RC Franklin Plan · Broken Arrow, OK 74014

$221,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,243 sqft · SingleFamily · 416 Days on market

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Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +10.5/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +3.9/5.0
• 1% rule +3.1/10.0
• DSCR +3.0/10.0
• Rent growth +3.0/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.4/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Key facts

• Spacious great room
• Attached bathroom
• Walk-in closet

Tags

• SINGLE FLOOR
• OPEN-PLAN LAYOUT
• PENINSULA-STYLE KITCHEN
• SPACIOUS GREAT ROOM
• ATTACHED BATHROOM
• WALK-IN CLOSET

Property features AI

Finance

• Financial info: List price $221,000

Exterior

• Parking: 2 total parking spaces; 2-car garage
• Home design: Plan: RC Franklin; Inventory type: Plan

Interior

• Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Interior features: Living area approximately 1,243

🏗️ New construction. The $221,000 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $246,114.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $221k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-128 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $199k (9.9% below list).
• Recommended offer: $194k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 4.0% in Broken Arrow — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 78/100 on livability (#7 in OK, #2,691 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F.
• Broken Arrow (suburban): math 23% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #79 of 270 in OK (top 29%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Zoned schools: Highland Park Es (math 41% / reading 33%, grade F, #132 of 845 statewide, top 19%, 698 students, 0% FRL); Oneta Ridge Ms (math 25% / reading 26%, grade F, #84 of 345 statewide, top 26%, 924 students, 0% FRL); Broken Arrow Hs (math 22% / reading 36%, grade F, #120 of 447 statewide, top 27%, 4,589 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 33% district-wide (33 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.1%/yr); 655 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 581 units permitted in Wagoner County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Wagoner County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 416 days — a 12% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $194,480 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 416 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.81% ✗
• Cap rate: 5.67%
• Cash-on-cash: -2.22%
• DSCR: 0.90
• GRM: 10.3

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $246,114
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
8101 E Princeton St	0.13mi	3/1.0	1,243 (0%)	8mo	$230,505	$185	84
1401 N 83rd St	0.25mi	3/2.0	1,243 (0%)	9mo	$234,565	$189	81
8005 E Lansing St	0.15mi	3/2.0	1,301 (+5%)	5mo	$211,500	$163	81
8007 E Princeton St	0.13mi	3/2.0	1,143 (-8%)	6mo	$227,075	$199	75
8209 E Princeton St	0.16mi	3/2.0	1,143 (-8%)	7mo	$227,175	$199	74
8300 E Oakland St	0.60mi	3/2.0	1,243 (0%)	8mo	$231,565	$186	65
8400 E Princeton St	0.18mi	3/2.0	1,422 (+14%)	9mo	$251,590	$177	60
8218 E Oakland St	0.60mi	3/2.0	1,143 (-8%)	6mo	$226,805	$198	54
8305 E Oakland St	0.58mi	3/2.0	1,143 (-8%)	8mo	$231,125	$202	53
8312 E Oakland St	0.60mi	3/2.0	1,143 (-8%)	7mo	$226,375	$198	53
8222 E Oakland St	0.60mi	3/2.0	1,143 (-8%)	8mo	$227,375	$199	52
1414 N 83rd St	0.38mi	3/2.0	1,422 (+14%)	7mo	$250,590	$176	52

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.12% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -21.0%
• Equity multiple: 0.28×
• Total profit: $-49,731
• Equity at exit: $36,696

10-year hold

• IRR: -16.4%
• Equity multiple: 0.12×
• Total profit: $-60,700
• Equity at exit: $21,279

Cash invested: $68,912 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Oklahoma: 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 74014

• Rents YoY: 2.1%
• Active inventory: 655
• Price-to-rent: 9.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,991 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,291
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$308 /mo · $3,692/yr
• Insurance: −$103
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$418
• Net cashflow: $-128

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,153

Max offer price $227,639

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $42	-5% $-43	+0% $-128	+5% $-213	+10% $-298
Rent	-10% $-285	-5% $-206	+0% $-128	+5% $-49	+10% $30
Rate	-1.0pp $-4	-0.5pp $-65	base $-128	+0.5pp $-191	+1.0pp $-256

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $61,528
• Closing costs: $7,383
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 2 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
8307 E Queens St Broken Arrow, OK	3.0	2.0	1446	$1,750	$1.21	25d	1	0.70mi
8307 E Queens St Broken Arrow, OK	3.0	2.0	1446	$1,750	$1.21	16d	1	0.70mi

Listing history 15 events

1. 2026-06-22
   days on market $221,000 Active 416 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $221,000 Active 413 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $221,000 Active 412 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $221,000 Active 411 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $221,000 Active 410 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $221,000 Active 408 DOM
7. 2026-06-10
   days on market $221,000 Active 405 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $221,000 Active 404 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $221,000 Active 403 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $221,000 Active 402 DOM
11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $221,000 Active 399 DOM
12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $221,000 Active 398 DOM
13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $221,000 Active 397 DOM
14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $221,000 Active 396 DOM
15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $221,000 Active 395 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $23,896
• − Mortgage interest: −$13,786
• − Property taxes: −$3,692
• − Insurance: −$1,231
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,912
• − Management: −$1,912
• − Depreciation: −$7,160
• Taxable loss: −$5,795
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$1,391
• After-tax cash flow: $-141/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Broken Arrow
• NCES district ID: 4005490
• Math proficiency: 23% ▼ -9.00%
• Reading proficiency: 28% ▼ -9.00%
• Median HH income: $64,646
• Composite: 23.86/100
• National rank: #7801
• State rank: #79 of 270 in OK

Livability — Broken Arrow

• Score: 78/100
• State rank: #7
• US rank: #2691

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Broken Arrow, OK
• County: Wagoner County · 61,834 people
• City population: 144,172
• Metro: Tulsa, OK
• Population (ZIP): 45,212
• Household income: $95,501
• Rent vs Own: 12.1% rent · 87.9% own
• Severe rent burden: 289.0

Population outlook (Wagoner County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 84,796 people
• By 2030: 88,162 · +4.0%
• By 2040: 93,882 · +10.7%
• By 2050: 98,219 · +15.8%
• By 2075: 106,561 · +25.7%
• By 2100: 109,360 · +29.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (69%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 69% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 11% Native American 6% Asian 4% Black 3%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 8%
• Common ancestry: Italian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 7% · Canada
• Languages at home: 89% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wagoner

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+49.8) · D 24.2% · R 74.0% · Other 1.8%
• 2008→2024 swing: -8.0pp toward R · 2008: -41.8pp · 2024: -49.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+49.8 2020: R+50.1 2016: R+52.0 2012: R+45.7 2008: R+41.8

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -206.67%
• Current HPI: 203.7301
• Rent YoY: ▲ 2.12%
• Metro: Tulsa, OK
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.55%
• F500 in state: 6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	3	$48B