1613 Ward Dr NW · Cullman, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 25.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +13.0/15.0
- Cash flow +11.9/30.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- DSCR +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$185,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming brick home in the heart of Cullman offering space, convenience, and solid construction! This well-built property features a 2-car garage, a detached outbuilding perfect for storage or a workshop, and a storm shelter for added peace of mind. The home sits on a nice, spacious yard ideal for outdoor living, gardening, or entertaining. Inside, you’ll find a home that could benefit from some updates, giving you the perfect opportunity to add your personal touch and increase value. Structurally sound and full of potential, this property is a great investment for homeowners or investors alike. Located just minutes from local schools, restaurants, and downtown Cullman, you’ll e
Key facts
- Spacious yard
- Detached outbuilding
- Brick home
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage facing front; Concrete driveway; 2 garage spaces
- Utilities: Natural gas available and connected; Electricity connected; Public sewer; Water connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Brick and vinyl siding construction; Shingle roof; Brick/mortar and slab foundation; Built above grade finished area of 1,656
- Exterior features: Back yard; Front yard; Level lot; Located on a cul-de-sac
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric cooktop; Electric oven; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Linoleum
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Natural gas heating; Wall furnace; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Storage; Electric dryer hookup; Washer hookup; Laundry room on main level
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room with washer and electric dryer hookups
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $185k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-48 ($-579/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $176k (4.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $133k (28.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $133k (28.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.8% in Cullman — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#36 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, commute F, health & safety F.
- Cullman City (town): math 38% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #13 of 129 in AL (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Cullman City Primary School (523 students, 42% FRL); Cullman Middle School (math 32% / reading 68%, grade C, #25 of 257 statewide, top 10%, 528 students, 34% FRL); Cullman High School (math 34% / reading 41%, grade F, #38 of 305 statewide, top 12%, 997 students, 31% FRL).
- Market conditions: 344 active listings in the ZIP; 180 units permitted in Cullman County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($179k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.72% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.98%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.12%
- DSCR
- 0.95
- GRM
- 11.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $210,748
- List price
- $185,000
- Delta
- -12.22%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1613 Ward Dr NW | 0.00mi | 2/2.5 | 1,656 (0%) | 0mo | $175,000 | $106 | 100 |
| 605 Dale Ave NW | 0.39mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,686 (+2%) | 5mo | $221,800 | $132 | 70 |
| 1543 Scott St NW | 0.24mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,560 (-6%) | 15mo | $175,000 | $112 | 58 |
| 806 Lakeview Ave NW | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,684 (+2%) | 11mo | $239,900 | $142 | 53 |
| 612 Reid Dr NW | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,480 (-11%) | 8mo | $285,000 | $193 | 50 |
| 1643 Katherine St NW | 0.36mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,900 (+15%) | 6mo | $225,000 | $118 | 48 |
| 204 NW Piney Dr | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,445 (-13%) | 12mo | $203,000 | $140 | 46 |
| 204 Piney Point Dr NW | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,445 (-13%) | 12mo | $203,000 | $140 | 46 |
| 1301 Ann St NW | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,602 (-3%) | 12mo | $170,000 | $106 | 46 |
| 1608 Pansy St NW | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,856 (+12%) | 11mo | $236,000 | $127 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.36×
- Total profit
- $-33,142
- Equity at exit
- $27,584
- IRR
- -10.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.36×
- Total profit
- $-33,186
- Equity at exit
- $15,995
Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35055
- Home prices YoY
- -14.4%
- Active inventory
- 344
- Price-to-rent
- 11.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,330 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$970
- Tax from tax record
- −$51 /mo · $617/yr
- Insurance
- −$77
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$279
- Net cashflow
- $-48
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $56 | -5% $4 | +0% $-48 | +5% $-101 | +10% $-153 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-153 | -5% $-101 | +0% $-48 | +5% $4 | +10% $57 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $45 | -0.5pp $-1 | base $-48 | +0.5pp $-96 | +1.0pp $-145 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,250
- Closing costs
- $5,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-16status $185,000 Pending 56 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $185,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $185,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $185,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $185,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $185,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $185,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $185,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $185,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $185,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $185,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $185,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $185,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-05-12status Active 918-char remark
-
2026-04-26historical Active Under Contract 918-char remark
-
2026-04-20$185,000 Active 918-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $617 · $51/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $759 · $63/mo
- Expected delta
- +$141/yr (+$12/mo · 22.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 25% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,956
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,363
- − Property taxes
- −$617
- − Insurance
- −$925
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,276
- − Management
- −$1,276
- − Depreciation
- −$5,382
- Taxable loss
- −$3,884
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$932
- After-tax cash flow
- $353/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cullman City
- NCES district ID
- 0100990
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -32.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 65% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,339
- Composite
- 42.81/100
- National rank
- #3140
- State rank
- #13 of 129 in AL
Livability — Cullman
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #36
- US rank
- #6789
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cullman, AL
- County
- Cullman County · 47,767 people
- City population
- 34,660
- Metro
- Cullman, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,115
- Household income
- $58,405
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 499.0
Population outlook (Cullman County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 84,522 people
- By 2030
- 85,402 · +1.0%
- By 2040
- 86,152 · +1.9%
- By 2050
- 85,202 · +0.8%
- By 2075
- 79,679 · -5.7%
- By 2100
- 66,943 · -20.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Serbian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Cullman
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+80.5) · D 9.4% · R 89.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.3pp toward R · 2008: -65.2pp · 2024: -80.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+80.5 2020: R+77.4 2016: R+77.8 2012: R+69.5 2008: R+65.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -43.60%
- Current HPI
- 259.5471
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Cullman, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
-5.4% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Sold (MLS) $175,000 SAARMLS
- 2026-06-15 Pending — SAARMLS
- 2026-05-12 Relisted — SAARMLS
- 2026-04-26 Contingent — SAARMLS
- 2026-04-20 Listed $185,000 SAARMLS
Property tax history
+5.2%/yrLatest (2025): $617 · +7.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…