39761 State Highway 59 · Rosedale, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 10.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.3/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
$90,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Nestled on a private, wooded 2 acre lot just off State Highway 59 and a convenient 20 miles from Purcell, this 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home presents a fantastic opportunity. This home awaits your personal touch while offering a serene escape and the potential to create the perfect starter home in a desirable location with ample outdoor space.
Key facts
- Ample outdoor space
- Private wooded lot
- 2 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property listed as active; Occupied; No conditions affecting sale
- Financial info: Loan financing available; Not assumable
- HOA & community: No mandatory association dues
Exterior
- Utilities: Cable available; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Public utilities
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Existing property; Homestead eligible
- Construction: Frame construction; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Built prior to or in assessor records (living area source: assessor)
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Rural, wooded lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Free-standing electric range; Free-standing electric oven
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central gas heating
- Interior features: Water heater; No fireplace; One living area
- Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookups not specified
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $408 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 49/100 on livability (#685 in OK) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Wayne (rural): math 11% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #219 of 270 in OK (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Wayne Es (math 22% / reading 22%, grade F, #413 of 845 statewide, top 54%, 204 students, 0% FRL); Wayne Hs (math 5% / reading 24%, grade F, #332 of 447 statewide, top 78%, 146 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 59% district-wide (59 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 14 active listings in the ZIP; 334 units permitted in McClain County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($622 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- McClain County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 161 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $44k; list at $90k implies a 105% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 161 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.33% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.41%
- DSCR
- 1.86
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.46×
- Total profit
- $36,771
- Equity at exit
- $40,468
- IRR
- 26.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.75×
- Total profit
- $94,484
- Equity at exit
- $62,366
Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74831
- Active inventory
- 14
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,198 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$472
- Tax from tax record
- −$29 /mo · $350/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$252
- Net cashflow
- $408
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,500
- Closing costs
- $2,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-04-23status Pending
-
2025-11-13$90,000 Active
-
2025-10-27historical
-
2025-08-06price $90,000
-
2025-06-13status Active
-
2025-05-19status Pending
-
2025-05-12$100,000 Active
-
2024-12-17historical
-
2024-12-16historical
-
2024-10-08price $149,900
-
2024-10-08price $149,900
-
2024-08-15$153,000 Active
-
2024-06-18$153,000 Active
-
2024-06-13historical
-
2024-04-10price $156,000
-
2024-03-17price $160,000
-
2024-02-13price $165,000
-
2023-12-12$170,000 Active
-
2016-08-09historical
-
2013-07-22soldstatus $44,000
-
2012-12-09$51,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $350 · $29/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $810 · $67/mo
- Expected delta
- +$460/yr (+$38/mo · 131.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,374
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,041
- − Property taxes
- −$350
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,150
- − Management
- −$1,150
- − Depreciation
- −$2,618
- Taxable income
- $3,614
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$867
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,024/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wayne
- NCES district ID
- 4032010
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 19% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,370
- Composite
- 13.2/100
- National rank
- #9554
- State rank
- #219 of 270 in OK
Livability — Rosedale
- Score
- 49/100
- State rank
- #685
- US rank
- #25972
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 713
Population outlook (McClain County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 46,053 people
- By 2030
- 50,081 · +8.7%
- By 2040
- 58,231 · +26.4%
- By 2050
- 66,276 · +43.9%
- By 2075
- 86,558 · +88.0%
- By 2100
- 100,421 · +118.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Native American 13% Two or more races 4% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 1% European 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Vietnamese 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · McClain
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+60.6) · D 18.8% · R 79.5% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.8pp toward R · 2008: -51.8pp · 2024: -60.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+60.6 2020: R+60.9 2016: R+60.9 2012: R+55.4 2008: R+51.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+76.5% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-23 Pending — MLSOK
- 2025-11-13 Listed $90,000 MLSOK
- 2025-10-27 Listing Removed — MLSOK
- 2025-08-06 Price Changed $90,000 MLSOK
- 2025-06-13 Relisted — MLSOK
- 2025-05-19 Pending — MLSOK
- 2025-05-12 Listed $100,000 MLSOK
- 2024-12-17 Listing Removed — MLSOK
- 2024-12-16 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2024-10-08 Price Changed $149,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2024-10-08 Price Changed $149,900 MLSOK
- 2024-08-15 Listed $153,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2024-06-18 Listed $153,000 MLSOK
- 2024-06-13 Listing Removed — MLSOK
- 2024-04-10 Price Changed $156,000 MLSOK
- 2024-03-17 Price Changed $160,000 MLSOK
- 2024-02-13 Price Changed $165,000 MLSOK
- 2023-12-12 Listed $170,000 MLSOK
- 2016-08-09 Listing Removed — MLSOK
- 2013-07-22 Sold (MLS) $44,000 MLSOK
- 2012-12-09 Listed $51,000 MLSOK
Property tax history
+3.3%/yrLatest (2025): $350 · +5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…