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527 County Line Church Rd
B+ Composite 75.58
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +7.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$65,000

527 County Line Church Rd · Haleyville, AL 35565
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,624 sqft · Manufactured public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1998 4.00 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Looking for a property with potential? This doublewide manufactured home sits on approximately 4 acres of unrestricted land, offering endless possibilities for investors, renovators, or anyone seeking a country setting with room to grow. The home is in need of repair and is being sold as-is, making it a great opportunity to customize to your needs or create an income-producing property. The acreage provides plenty of space for additional homesites, recreational use, gardening, animals, or future development. A valuable bonus is the additional power hookup already in place, providing flexibility for another residence, RV, workshop, or guest setup.

Key facts

  • Unrestricted land
  • 4 acre lot
  • Built 1998

Tags

DOUBLEWIDE MANUFACTURED HOMEAPPROXIMATELY 4 ACRESUNRESTRICTED LANDADDITIONAL POWER HOOKUP

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No designated parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer
  • Home design: Residential mobile home
  • Exterior features: 4-acre lot; Directions: North on County Line Church Rd; property on the right

Interior

  • Interior features: No basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $506 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
  • Cap rate 15.6% vs local median 4.5% in Haleyville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#287 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Marion County (rural): math 20% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #56 of 129 in AL (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 77 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($449 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (4.6% local appreciation)).
  • Marion County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (4.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $65,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.74%
Cap rate
15.64%
Cash-on-cash
33.36%
DSCR
2.48
GRM
4.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$133,168
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
491 County Line Church Rd 0.02mi 3/2.0 1,664 (+2%) 12mo $136,000 $82 85

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.62% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
41.7%
Equity multiple
3.52×
Total profit
$45,802
Equity at exit
$35,358
10-year hold
IRR
40.0%
Equity multiple
7.11×
Total profit
$111,254
Equity at exit
$59,836

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35565

Home prices YoY
3.5%
Active inventory
77
Price-to-rent
4.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,131 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax from tax record
$20 /mo · $237/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$238
Net cashflow
$506

Break-even live

Break-even rent $491
Max offer price $65,000
Occupancy floor 50%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $543 -5% $524 +0% $506 +5% $488 +10% $469
Rent -10% $417 -5% $461 +0% $506 +5% $551 +10% $595
Rate -1.0pp $539 -0.5pp $523 base $506 +0.5pp $489 +1.0pp $472

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $65,000 Active 3 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $65,000 Active 2 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    remarks 654-char remark
  4. 2026-06-17
    listed $65,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$237 · $20/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$266 · $22/mo
Expected delta
+$30/yr (+$2/mo · 12.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 26% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,575
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$237
− Insurance
−$325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,086
− Management
−$1,086
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$5,310
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,274
After-tax cash flow
$4,798/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Marion County
NCES district ID
0102310
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -29.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$32,048
Composite
27.69/100
National rank
#6911
State rank
#56 of 129 in AL

Livability — Haleyville

Score
60/100
State rank
#287
US rank
#18676

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
10,815

Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
28,759 people
By 2030
27,834 · -3.2%
By 2040
25,974 · -9.7%
By 2050
24,129 · -16.1%
By 2075
20,179 · -29.8%
By 2100
16,341 · -43.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 2% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Slovak 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Marion

2024 margin
Solid R (+81.7) · D 8.8% · R 90.5%
2008→2024 swing
-25.6pp toward R · 2008: -56.1pp · 2024: -81.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+81.7 2020: R+77.8 2016: R+76.2 2012: R+61.5 2008: R+56.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.62%
Current HPI
137.486
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Listed $65,000 Walker County Area MLS

Property tax history

+6.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $237 · +6.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…