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1933 Butterfield Ave
A- Composite 84.19
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.5/10.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0

$159,900

1933 Butterfield Ave · Utica, NY 13501
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,448 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1930 Fair condition 4,000 sqft lot $110/sqft · 27% below area Est $218k · 27% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

MOVE IN IS AN UNDER STATEMENT IN THIS CHARMIMG S. UTICA HOME! From the minute you enter you’ll enjoy the GLEAMING HARDWOOD FLOORS, beautiful formal entrance with stunning split staircase, updated open kitchen layout, formal dining room opening to a spacious living room! Second floor offers an office and BONUS SUN ROOM PORCH, 3 good size bedrooms, updated bath and again AMAZING HARDWOODS! Other highlights include a walk-up attic, NEW FURNACE, PRIVATE FENCED IN YARD & CONVENIENT AREA! DON’T WAIT!

Key facts

  • Updated windows
  • Fenced in backyard
  • New appliances

Tags

FENCED IN BACKYARDUPDATED WINDOWSNEW APPLIANCESFRESHLY PAINTED BACK DECKWALKING DISTANCE TO SCHOOLSWALKING DISTANCE TO PHARMACIES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $160k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $526 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
  • Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 8.0% in Utica — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#104 in NY, #1,589 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
  • Utica City School District (urban): math 33% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #562 of 590 in NY (top 95%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: John F Hughes Elementary School (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,646 of 2,108 statewide, top 80%, 355 students, 81% FRL); Senator James H Donovan Middle School (math 19% / reading 30%, grade F, #611 of 729 statewide, top 88%, 730 students, 84% FRL); Thomas R Proctor High School (math 86% / reading 62%, grade B+, #659 of 1,100 statewide, top 60%, 2,675 students, 76% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 260 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 204 units permitted in Oneida County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,002/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($53k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $17k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Oneida County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$43k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $90k; list at $160k implies a 78% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $159,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  2. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.25%
Cap rate
10.24%
Cash-on-cash
14.09%
DSCR
1.63
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$218,225
List price
$159,900
Delta
-26.73%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
79 Emerson Ave 0.16mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,440 (-1%) 3mo $106,000 $74 84
803 Mildred Ave 0.30mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,423 (-2%) 5mo $115,000 $81 72
90 Ballantyne Brae 0.33mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,428 (-1%) 4mo $284,000 $199 72
26 Greenwood Ct 0.37mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,422 (-2%) 3mo $124,500 $88 70
19 Rose Pl 0.25mi 3/1.5 1,612 (+11%) 0mo $170,000 $105 69
1656 Bennett St 0.50mi 3/1.5 1,344 (-7%) 5mo $190,000 $141 61
1803 Baker Ave 0.30mi 3/2.0 1,638 (+13%) 4mo $223,000 $136 59
27 Beverly Pl 0.64mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,410 (-3%) 3mo $250,000 $177 56
2120 Sunset Ave 0.40mi 3/1.5 1,657 (+14%) 1mo $225,000 $136 56
2411 Sunset Ave 0.75mi 3/1.5 1,506 (+4%) 3mo $222,500 $148 56
804 Symonds Pl 0.29mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,661 (+15%) 7mo $180,000 $108 51
105 Dryden Ave 0.69mi 3/1.0 1,295 (-11%) 1mo $200,900 $155 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
34.7%
Equity multiple
3.69×
Total profit
$120,557
Equity at exit
$144,051
10-year hold
IRR
29.9%
Equity multiple
8.34×
Total profit
$328,701
Equity at exit
$310,651

Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.
Seller's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
12 active · 36 under contract
Months of supply
2.9 mo (35%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$184,900 ($126/sqft)
Median days on market
35 d
This list price
25% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+19.2% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 13501

Home prices YoY
5.6%
Active inventory
260
Price-to-rent
6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,002 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax from tax record
$151 /mo · $1,814/yr
Insurance
$67
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$420
Net cashflow
$526

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,337
Max offer price $159,900
Occupancy floor 69%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $616 -5% $571 +0% $526 +5% $480 +10% $435
Rent -10% $367 -5% $446 +0% $526 +5% $605 +10% $684
Rate -1.0pp $606 -0.5pp $566 base $526 +0.5pp $484 +1.0pp $442

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$39,975
Closing costs
$4,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 12 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1401 Mather Ave #1 Utica, NY 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,375 $1.06 2d 1 0.73mi
1503 Fox Pl Utica, NY 3.0 1.0 1119 $2,000 $1.79 139d 1 0.79mi
10 Foery Dr #105 Utica, NY 2.0 2.0 1197 $2,295 $1.92 2d 1 0.86mi
11 Noyes St Unit 4 Utica, NY 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,125 $1.12 139d 1 0.96mi
2606 Sunset Ave #1 Utica, NY 3.0 1.0 1300 $3,000 $2.31 5d 1 0.98mi
2606 Sunset Ave #1 Utica, NY 3.0 1.0 1300 $3,000 $2.31 2d 1 0.98mi
33 Higby Rd Utica, NY 3.0 1.5 1250 $2,300 $1.84 2d 1 1.28mi
31 Higby Rd Utica, NY 3.0 1.5 1500 $2,300 $1.53 2d 1 1.28mi
20 Cottage Pl Apt 6 Utica, NY 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 6d 1 1.35mi
308 Hartford Pl Utica, NY 3.0 1.0 1340 $2,000 $1.49 2d 1 1.41mi
225 Thieme Pl Utica, NY 3.0 2.0 1872 $2,150 $1.15 139d 1 1.41mi
1029 Downer Ave Unit 1st Floor Utica, NY 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,500 $1.36 2d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-05-19
    listed $159,900 Active 492-char remark
  2. 2026-05-16
    price $159,000
  3. 2026-04-23
    price $165,000
  4. 2026-01-16
    price $169,000
  5. 2018-07-25
    soldstatus $89,994
  6. 2018-07-20
    soldstatus $89,994
    Show marketing remark (517 chars)

