #148 of 176 in CO (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 591 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-1.2%/yr); year-one equity from $270 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $457 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Costilla County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-1.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($38k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $5k; list at $39k implies a 680% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $38,415 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.45%
Cap rate
21.33%
Cash-on-cash
53.70%
DSCR
3.39
GRM
3.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.17% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
53.9%
Equity multiple
3.55×
Total profit
$27,897
Equity at exit
$9,094
10-year hold
IRR
57.4%
Equity multiple
7.16×
Total profit
$67,287
Equity at exit
$9,280

Cash invested: $10,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
38 Tenant-Leaning
State Colorado
38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2023 reforms: 10-day cure, mandated notice, source-of-income protected. Courts backlogged in Denver.

ZIP-level market 81133

Home prices YoY
-0.7%
Active inventory
591
Price-to-rent
3.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$956 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$205
Tax from tax record
$46 /mo · $554/yr
Insurance
$16
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$201
Net cashflow
$489

Break-even live

Break-even rent $338
Max offer price $39,000
Occupancy floor 44%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $511 -5% $500 +0% $489 +5% $478 +10% $467
Rent -10% $413 -5% $451 +0% $489 +5% $526 +10% $564
Rate -1.0pp $508 -0.5pp $499 base $489 +0.5pp $479 +1.0pp $468

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$9,750
Closing costs
$1,170
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $39,000 Active 17 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $39,000 Active 16 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $39,000 Active 15 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $39,000 Active 14 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $39,000 Active 12 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $39,000 Active 11 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $39,000 Active 9 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $39,000 Active 8 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $39,000 Active 7 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $39,000 Active 6 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $39,000 Active 3 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $39,000 Active 2 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    remarks 699-char remark
  14. 2026-06-02
    listed $39,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$554 · $46/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$554 · $46/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥82°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,477
− Mortgage interest
−$2,185
− Property taxes
−$554
− Insurance
−$195
− Repairs & maintenance
−$918
− Management
−$918
− Depreciation
−$1,135
Taxable income
$5,573
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,337
After-tax cash flow
$4,526/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sierra Grande School District No. R-30
NCES district ID
0804140
Math proficiency
20% ▲ 10.00%
Reading proficiency
25% ▲ 10.00%
Median HH income
$34,865
Composite
21.67/100
National rank
#13595
State rank
#148 of 176 in CO

Livability — Fort Garland

Score
54/100
State rank
#364
US rank
#24220

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
1,056

Population outlook (Costilla County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
3,560 people
By 2030
3,524 · -1.0%
By 2040
3,393 · -4.7%
By 2050
3,226 · -9.4%
By 2075
3,027 · -15.0%
By 2100
2,637 · -25.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 54% Hispanic / Latino 38% Two or more races 26% Black 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 29%
Common ancestry
Russian 8% Serbian 7% Italian 6%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 14% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Costilla

2024 margin
D (+14.7) · D 55.5% · R 40.9% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-34.2pp toward R · 2008: 48.9pp · 2024: 14.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+14.7 2020: D+27.2 2016: D+29.0 2012: D+48.6 2008: D+48.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1.17%
Current HPI
162.9232
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.95%
F500 in state
14

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+680.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Listed $39,000 cren
  • 2005-09-07 Sold (Public Records) $5,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+11.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $554 · +6.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…