Roxbury w/ Finished Basement Plan · Spring Hill, TN 37179

$399,990

3 bd · 3.5 ba · 2,067 sqft · Townhouse · 302 Days on market

↓ 8% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +5.5/10.0
• Rent growth +5.0/5.0
• Livability +3.7/5.0
• Cash flow +3.5/30.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• 1% rule +0.0/10.0
• DSCR +0.0/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Limited opportunity: only 2 quick move-in Roxbury with Finished Basements available before we are sold out. .. click here to schedule your visit today! Our move-in ready Roxbury with Finished Basements feature a spacious kitchen, dining room, and family room so you can entertain with ease. Upstairs, escape to your private owner's suite with 2 closets and a luxurious attached bath. Rounding out the 2nd floor are two large secondary bedrooms, another full bath, and your laundry room so you don't have to haul it up and down the stairs anymore! On the basement level is a full finished rec room, perfect for an in-home movie theatre. Don't miss out on the opportunity to own a brand-new 1-car garage townhome with over 2000 square feet of space, Williamson County schools, and a finished basement all less than 5 minutes from I-65 and I-840 for quick and easy access to Franklin/Cool Springs. Click here to schedule your visit today!

Key facts

• Spacious kitchen
• Finished basement
• Parking

Tags

• FINISHED BASEMENT
• SPACIOUS KITCHEN
• PRIVATE OWNER'S SUITE
• LUXURIOUS ATTACHED BATH
• FULL FINISHED REC ROOM

🏗️ New construction. The $399,990 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $541,083.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/3.5-bath townhouse listed at $400k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-20k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $305k (23.7% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $267k (33.3% below list).
• Recommended offer: $267k (33.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 73/100 on livability (#23 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
• Williamson County (rural): math 58% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #1 of 139 in TN (top 1%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 9% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.0%/yr); 351 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,994 units permitted in Williamson County in 2024 (637 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $16k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Williamson County population projected at +59% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 302 days — a 12% lower offer ($352k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Recommended offer $266,832 (33.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 302 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 33% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.49% ✗
• Cap rate: 2.68%
• Cash-on-cash: -12.92%
• DSCR: 0.43
• GRM: 16.9

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $541,083
• List price: $399,990
• Delta: -26.08%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
470 Buckwood Ave W	0.22mi	2/3.0 (-1)	2,078 (+0%)	4mo	$640,915	$308	78
315 Buckwood Ln N	0.22mi	2/3.0 (-1)	2,078 (+0%)	6mo	$640,515	$308	77
323 Buckwood Ln N	0.22mi	2/3.0 (-1)	2,078 (+0%)	8mo	$609,348	$293	75
331 Buckwood Ln	0.22mi	2/3.0 (-1)	2,078 (+0%)	10mo	$587,136	$283	73
459 Buckwood Ave E	0.27mi	3/3.5	2,311 (+12%)	6mo	$606,679	$263	63
1079 Mountain View Dr	0.12mi	3/2.5	1,767 (-14%)	6mo	$399,940	$226	61
467 Buckwood Ave E	0.33mi	3/3.5	2,311 (+12%)	6mo	$624,545	$270	60
317 Buckwood Ln	0.27mi	2/2.5 (-1)	2,282 (+10%)	2mo	$559,990	$245	60
309 Buckwood Ln W	0.29mi	2/2.5 (-1)	2,282 (+10%)	2mo	$559,990	$245	58
442 Buckwood Ave W	0.31mi	3/3.5	2,311 (+12%)	10mo	$577,891	$250	58
322 Buckwood Ln	0.27mi	3/3.5	2,311 (+12%)	13mo	$588,990	$255	57
325 Buckwood Ln N	0.29mi	2/2.5 (-1)	2,282 (+10%)	9mo	$564,990	$248	53

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -35.2%
• Equity multiple: -0.17×
• Total profit: $-177,437
• Equity at exit: $80,677

10-year hold

• IRR: -25.5%
• Equity multiple: -0.48×
• Total profit: $-223,952
• Equity at exit: $46,783

Cash invested: $151,503 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Tennessee: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 37179

• Home prices YoY: -25.7%
• Rents YoY: 11.0%
• Active inventory: 351
• Price-to-rent: 12.5×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,668 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$2,837
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$676 /mo · $8,116/yr
• Insurance: −$225
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$560
• Net cashflow: $-1,631

