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3450 Mountain Rd Unit M59
B- Composite 65.53
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.0/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +9.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$155,000

3450 Mountain Rd Unit M59 · Shartlesville, PA 19526
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,176 sqft · Manufactured public records · 46 Days on market
Built 2020 Good condition $132/sqft · 25% above area Est $124k · 25% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Tucked into a peaceful campground setting, this beautifully maintained 3-bedroon, 2-bathroom mobile home offers the perfect blend of comfort, charm, and relaxing outdoor living. Surrounded by nature and set within a quiet community, this home provides a retreat-like atmosphere while still offering all the conveniences of everyday living. Don't miss this oppertunity to own a charming home where relaxation meets affordability.

Key facts

  • 2 parking spots
  • Community pool
  • Built 2020

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $155k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $369 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
  • Recommended offer: $150k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#1,447 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: employment D, schools D-, amenities F.
  • Hamburg Area SD (other): math 31% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #377 of 539 in PA (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 46 active listings in the ZIP; 258 units permitted in Berks County in 2024 (27 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $17k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Berks County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $43k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $150,350 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.16%
Cap rate
9.66%
Cash-on-cash
12.04%
DSCR
1.54
GRM
7.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$123,982
List price
$155,000
Delta
25.02%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
15 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
31.7%
Equity multiple
3.49×
Total profit
$107,940
Equity at exit
$139,636
10-year hold
IRR
27.4%
Equity multiple
7.90×
Total profit
$299,418
Equity at exit
$301,131

Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 19526

Home prices YoY
4.6%
Active inventory
46
Price-to-rent
7.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,805 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$813
Tax from tax record
$113 /mo · $1,357/yr
Insurance
$65
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$379
Net cashflow
$369

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,338
Max offer price $155,000
Occupancy floor 75%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$38,750
Closing costs
$4,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-02
    status $155,000 Pending 46 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    days on market $155,000 Active 46 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $155,000 Active 45 DOM
  4. 2026-04-16
    listed $155,000 Active 428-char remark
    Show marketing remark (428 chars)

    Tucked into a peaceful campground setting, this beautifully maintained 3-bedroon, 2-bathroom mobile home offers the perfect blend of comfort, charm, and relaxing outdoor living. Surrounded by nature and set within a quiet community, this home provides a retreat-like atmosphere while still offering all the conveniences of everyday living. Don't miss this oppertunity to own a charming home where relaxation meets affordability.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,357 · $113/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,903 · $159/mo
Expected delta
+$546/yr (+$46/mo · 40.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,661
− Mortgage interest
−$8,682
− Property taxes
−$1,357
− Insurance
−$1,572
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,733
− Management
−$1,733
− Depreciation
−$4,509
Taxable income
$2,074
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$498
After-tax cash flow
$3,931/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This well-maintained mobile home in a peaceful setting offers a good starting point for potential buyers or renters. A fresh coat of paint on the exterior siding would significantly enhance its curb appeal and value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Clean and maintain gutters — Keeps the home looking well-maintained and can prevent water damage

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Clean and maintain gutters — Keeps the home looking well-maintained and can prevent water damage

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hamburg Area SD
NCES district ID
4211340
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -15.00%
Median HH income
$55,589
Composite
32.5/100
National rank
#5705
State rank
#377 of 539 in PA

Livability — Shartlesville

Score
60/100
State rank
#1447
US rank
#18555

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
333
Population (ZIP)
11,412

Population outlook (Berks County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
425,767 people
By 2030
428,814 · +0.7%
By 2040
433,463 · +1.8%
By 2050
439,426 · +3.2%
By 2075
478,647 · +12.4%
By 2100
518,507 · +21.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 3% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Polish 7% Romanian 4% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Berks

2024 margin
R (+12.2) · D 43.4% · R 55.6%
2008→2024 swing
-21.4pp toward R · 2008: 9.2pp · 2024: -12.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+12.2 2020: R+8.2 2016: R+10.2 2012: R+0.6 2008: D+9.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 13.13%
Current HPI
299.1168
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-16 Listed $155,000 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+0.4%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,357 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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