1933 Butterfield Ave · Utica, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.5/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
$159,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
MOVE IN IS AN UNDER STATEMENT IN THIS CHARMIMG S. UTICA HOME! From the minute you enter you’ll enjoy the GLEAMING HARDWOOD FLOORS, beautiful formal entrance with stunning split staircase, updated open kitchen layout, formal dining room opening to a spacious living room! Second floor offers an office and BONUS SUN ROOM PORCH, 3 good size bedrooms, updated bath and again AMAZING HARDWOODS! Other highlights include a walk-up attic, NEW FURNACE, PRIVATE FENCED IN YARD & CONVENIENT AREA! DON’T WAIT!
Key facts
- Updated windows
- Fenced in backyard
- New appliances
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $160k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $526 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
- Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 8.0% in Utica — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#104 in NY, #1,589 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
- Utica City School District (urban): math 33% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #562 of 590 in NY (top 95%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: John F Hughes Elementary School (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,646 of 2,108 statewide, top 80%, 355 students, 81% FRL); Senator James H Donovan Middle School (math 19% / reading 30%, grade F, #611 of 729 statewide, top 88%, 730 students, 84% FRL); Thomas R Proctor High School (math 86% / reading 62%, grade B+, #659 of 1,100 statewide, top 60%, 2,675 students, 76% FRL).
- Market conditions: 260 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 204 units permitted in Oneida County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,002/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($53k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $17k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Oneida County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$43k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $90k; list at $160k implies a 78% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.25% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.24%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.09%
- DSCR
- 1.63
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $218,225
- List price
- $159,900
- Delta
- -26.73%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 79 Emerson Ave | 0.16mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,440 (-1%) | 3mo | $106,000 | $74 | 84 |
| 803 Mildred Ave | 0.30mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,423 (-2%) | 5mo | $115,000 | $81 | 72 |
| 90 Ballantyne Brae | 0.33mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,428 (-1%) | 4mo | $284,000 | $199 | 72 |
| 26 Greenwood Ct | 0.37mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,422 (-2%) | 3mo | $124,500 | $88 | 70 |
| 19 Rose Pl | 0.25mi | 3/1.5 | 1,612 (+11%) | 0mo | $170,000 | $105 | 69 |
| 1656 Bennett St | 0.50mi | 3/1.5 | 1,344 (-7%) | 5mo | $190,000 | $141 | 61 |
| 1803 Baker Ave | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,638 (+13%) | 4mo | $223,000 | $136 | 59 |
| 27 Beverly Pl | 0.64mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,410 (-3%) | 3mo | $250,000 | $177 | 56 |
| 2120 Sunset Ave | 0.40mi | 3/1.5 | 1,657 (+14%) | 1mo | $225,000 | $136 | 56 |
| 2411 Sunset Ave | 0.75mi | 3/1.5 | 1,506 (+4%) | 3mo | $222,500 | $148 | 56 |
| 804 Symonds Pl | 0.29mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,661 (+15%) | 7mo | $180,000 | $108 | 51 |
| 105 Dryden Ave | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,295 (-11%) | 1mo | $200,900 | $155 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 34.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.69×
- Total profit
- $120,557
- Equity at exit
- $144,051
- IRR
- 29.9%
- Equity multiple
- 8.34×
- Total profit
- $328,701
- Equity at exit
- $310,651
Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 12 active · 36 under contract
- Months of supply
- 2.9 mo (35%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $184,900 ($126/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 35 d
- This list price
- 25% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +19.2% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 13501
- Home prices YoY
- 5.6%
- Active inventory
- 260
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,002 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax from tax record
- −$151 /mo · $1,814/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$420
- Net cashflow
- $526
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $616 | -5% $571 | +0% $526 | +5% $480 | +10% $435 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $367 | -5% $446 | +0% $526 | +5% $605 | +10% $684 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $606 | -0.5pp $566 | base $526 | +0.5pp $484 | +1.0pp $442 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,975
- Closing costs
- $4,797
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1401 Mather Ave #1 Utica, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,375 | $1.06 | 2d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1503 Fox Pl Utica, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1119 | $2,000 | $1.79 | 139d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 10 Foery Dr #105 Utica, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1197 | $2,295 | $1.92 | 2d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 11 Noyes St Unit 4 Utica, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,125 | $1.12 | 139d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 2606 Sunset Ave #1 Utica, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $3,000 | $2.31 | 5d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 2606 Sunset Ave #1 Utica, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $3,000 | $2.31 | 2d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 33 Higby Rd Utica, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1250 | $2,300 | $1.84 | 2d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 31 Higby Rd Utica, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $2,300 | $1.53 | 2d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 20 Cottage Pl Apt 6 Utica, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 6d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 308 Hartford Pl Utica, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1340 | $2,000 | $1.49 | 2d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 225 Thieme Pl Utica, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1872 | $2,150 | $1.15 | 139d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 1029 Downer Ave Unit 1st Floor Utica, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 2d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-05-19$159,900 Active 492-char remark
-
2026-05-16price $159,000
-
2026-04-23price $165,000
-
2026-01-16price $169,000
-
2018-07-25soldstatus $89,994
-
2018-07-20soldstatus $89,994
Show marketing remark (517 chars)
MOVE IN IS AN UNDER STATEMENT IN THIS CHARMIMG S. UTICA HOME! From the minute you enter you’ll enjoy the GLEAMING HARDWOOD FLOORS, beautiful formal entrance with stunning split staircase, updated open kitchen layout, formal dining room opening to a spacious living room! Second floor offers an office and BONUS SUN ROOM PORCH, 3 good size bedrooms, updated bath and again AMAZING HARDWOODS! Other highlights include a walk-up attic, NEW FURNACE, PRIVATE FENCED IN YARD & CONVENIENT AREA! DON’T WAIT!