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,733

Max offer price $305,027

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $-1,257	-5% $-1,444	+0% $-1,631	+5% $-1,818	+10% $-2,005
Rent	-10% $-1,842	-5% $-1,737	+0% $-1,631	+5% $-1,526	+10% $-1,421
Rate	-1.0pp $-1,359	-0.5pp $-1,494	base $-1,631	+0.5pp $-1,772	+1.0pp $-1,914

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $135,271
• Closing costs: $16,232
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 18 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
1019 Mountain View Dr Thompson's Station, TN	3.0	2.5	1503	$2,195	$1.46	44d	1	0.03mi
1049 Mountain View Dr Thompson's Station, TN	3.0	2.5	1767	$2,750	$1.56	44d	1	0.09mi
1049 Mountain View Dr Thompson's Station, TN	3.0	2.5	1767	$2,700	$1.53	24d	1	0.09mi
1081 Mountain View Dr Thompson's Station, TN	3.0	2.5	1503	$2,195	$1.46	44d	1	0.17mi
310 Buckwood Ave Thompson's Station, TN	3.0	3.5	2495	$3,850	$1.54	22d	1	0.28mi
310 Buckwood Ave Thompson's Station, TN	3.0	3.5	2495	$3,500	$1.40	8d	1	0.28mi
308 Buckwood Ave Thompson's Station, TN	2.0	2.0	1454	$2,995	$2.06	15d	1	0.29mi
614 Winners Circle Pl Thompsons Station, TN	3.0	2.0	1457	$2,200	$1.51	3d	1	0.33mi
269 Mary Ann Cir Spring Hill, TN	3.0	3.5	1489	$2,300	$1.54	11d	1	0.37mi
2104 Loudenslager Dr Thompsons Station, TN	4.0	2.5	1971	$3,049	$1.55	44d	1	0.37mi
2731 New Port Royal Rd Thompsons Station, TN	3.0	2.5	2394	$2,795	$1.17	44d	1	0.60mi
2761 Sutherland Dr Thompsons Station, TN	3.0	2.0	1429	$2,090	$1.46	22d	1	0.65mi
2810 Rachel Ln Thompsons Station, TN	3.0	2.0	1847	$2,755	$1.49	44d	1	0.75mi
2853 Sutherland Dr Thompsons Station, TN	3.0	2.0	1580	$2,435	$1.54	2d	1	0.82mi
1635 Bryson Cv Thompsons Station, TN	2.0–3.0	2.0	1347	$2,150	$1.60	2d	7	0.95mi
2711 Cash Ct Thompsons Station, TN	4.0	3.0	2129	$2,495	$1.17	24d	1	1.00mi
102 Shanache Dr Spring Hill, TN	4.0	2.5	1952	$2,441	$1.25	24d	1	1.11mi
2863 Iroquois Dr Thompsons Station, TN	4.0	2.0	2159	$2,529	$1.17	44d	1	1.40mi

Listing history 19 events

1. 2026-06-09
   days on market $399,990 Active 302 DOM
2. 2026-06-08
   days on market $399,990 Active 301 DOM
3. 2026-06-07
   pricedays on market $399,990 Active 300 DOM
4. 2026-06-02
   days on market $409,990 Active 295 DOM
5. 2026-06-01
   days on market $409,990 Active 294 DOM
6. 2026-05-31
   days on market $409,990 Active 293 DOM
7. 2026-03-04
   price $399,990 936-char remark

   Show marketing remark (936 chars)

   Limited opportunity: only 2 quick move-in Roxbury with Finished Basements available before we are sold out. .. click here to schedule your visit today! Our move-in ready Roxbury with Finished Basements feature a spacious kitchen, dining room, and family room so you can entertain with ease. Upstairs, escape to your private owner's suite with 2 closets and a luxurious attached bath. Rounding out the 2nd floor are two large secondary bedrooms, another full bath, and your laundry room so you don't have to haul it up and down the stairs anymore! On the basement level is a full finished rec room, perfect for an in-home movie theatre. Don't miss out on the opportunity to own a brand-new 1-car garage townhome with over 2000 square feet of space, Williamson County schools, and a finished basement all less than 5 minutes from I-65 and I-840 for quick and easy access to Franklin/Cool Springs. Click here to schedule your visit today!

