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1613 Ward Dr NW
D Composite 43.39
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +13.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +11.9/30.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • DSCR +3.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$185,000

1613 Ward Dr NW · Cullman, AL 35055
2 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,656 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 56 Days on market
Built 1970 0.31 ac lot $112/sqft · 12% below area Est $211k · 12% under ↓ 5% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming brick home in the heart of Cullman offering space, convenience, and solid construction! This well-built property features a 2-car garage, a detached outbuilding perfect for storage or a workshop, and a storm shelter for added peace of mind. The home sits on a nice, spacious yard ideal for outdoor living, gardening, or entertaining. Inside, you’ll find a home that could benefit from some updates, giving you the perfect opportunity to add your personal touch and increase value. Structurally sound and full of potential, this property is a great investment for homeowners or investors alike. Located just minutes from local schools, restaurants, and downtown Cullman, you’ll e

Key facts

  • Spacious yard
  • Detached outbuilding
  • Brick home

Tags

BRICK HOMEDETACHED OUTBUILDINGSTORM SHELTERSPACIOUS YARDLOCAL SCHOOLSDOWNTOWN CULLMAN

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage facing front; Concrete driveway; 2 garage spaces
  • Utilities: Natural gas available and connected; Electricity connected; Public sewer; Water connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Brick and vinyl siding construction; Shingle roof; Brick/mortar and slab foundation; Built above grade finished area of 1,656
  • Exterior features: Back yard; Front yard; Level lot; Located on a cul-de-sac

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric cooktop; Electric oven; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Linoleum
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Natural gas heating; Wall furnace; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Storage; Electric dryer hookup; Washer hookup; Laundry room on main level
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room with washer and electric dryer hookups

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $185k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-48 ($-579/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $176k (4.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $133k (28.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $133k (28.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.8% in Cullman — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#36 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Cullman City (town): math 38% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #13 of 129 in AL (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Cullman City Primary School (523 students, 42% FRL); Cullman Middle School (math 32% / reading 68%, grade C, #25 of 257 statewide, top 10%, 528 students, 34% FRL); Cullman High School (math 34% / reading 41%, grade F, #38 of 305 statewide, top 12%, 997 students, 31% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 344 active listings in the ZIP; 180 units permitted in Cullman County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($179k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $132,963 (28.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.72%
Cap rate
5.98%
Cash-on-cash
-1.12%
DSCR
0.95
GRM
11.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$210,748
List price
$185,000
Delta
-12.22%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1613 Ward Dr NW 0.00mi 2/2.5 1,656 (0%) 0mo $175,000 $106 100
605 Dale Ave NW 0.39mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,686 (+2%) 5mo $221,800 $132 70
1543 Scott St NW 0.24mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,560 (-6%) 15mo $175,000 $112 58
806 Lakeview Ave NW 0.60mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,684 (+2%) 11mo $239,900 $142 53
612 Reid Dr NW 0.41mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,480 (-11%) 8mo $285,000 $193 50
1643 Katherine St NW 0.36mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,900 (+15%) 6mo $225,000 $118 48
204 NW Piney Dr 0.34mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,445 (-13%) 12mo $203,000 $140 46
204 Piney Point Dr NW 0.34mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,445 (-13%) 12mo $203,000 $140 46
1301 Ann St NW 0.69mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,602 (-3%) 12mo $170,000 $106 46
1608 Pansy St NW 0.67mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,856 (+12%) 11mo $236,000 $127 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.2%
Equity multiple
0.36×
Total profit
$-33,142
Equity at exit
$27,584
10-year hold
IRR
-10.6%
Equity multiple
0.36×
Total profit
$-33,186
Equity at exit
$15,995

Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35055

Home prices YoY
-14.4%
Active inventory
344
Price-to-rent
11.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,330 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$970
Tax from tax record
$51 /mo · $617/yr
Insurance
$77
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$279
Net cashflow
$-48

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,391
Max offer price $176,474
Occupancy floor 99%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $56 -5% $4 +0% $-48 +5% $-101 +10% $-153
Rent -10% $-153 -5% $-101 +0% $-48 +5% $4 +10% $57
Rate -1.0pp $45 -0.5pp $-1 base $-48 +0.5pp $-96 +1.0pp $-145

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$46,250
Closing costs
$5,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-16
    status $185,000 Pending 56 DOM
  2. 2026-06-15
    days on market $185,000 Active 56 DOM
  3. 2026-06-14
    days on market $185,000 Active 54 DOM
  4. 2026-06-12
    days on market $185,000 Active 53 DOM
  5. 2026-06-09
    days on market $185,000 Active 50 DOM
  6. 2026-06-08
    days on market $185,000 Active 49 DOM
  7. 2026-06-07
    days on market $185,000 Active 48 DOM
  8. 2026-06-05
    days on market $185,000 Active 45 DOM
  9. 2026-06-03
    days on market $185,000 Active 44 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $185,000 Active 43 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $185,000 Active 42 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $185,000 Active 41 DOM
  13. 2026-05-30
    days on market $185,000 Active 40 DOM
  14. 2026-05-12
    status Active 918-char remark
  15. 2026-04-26
    historical Active Under Contract 918-char remark
  16. 2026-04-20
    listed $185,000 Active 918-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$617 · $51/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$759 · $63/mo
Expected delta
+$141/yr (+$12/mo · 22.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 25% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,956
− Mortgage interest
−$10,363
− Property taxes
−$617
− Insurance
−$925
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,276
− Management
−$1,276
− Depreciation
−$5,382
Taxable loss
−$3,884
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$932
After-tax cash flow
$353/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cullman City
NCES district ID
0100990
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -32.00%
Reading proficiency
65% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$38,339
Composite
42.81/100
National rank
#3140
State rank
#13 of 129 in AL

Livability — Cullman

Score
71/100
State rank
#36
US rank
#6789

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Cullman, AL
County
Cullman County · 47,767 people
City population
34,660
Metro
Cullman, AL
Population (ZIP)
23,115
Household income
$58,405
Rent vs Own
35.8% rent · 64.2% own
Severe rent burden
499.0

Population outlook (Cullman County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
84,522 people
By 2030
85,402 · +1.0%
By 2040
86,152 · +1.9%
By 2050
85,202 · +0.8%
By 2075
79,679 · -5.7%
By 2100
66,943 · -20.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Serbian 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Cullman

2024 margin
Solid R (+80.5) · D 9.4% · R 89.9%
2008→2024 swing
-15.3pp toward R · 2008: -65.2pp · 2024: -80.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+80.5 2020: R+77.4 2016: R+77.8 2012: R+69.5 2008: R+65.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -43.60%
Current HPI
259.5471
Rent YoY
Metro
Cullman, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-5.4% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Sold (MLS) $175,000 SAARMLS
  • 2026-06-15 Pending SAARMLS
  • 2026-05-12 Relisted SAARMLS
  • 2026-04-26 Contingent SAARMLS
  • 2026-04-20 Listed $185,000 SAARMLS

Property tax history

+5.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $617 · +7.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…