-
2018-04-23$87,500
Show marketing remark (517 chars)
MOVE IN IS AN UNDER STATEMENT IN THIS CHARMIMG S. UTICA HOME! From the minute you enter you’ll enjoy the GLEAMING HARDWOOD FLOORS, beautiful formal entrance with stunning split staircase, updated open kitchen layout, formal dining room opening to a spacious living room! Second floor offers an office and BONUS SUN ROOM PORCH, 3 good size bedrooms, updated bath and again AMAZING HARDWOODS! Other highlights include a walk-up attic, NEW FURNACE, PRIVATE FENCED IN YARD & CONVENIENT AREA! DON’T WAIT!
-
2017-08-07historical
-
2017-07-24$84,900
-
2015-10-21soldstatus $79,500
-
2015-10-20soldstatus $79,500
-
2015-10-20$82,000
-
2015-10-19soldstatus $79,500
-
2015-05-28$82,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,814 · $151/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,258 · $188/mo
- Expected delta
- +$444/yr (+$37/mo · 24.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,028
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,957
- − Property taxes
- −$1,814
- − Insurance
- −$800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,922
- − Management
- −$1,922
- − Depreciation
- −$4,652
- Taxable income
- $3,962
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$951
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,356/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos
This home requires significant exterior repairs and maintenance, including roof and siding, to improve its condition and value.
Repairs flagged
- Major roof — Signs of significant damage
- Major exterior siding — Worn and peeling
- Major landscaping — Overgrown and unkempt
Value-add opportunities
- Both landscaping — Improves curb appeal and property value ↑
- Both paint exterior — Enhances home's appearance and value ↑
- Both repair roof — Prevents further damage and improves home's value ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Utica City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3629370
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,834
- Composite
- 29.01/100
- National rank
- #6613
- State rank
- #562 of 590 in NY
Livability — Utica
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #104
- US rank
- #1589
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Utica, NY
- County
- Oneida County · 225,223 people
- City population
- 72,968
- Metro
- Utica-Rome, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,931
- Household income
- $52,548
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 8% of renters
Population outlook (Oneida County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 225,223 people
- By 2030
- 220,384 · -2.1%
- By 2040
- 209,071 · -7.2%
- By 2050
- 197,920 · -12.1%
- By 2075
- 175,541 · -22.1%
- By 2100
- 148,491 · -34.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 49% Two or more races 15% Hispanic / Latino 14% Black 14% Asian 14%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 8% Dominican 4%
- Common ancestry
- American 8% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 25% · Canada, Philippines, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 62% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 11% Russian/Polish/Slavic 10% Spanish 9%
Political lean MEDSL · Oneida
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.3) · D 39.4% · R 60.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.2pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -21.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.3 2020: R+15.5 2016: R+21.1 2012: R+5.3 2008: R+6.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 20.28%
- Current HPI
- 382.3726
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Utica-Rome, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+93.9% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-17 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2026-05-16 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2026-05-16 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2026-05-16 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2026-05-16 Price Changed $159,000 CNYIS
- 2026-05-10 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2026-05-05 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2026-04-23 Price Changed $165,000 CNYIS
- 2026-01-16 Price Changed $169,000 CNYIS
- 2026-01-06 Listed $185,000 CNYIS
- 2018-07-25 Sold (Public Records) $89,994 Public Records
- 2018-07-20 Sold (MLS) $89,994 CNYIS
- 2018-04-23 Listed $87,500 CNYIS
- 2017-08-07 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2017-07-24 Listed $84,900 CNYIS
- 2015-10-21 Sold (Public Records) $79,500 Public Records
- 2015-10-20 Listed $82,000 CNYIS
- 2015-10-20 Sold (MLS) $79,500 CNYIS
- 2015-10-19 Sold (MLS) $79,500 CNYIS
- 2015-05-28 Listed $82,000 CNYIS
Property tax history
+4.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,814 · +5.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…