8. 2026-02-25
   price $424,990 936-char remark

   Show marketing remark (936 chars)

   Limited opportunity: only 2 quick move-in Roxbury with Finished Basements available before we are sold out. .. click here to schedule your visit today! Our move-in ready Roxbury with Finished Basements feature a spacious kitchen, dining room, and family room so you can entertain with ease. Upstairs, escape to your private owner's suite with 2 closets and a luxurious attached bath. Rounding out the 2nd floor are two large secondary bedrooms, another full bath, and your laundry room so you don't have to haul it up and down the stairs anymore! On the basement level is a full finished rec room, perfect for an in-home movie theatre. Don't miss out on the opportunity to own a brand-new 1-car garage townhome with over 2000 square feet of space, Williamson County schools, and a finished basement all less than 5 minutes from I-65 and I-840 for quick and easy access to Franklin/Cool Springs. Click here to schedule your visit today!

9. 2026-02-18
   price $437,990 936-char remark

   Show marketing remark (936 chars)

   Limited opportunity: only 2 quick move-in Roxbury with Finished Basements available before we are sold out. .. click here to schedule your visit today! Our move-in ready Roxbury with Finished Basements feature a spacious kitchen, dining room, and family room so you can entertain with ease. Upstairs, escape to your private owner's suite with 2 closets and a luxurious attached bath. Rounding out the 2nd floor are two large secondary bedrooms, another full bath, and your laundry room so you don't have to haul it up and down the stairs anymore! On the basement level is a full finished rec room, perfect for an in-home movie theatre. Don't miss out on the opportunity to own a brand-new 1-car garage townhome with over 2000 square feet of space, Williamson County schools, and a finished basement all less than 5 minutes from I-65 and I-840 for quick and easy access to Franklin/Cool Springs. Click here to schedule your visit today!

10. 2026-02-03
    status Active 936-char remark

    Show marketing remark (936 chars)

    Limited opportunity: only 2 quick move-in Roxbury with Finished Basements available before we are sold out. .. click here to schedule your visit today! Our move-in ready Roxbury with Finished Basements feature a spacious kitchen, dining room, and family room so you can entertain with ease. Upstairs, escape to your private owner's suite with 2 closets and a luxurious attached bath. Rounding out the 2nd floor are two large secondary bedrooms, another full bath, and your laundry room so you don't have to haul it up and down the stairs anymore! On the basement level is a full finished rec room, perfect for an in-home movie theatre. Don't miss out on the opportunity to own a brand-new 1-car garage townhome with over 2000 square feet of space, Williamson County schools, and a finished basement all less than 5 minutes from I-65 and I-840 for quick and easy access to Franklin/Cool Springs. Click here to schedule your visit today!

11. 2026-02-03
    price $447,765 936-char remark

    Show marketing remark (936 chars)

    Limited opportunity: only 2 quick move-in Roxbury with Finished Basements available before we are sold out. .. click here to schedule your visit today! Our move-in ready Roxbury with Finished Basements feature a spacious kitchen, dining room, and family room so you can entertain with ease. Upstairs, escape to your private owner's suite with 2 closets and a luxurious attached bath. Rounding out the 2nd floor are two large secondary bedrooms, another full bath, and your laundry room so you don't have to haul it up and down the stairs anymore! On the basement level is a full finished rec room, perfect for an in-home movie theatre. Don't miss out on the opportunity to own a brand-new 1-car garage townhome with over 2000 square feet of space, Williamson County schools, and a finished basement all less than 5 minutes from I-65 and I-840 for quick and easy access to Franklin/Cool Springs. Click here to schedule your visit today!

12. 2025-11-03
    historical 936-char remark

    Show marketing remark (936 chars)

    Limited opportunity: only 2 quick move-in Roxbury with Finished Basements available before we are sold out. .. click here to schedule your visit today! Our move-in ready Roxbury with Finished Basements feature a spacious kitchen, dining room, and family room so you can entertain with ease. Upstairs, escape to your private owner's suite with 2 closets and a luxurious attached bath. Rounding out the 2nd floor are two large secondary bedrooms, another full bath, and your laundry room so you don't have to haul it up and down the stairs anymore! On the basement level is a full finished rec room, perfect for an in-home movie theatre. Don't miss out on the opportunity to own a brand-new 1-car garage townhome with over 2000 square feet of space, Williamson County schools, and a finished basement all less than 5 minutes from I-65 and I-840 for quick and easy access to Franklin/Cool Springs. Click here to schedule your visit today!