    MOVE IN IS AN UNDER STATEMENT IN THIS CHARMIMG S. UTICA HOME! From the minute you enter you’ll enjoy the GLEAMING HARDWOOD FLOORS, beautiful formal entrance with stunning split staircase, updated open kitchen layout, formal dining room opening to a spacious living room! Second floor offers an office and BONUS SUN ROOM PORCH, 3 good size bedrooms, updated bath and again AMAZING HARDWOODS! Other highlights include a walk-up attic, NEW FURNACE, PRIVATE FENCED IN YARD & CONVENIENT AREA! DON’T WAIT!

  7. 2018-04-23
    listed $87,500
    Show marketing remark (517 chars)

    MOVE IN IS AN UNDER STATEMENT IN THIS CHARMIMG S. UTICA HOME! From the minute you enter you’ll enjoy the GLEAMING HARDWOOD FLOORS, beautiful formal entrance with stunning split staircase, updated open kitchen layout, formal dining room opening to a spacious living room! Second floor offers an office and BONUS SUN ROOM PORCH, 3 good size bedrooms, updated bath and again AMAZING HARDWOODS! Other highlights include a walk-up attic, NEW FURNACE, PRIVATE FENCED IN YARD & CONVENIENT AREA! DON’T WAIT!

  8. 2017-08-07
    historical
  9. 2017-07-24
    listed $84,900
  10. 2015-10-21
    soldstatus $79,500
  11. 2015-10-20
    soldstatus $79,500
  12. 2015-10-20
    listed $82,000
  13. 2015-10-19
    soldstatus $79,500
  14. 2015-05-28
    listed $82,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,814 · $151/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,258 · $188/mo
Expected delta
+$444/yr (+$37/mo · 24.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,028
− Mortgage interest
−$8,957
− Property taxes
−$1,814
− Insurance
−$800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,922
− Management
−$1,922
− Depreciation
−$4,652
Taxable income
$3,962
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$951
After-tax cash flow
$5,356/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab Est. rehab $36,200–$65,160 screening

This home requires significant exterior repairs and maintenance, including roof and siding, to improve its condition and value.

Repairs flagged

  • Major roof — Signs of significant damage
  • Major exterior siding — Worn and peeling
  • Major landscaping — Overgrown and unkempt

Value-add opportunities

  • Both landscaping — Improves curb appeal and property value
  • Both paint exterior — Enhances home's appearance and value
  • Both repair roof — Prevents further damage and improves home's value

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

F Composite school gradezoned avg 44/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary John F Hughes Elementary School F NY #1,646/2,108 Nat'l #24,950/41,679 Middle Senator James H Donovan Middle School F NY #611/729 Nat'l #10,474/14,009 High Thomas R Proctor High School B+ NY #659/1,100 Nat'l #1,751/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Utica City School District
NCES district ID
3629370
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$31,834
Composite
29.01/100
National rank
#6613
State rank
#562 of 590 in NY
A Composite livability gradescore 80/100

Livability — Utica

Score
80/100
State rank
#104
US rank
#1589

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Utica, NY
County
Oneida County · 225,223 people
City population
72,968
Metro
Utica-Rome, NY
Population (ZIP)
38,931
Household income
$52,548
Rent vs Own
49.2% rent · 50.8% own
Severe rent burden
8% of renters

Population outlook (Oneida County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
225,223 people
By 2030
220,384 · -2.1%
By 2040
209,071 · -7.2%
By 2050
197,920 · -12.1%
By 2075
175,541 · -22.1%
By 2100
148,491 · -34.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
Race & ethnicity
White 49% Two or more races 15% Hispanic / Latino 14% Black 14% Asian 14%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 8% Dominican 4%
Common ancestry
American 8% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
25% · Canada, Philippines, Vietnam
Languages at home
62% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 11% Russian/Polish/Slavic 10% Spanish 9%

Political lean MEDSL · Oneida

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.3) · D 39.4% · R 60.6%
2008→2024 swing
-15.2pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -21.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.3 2020: R+15.5 2016: R+21.1 2012: R+5.3 2008: R+6.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

+93.9% since first listed
20 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-17 Listing Removed CNYIS
  • 2026-05-16 Listing Removed CNYIS
  • 2026-05-16 Listing Removed CNYIS
  • 2026-05-16 Listing Removed CNYIS
  • 2026-05-16 Price Changed $159,000 CNYIS
  • 2026-05-10 Listing Removed CNYIS
  • 2026-05-05 Listing Removed CNYIS
  • 2026-04-23 Price Changed $165,000 CNYIS
  • 2026-01-16 Price Changed $169,000 CNYIS
  • 2026-01-06 Listed $185,000 CNYIS
  • 2018-07-25 Sold (Public Records) $89,994 Public Records
  • 2018-07-20 Sold (MLS) $89,994 CNYIS
  • 2018-04-23 Listed $87,500 CNYIS
  • 2017-08-07 Listing Removed CNYIS
  • 2017-07-24 Listed $84,900 CNYIS
  • 2015-10-21 Sold (Public Records) $79,500 Public Records
  • 2015-10-20 Listed $82,000 CNYIS
  • 2015-10-20 Sold (MLS) $79,500 CNYIS
  • 2015-10-19 Sold (MLS) $79,500 CNYIS
  • 2015-05-28 Listed $82,000 CNYIS

Property tax history

+4.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,814 · +5.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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