109 S Lakeview Ave · Kewanee, IL
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$29,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Located near Kewanee High School, this 4-bedroom, 1-bath home offers plenty of room and potential for buyers looking for space, convenience, and opportunity. The property features a 2-car attached garage for added functionality, along with alley access that provides additional convenience and flexibility. Inside, the home offers a practical layout with a large pantry area for extra storage and organization, and a rear porch that creates additional outdoor living space perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The basement includes walk-out access, adding to the home's versatility for storage, workspace, or future possibilities. The home is being sold as-is, with no guarantees on the condition of mechanical systems, and the seller will make no repairs. Whether you're looking for your next project or a property with solid potential, this home offers plenty of possibilities.
Key facts
- 6,098 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1900
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $30k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $759 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $30k).
- Recommended offer: $29k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 39.0% vs local median 8.6% in Kewanee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#409 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: schools F, crime D-, amenities F.
- Kewanee CUSD 229 (town): math 8% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #540 of 620 in IL (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 39 active listings in the ZIP; 32 units permitted in Henry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $207 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $897 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Henry County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($29k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price; flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.47% ✓
- Cap rate
- 38.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- 116.70%
- DSCR
- 6.19
- GRM
- 1.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $48,788
- List price
- $29,900
- Delta
- -38.71%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 109 S Lakeview Ave | 0.00mi | 4/1.0 | 1,210 (-14%) | 1mo | $24,750 | $20 | 75 |
| 328 E Prospect St | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,443 (+2%) | 2mo | $110,000 | $76 | 68 |
| 522 E 5th St | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,508 (+7%) | 1mo | $111,000 | $74 | 63 |
| 708 Williams St | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,429 (+1%) | 13mo | $81,000 | $57 | 58 |
| 405 Mckinley Ave | 0.53mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,500 (+6%) | 8mo | $155,000 | $103 | 51 |
| 613 Roosevelt Ave | 0.51mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,560 (+10%) | 6mo | $150,000 | $96 | 47 |
| 301 E Oak St | 0.47mi | 4/1.5 | 1,577 (+12%) | 16mo | $155,000 | $98 | 44 |
| 114 Roosevelt Avenue A | 0.71mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,352 (-4%) | 13mo | $114,500 | $85 | 42 |
| 510 E 9th St | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,391 (-2%) | 15mo | $60,000 | $43 | 41 |
| 115 Roosevelt Ave | 0.72mi | 4/1.5 | 1,562 (+10%) | 8mo | $15,000 | $10 | 40 |
| 312 E Division St | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,248 (-12%) | 4mo | $55,000 | $44 | 39 |
| 612 N Burr St | 0.68mi | 4/1.0 | 1,221 (-14%) | 10mo | $55,000 | $45 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 6.20×
- Total profit
- $43,550
- Equity at exit
- $4,458
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 13.00×
- Total profit
- $100,449
- Equity at exit
- $2,585
Cash invested: $8,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61443
- Active inventory
- 39
- Price-to-rent
- 1.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,336 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$157
- Tax from tax record
- −$72 /mo · $860/yr
- Insurance
- −$12
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$280
- Net cashflow
- $759
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $776 | -5% $767 | +0% $759 | +5% $750 | +10% $742 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $653 | -5% $706 | +0% $759 | +5% $811 | +10% $864 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $774 | -0.5pp $766 | base $759 | +0.5pp $751 | +1.0pp $743 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $7,475
- Closing costs
- $897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-13status Pending 880-char remark
Show marketing remark (880 chars)
Located near Kewanee High School, this 4-bedroom, 1-bath home offers plenty of room and potential for buyers looking for space, convenience, and opportunity. The property features a 2-car attached garage for added functionality, along with alley access that provides additional convenience and flexibility. Inside, the home offers a practical layout with a large pantry area for extra storage and organization, and a rear porch that creates additional outdoor living space perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The basement includes walk-out access, adding to the home's versatility for storage, workspace, or future possibilities. The home is being sold as-is, with no guarantees on the condition of mechanical systems, and the seller will make no repairs. Whether you're looking for your next project or a property with solid potential, this home offers plenty of possibilities.
-
2026-04-21$29,900 Active 880-char remark
Show marketing remark (880 chars)
Located near Kewanee High School, this 4-bedroom, 1-bath home offers plenty of room and potential for buyers looking for space, convenience, and opportunity. The property features a 2-car attached garage for added functionality, along with alley access that provides additional convenience and flexibility. Inside, the home offers a practical layout with a large pantry area for extra storage and organization, and a rear porch that creates additional outdoor living space perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The basement includes walk-out access, adding to the home's versatility for storage, workspace, or future possibilities. The home is being sold as-is, with no guarantees on the condition of mechanical systems, and the seller will make no repairs. Whether you're looking for your next project or a property with solid potential, this home offers plenty of possibilities.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $860 · $72/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $860 · $72/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,028
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,675
- − Property taxes
- −$860
- − Insurance
- −$816
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,282
- − Management
- −$1,282
- − Depreciation
- −$870
- Taxable income
- $9,242
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,218
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,886/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Kewanee CUSD 229
- NCES district ID
- 1721000
- Math proficiency
- 8% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,294
- Composite
- 11.77/100
- National rank
- #9682
- State rank
- #540 of 620 in IL
Livability — Kewanee
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #409
- US rank
- #8423
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kewanee, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,529
Population outlook (Henry County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 47,376 people
- By 2030
- 45,920 · -3.1%
- By 2040
- 42,829 · -9.6%
- By 2050
- 39,606 · -16.4%
- By 2075
- 31,848 · -32.8%
- By 2100
- 23,503 · -50.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Hispanic / Latino 11% Black 6% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% English 3% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Henry
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.5) · D 36.8% · R 61.3% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.2pp toward R · 2008: 7.7pp · 2024: -24.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.5 2020: R+21.4 2016: R+21.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+7.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -68.32%
- Current HPI
- 121.8672
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-21 Listed $29,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+4.2%/yrLatest (2024): $860 · +22.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…