13. 2025-10-26
    price $444,990 936-char remark

    Show marketing remark (936 chars)

    Limited opportunity: only 2 quick move-in Roxbury with Finished Basements available before we are sold out. .. click here to schedule your visit today! Our move-in ready Roxbury with Finished Basements feature a spacious kitchen, dining room, and family room so you can entertain with ease. Upstairs, escape to your private owner's suite with 2 closets and a luxurious attached bath. Rounding out the 2nd floor are two large secondary bedrooms, another full bath, and your laundry room so you don't have to haul it up and down the stairs anymore! On the basement level is a full finished rec room, perfect for an in-home movie theatre. Don't miss out on the opportunity to own a brand-new 1-car garage townhome with over 2000 square feet of space, Williamson County schools, and a finished basement all less than 5 minutes from I-65 and I-840 for quick and easy access to Franklin/Cool Springs. Click here to schedule your visit today!

14. 2025-09-04
    price $424,990 936-char remark

    Show marketing remark (936 chars)

    Limited opportunity: only 2 quick move-in Roxbury with Finished Basements available before we are sold out. .. click here to schedule your visit today! Our move-in ready Roxbury with Finished Basements feature a spacious kitchen, dining room, and family room so you can entertain with ease. Upstairs, escape to your private owner's suite with 2 closets and a luxurious attached bath. Rounding out the 2nd floor are two large secondary bedrooms, another full bath, and your laundry room so you don't have to haul it up and down the stairs anymore! On the basement level is a full finished rec room, perfect for an in-home movie theatre. Don't miss out on the opportunity to own a brand-new 1-car garage townhome with over 2000 square feet of space, Williamson County schools, and a finished basement all less than 5 minutes from I-65 and I-840 for quick and easy access to Franklin/Cool Springs. Click here to schedule your visit today!

15. 2025-07-17
    price $409,990 936-char remark

    Show marketing remark (936 chars)

    Limited opportunity: only 2 quick move-in Roxbury with Finished Basements available before we are sold out. .. click here to schedule your visit today! Our move-in ready Roxbury with Finished Basements feature a spacious kitchen, dining room, and family room so you can entertain with ease. Upstairs, escape to your private owner's suite with 2 closets and a luxurious attached bath. Rounding out the 2nd floor are two large secondary bedrooms, another full bath, and your laundry room so you don't have to haul it up and down the stairs anymore! On the basement level is a full finished rec room, perfect for an in-home movie theatre. Don't miss out on the opportunity to own a brand-new 1-car garage townhome with over 2000 square feet of space, Williamson County schools, and a finished basement all less than 5 minutes from I-65 and I-840 for quick and easy access to Franklin/Cool Springs. Click here to schedule your visit today!

16. 2025-07-08
    price $404,990 936-char remark

    Show marketing remark (936 chars)

    Limited opportunity: only 2 quick move-in Roxbury with Finished Basements available before we are sold out. .. click here to schedule your visit today! Our move-in ready Roxbury with Finished Basements feature a spacious kitchen, dining room, and family room so you can entertain with ease. Upstairs, escape to your private owner's suite with 2 closets and a luxurious attached bath. Rounding out the 2nd floor are two large secondary bedrooms, another full bath, and your laundry room so you don't have to haul it up and down the stairs anymore! On the basement level is a full finished rec room, perfect for an in-home movie theatre. Don't miss out on the opportunity to own a brand-new 1-car garage townhome with over 2000 square feet of space, Williamson County schools, and a finished basement all less than 5 minutes from I-65 and I-840 for quick and easy access to Franklin/Cool Springs. Click here to schedule your visit today!

17. 2025-06-29
    price $409,990 936-char remark

    Show marketing remark (936 chars)

    Limited opportunity: only 2 quick move-in Roxbury with Finished Basements available before we are sold out. .. click here to schedule your visit today! Our move-in ready Roxbury with Finished Basements feature a spacious kitchen, dining room, and family room so you can entertain with ease. Upstairs, escape to your private owner's suite with 2 closets and a luxurious attached bath. Rounding out the 2nd floor are two large secondary bedrooms, another full bath, and your laundry room so you don't have to haul it up and down the stairs anymore! On the basement level is a full finished rec room, perfect for an in-home movie theatre. Don't miss out on the opportunity to own a brand-new 1-car garage townhome with over 2000 square feet of space, Williamson County schools, and a finished basement all less than 5 minutes from I-65 and I-840 for quick and easy access to Franklin/Cool Springs. Click here to schedule your visit today!

