6597 County Road 170 · Hillsboro, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 23.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.6/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$71,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3 bed 1 bath on almost an acre of land (.90 of a acre) needs a little TLC. Roof replaced 2019.
Key facts
- 0.9 acre lot
- Built 1965
- Listed 74 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $72k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $346 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($978 rent vs $72k).
- Recommended offer: $68k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#134 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Lawrence County (rural): math 14% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #85 of 129 in AL (top 66%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: East Lawrence Elementary School (math 17% / reading 47%, grade F, #331 of 627 statewide, top 57%, 546 students, 70% FRL); East Lawrence Middle School (math 15% / reading 39%, grade F, #147 of 257 statewide, top 58%, 419 students, 78% FRL); East Lawrence High School (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #195 of 305 statewide, top 68%, 474 students, 67% FRL) — zoned schools average 71% FRL vs 52% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 85 active listings in the ZIP; 5 units permitted in Lawrence County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $497 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lawrence County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 74 days — a 6% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $30k; list at $72k implies a 140% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 23% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 74 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.36% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.07%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.64%
- DSCR
- 1.92
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $60,000
- List price
- $71,900
- Delta
- 19.83%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6597 County Road 170 | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 996 (-7%) | 0mo | $60,000 | $60 | 88 |
| 124 County Road 575 | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,028 (-4%) | 10mo | $25,000 | $24 | 53 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.52×
- Total profit
- $10,370
- Equity at exit
- $10,721
- IRR
- 21.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.85×
- Total profit
- $37,307
- Equity at exit
- $6,217
Cash invested: $20,132 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35673
- Home prices YoY
- -7.0%
- Active inventory
- 85
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $978 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$377
- Tax from tax record
- −$19 /mo · $234/yr
- Insurance
- −$30
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$205
- Net cashflow
- $346
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $387 | -5% $367 | +0% $346 | +5% $326 | +10% $305 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $269 | -5% $308 | +0% $346 | +5% $385 | +10% $423 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $382 | -0.5pp $364 | base $346 | +0.5pp $328 | +1.0pp $309 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,975
- Closing costs
- $2,157
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-18status Pending 94-char remark
Show marketing remark (94 chars)
3 bed 1 bath on almost an acre of land (.90 of a acre) needs a little TLC. Roof replaced 2019.
-
2026-04-01price $71,900 94-char remark
Show marketing remark (94 chars)
3 bed 1 bath on almost an acre of land (.90 of a acre) needs a little TLC. Roof replaced 2019.
-
2026-03-05$76,900 Active 94-char remark
Show marketing remark (94 chars)
3 bed 1 bath on almost an acre of land (.90 of a acre) needs a little TLC. Roof replaced 2019.
-
2004-11-02soldstatus $30,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $234 · $19/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $295 · $25/mo
- Expected delta
- +$61/yr (+$5/mo · 26.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 23% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,737
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,028
- − Property taxes
- −$234
- − Insurance
- −$360
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$939
- − Management
- −$939
- − Depreciation
- −$2,092
- Taxable income
- $3,147
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$755
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,399/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lawrence County
- NCES district ID
- 0102040
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -25.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,669
- Composite
- 21.9/100
- National rank
- #8230
- State rank
- #85 of 129 in AL
Livability — Hillsboro
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #134
- US rank
- #13236
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,679
Population outlook (Lawrence County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 30,827 people
- By 2030
- 29,343 · -4.8%
- By 2040
- 26,268 · -14.8%
- By 2050
- 23,052 · -25.2%
- By 2075
- 17,414 · -43.5%
- By 2100
- 13,600 · -55.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7% Native American 4% Black 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Italian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 6% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lawrence
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+62.3) · D 18.5% · R 80.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -34.3pp toward R · 2008: -28.0pp · 2024: -62.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+62.3 2020: R+54.6 2016: R+48.7 2012: R+27.0 2008: R+28.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -18.40%
- Current HPI
- 245.1236
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
+139.7% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Pending — VMLS
- 2026-04-01 Price Changed $71,900 VMLS
- 2026-03-05 Listed $76,900 VMLS
- 2004-11-02 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-2.2%/yrLatest (2025): $234 · -50.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…