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3410 Austin Ave
B- Composite 69.28
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,000

3410 Austin Ave · Brownwood, TX 76801
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,284 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 98 Days on market
0.49 ac lot $69/sqft · 51% below area ↓ 19% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This 3 bed, 1 bath home sits on two lots totaling 0.49 acre, offering plenty of space inside and out. The living room flows into the dining area and kitchen, creating an easy layout for everyday living. Out back, there’s a separate 1 bed, 1 bath guest house with its own kitchen and living area — great for a rental, guest space, or mother-in-law suite. The property also includes two storage sheds, a patio area, and lots of big shade trees throughout the yard. With some work, this place could really shine. Whether you're looking to fix up your next home or invest in a potential income-producing property, this one has a lot of potential and room to grow. Being Sold AS IS.

Key facts

  • Two lots
  • Big shade trees
  • Patio area

Tags

TWO LOTSGUEST HOUSESTORAGE SHEDSPATIO AREABIG SHADE TREES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $89k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $397 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $89k).
  • Recommended offer: $81k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.6% vs local median 3.8% in Brownwood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#781 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, health & safety D+, schools F.
  • Brownwood ISD (town): math 45% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #344 of 826 in TX (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 380 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 142 units permitted in Brown County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 98 days — a 9% lower offer ($81k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.4% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $80,990 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 98 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.64%
Cap rate
11.65%
Cash-on-cash
19.13%
DSCR
1.85
GRM
5.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$180,248
List price
$89,000
Delta
-50.62%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3317 1st St 0.20mi 3/2.0 1,222 (-5%) 3mo $214,900 $176 76
1200 Phillips Dr 0.53mi 3/1.0 1,204 (-6%) 2mo $59,900 $50 63
1600 Broadmoor Dr 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,220 (-5%) 5mo $169,900 $139 61
109 Bonnie Pl 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,283 (-0%) 11mo $150,000 $117 60
3707 1st St 0.30mi 3/2.0 1,404 (+9%) 9mo $189,500 $135 59
2703 1st St 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,271 (-1%) 5mo $139,900 $110 57
2711 Elizabeth Dr 0.68mi 3/1.0 1,200 (-6%) 3mo $149,000 $124 55
3900 3rd St 0.56mi 3/1.0 1,203 (-6%) 14mo $145,000 $121 52
2901 Austin Ave 0.47mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,130 (-12%) 4mo $198,500 $176 50
2812 1st St 0.54mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,222 (-5%) 10mo $152,000 $124 49
3618 3rd St 0.45mi 3/1.5 1,120 (-13%) 13mo $169,000 $151 45
2622 Vincent St 0.70mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,170 (-9%) 7mo $89,900 $77 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.1%
Equity multiple
1.44×
Total profit
$10,983
Equity at exit
$13,270
10-year hold
IRR
20.2%
Equity multiple
2.71×
Total profit
$42,576
Equity at exit
$7,695

Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76801

Active inventory
380
Price-to-rent
5.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,458 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$467
Tax from tax record
$251 /mo · $3,010/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$306
Net cashflow
$397

Break-even live

Break-even rent $955
Max offer price $89,000
Occupancy floor 68%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $448 -5% $422 +0% $397 +5% $372 +10% $347
Rent -10% $282 -5% $340 +0% $397 +5% $455 +10% $512
Rate -1.0pp $442 -0.5pp $420 base $397 +0.5pp $374 +1.0pp $351

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,250
Closing costs
$2,670
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3201 Stephen F Austin Dr Lot 130 Brownwood, TX 3.0 2.0 1120 $1,200 $1.07 44d 1 1.00mi
2411 13th St Brownwood, TX 3.0 2.0 1466 $1,800 $1.23 44d 1 1.33mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $89,000 Active 98 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $89,000 Active 96 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $89,000 Active 95 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $89,000 Active 94 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $89,000 Active 93 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $89,000 Active 91 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $89,000 Active 90 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $89,000 Active 87 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,000 Active 86 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,000 Active 85 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $89,000 Active 84 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $89,000 Active 81 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $89,000 Active 80 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $89,000 Active 79 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $89,000 Active 78 DOM
  16. 2026-03-14
    listed $89,000 Active 695-char remark
    Show marketing remark (695 chars)

    This 3 bed, 1 bath home sits on two lots totaling 0.49 acre, offering plenty of space inside and out. The living room flows into the dining area and kitchen, creating an easy layout for everyday living. Out back, there’s a separate 1 bed, 1 bath guest house with its own kitchen and living area — great for a rental, guest space, or mother-in-law suite. The property also includes two storage sheds, a patio area, and lots of big shade trees throughout the yard. With some work, this place could really shine. Whether you're looking to fix up your next home or invest in a potential income-producing property, this one has a lot of potential and room to grow. Being Sold AS IS.

  17. 2026-03-13
    historical
  18. 2025-10-16
    price $95,000
  19. 2025-09-16
    listed $110,000 Active
  20. 2003-01-31
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,010 · $251/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,010 · $251/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,496
− Mortgage interest
−$4,985
− Property taxes
−$3,010
− Insurance
−$445
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,400
− Management
−$1,400
− Depreciation
−$2,589
Taxable income
$3,667
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$880
After-tax cash flow
$3,886/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Brownwood ISD
NCES district ID
4811700
Math proficiency
45% ▲ 4.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$37,395
Composite
35.8/100
National rank
#4833
State rank
#344 of 826 in TX

Livability — Brownwood

Score
64/100
State rank
#781
US rank
#14230

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Brownwood, TX
Population (ZIP)
25,152

Population outlook (Brown County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
38,381 people
By 2030
38,288 · -0.2%
By 2040
38,120 · -0.7%
By 2050
38,227 · -0.4%
By 2075
39,362 · +2.6%
By 2100
39,171 · +2.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (66%)
Race & ethnicity
White 66% Hispanic / Latino 26% Two or more races 15% Black 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 23%
Common ancestry
Italian 12% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
82% English-only · Spanish 17%

Political lean MEDSL · Brown

2024 margin
Solid R (+73.9) · D 12.7% · R 86.6%
2008→2024 swing
-12.5pp toward R · 2008: -61.5pp · 2024: -73.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+73.9 2020: R+72.6 2016: R+74.5 2012: R+71.7 2008: R+61.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -121.52%
Current HPI
164.0992
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-19.1% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-14 Listed $89,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-03-13 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2025-10-16 Price Changed $95,000 NTREIS
  • 2025-09-16 Listed $110,000 NTREIS
  • 2003-01-31 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+5.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,010 · -3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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