18. 2025-05-13
    price $419,990 936-char remark

    Show marketing remark (936 chars)

    Limited opportunity: only 2 quick move-in Roxbury with Finished Basements available before we are sold out. .. click here to schedule your visit today! Our move-in ready Roxbury with Finished Basements feature a spacious kitchen, dining room, and family room so you can entertain with ease. Upstairs, escape to your private owner's suite with 2 closets and a luxurious attached bath. Rounding out the 2nd floor are two large secondary bedrooms, another full bath, and your laundry room so you don't have to haul it up and down the stairs anymore! On the basement level is a full finished rec room, perfect for an in-home movie theatre. Don't miss out on the opportunity to own a brand-new 1-car garage townhome with over 2000 square feet of space, Williamson County schools, and a finished basement all less than 5 minutes from I-65 and I-840 for quick and easy access to Franklin/Cool Springs. Click here to schedule your visit today!

19. 2025-05-11
    listed $434,990 Active 936-char remark

    Show marketing remark (936 chars)

    Limited opportunity: only 2 quick move-in Roxbury with Finished Basements available before we are sold out. .. click here to schedule your visit today! Our move-in ready Roxbury with Finished Basements feature a spacious kitchen, dining room, and family room so you can entertain with ease. Upstairs, escape to your private owner's suite with 2 closets and a luxurious attached bath. Rounding out the 2nd floor are two large secondary bedrooms, another full bath, and your laundry room so you don't have to haul it up and down the stairs anymore! On the basement level is a full finished rec room, perfect for an in-home movie theatre. Don't miss out on the opportunity to own a brand-new 1-car garage townhome with over 2000 square feet of space, Williamson County schools, and a finished basement all less than 5 minutes from I-65 and I-840 for quick and easy access to Franklin/Cool Springs. Click here to schedule your visit today!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 5 d/yr ≥106°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $32,020
• − Mortgage interest: −$30,309
• − Property taxes: −$8,116
• − Insurance: −$2,705
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,562
• − Management: −$2,562
• − Depreciation: −$15,741
• Taxable loss: −$29,975
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$7,194
• After-tax cash flow: $-12,382/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Williamson County
• NCES district ID: 4704530
• Math proficiency: 58% ▼ -13.00%
• Reading proficiency: 59% ▼ -8.00%
• Median HH income: $103,392
• Composite: 54.94/100
• National rank: #1307
• State rank: #1 of 139 in TN

Livability — Spring Hill

• Score: 73/100
• State rank: #23
• US rank: #5036

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Spring Hill, TN
• County: Williamson County · 237,211 people
• City population: 53,900
• Metro: Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN
• Population (ZIP): 18,043
• Household income: $136,188
• Rent vs Own: 13.3% rent · 86.7% own
• Severe rent burden: 88.0

Population outlook (Williamson County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 275,925 people
• By 2030: 308,630 · +11.9%
• By 2040: 374,403 · +35.7%
• By 2050: 438,644 · +59.0%
• By 2075: 592,763 · +114.8%
• By 2100: 691,828 · +150.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (86%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 86% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 2% Black 1%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 3% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 4% · Canada
• Languages at home: 94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Williamson

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+32.4) · D 33.0% · R 65.4% · Other 1.7%
• 2008→2024 swing: +7.1pp toward D · 2008: -39.5pp · 2024: -32.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+32.4 2020: R+26.1 2016: R+35.5 2012: R+46.8 2008: R+39.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -119.20%
• Current HPI: 344.7933
• Rent YoY: ▲ 10.96%
• Metro: Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.78%
• F500 in state: 22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	3	$91B
▸Retail	3	$72B
▸Transportation / Logistics	1	$88B
▸Paper / Packaging	1	$19B
▸Insurance	1	$13B
▸Energy	1	$12B

Price history

-8.0% since first listed

13 events — show timeline

• 2026-03-04 Price Changed $399,990 Zillow
• 2026-02-25 Price Changed $424,990 Zillow
• 2026-02-18 Price Changed $437,990 Zillow
• 2026-02-03 Price Changed $447,765 Zillow
• 2026-02-03 Relisted — Zillow
• 2025-11-03 Delisted — Zillow
• 2025-10-26 Price Changed $444,990 Zillow
• 2025-09-04 Price Changed $424,990 Zillow
• 2025-07-17 Price Changed $409,990 Zillow
• 2025-07-08 Price Changed $404,990 Zillow
• 2025-06-29 Price Changed $409,990 Zillow
• 2025-05-13 Price Changed $419,990 Zillow
• 2025-05-11 Listed $434,990 Zillow