1206 Irene · Baldwin, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +7.5/30.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- 1% rule +2.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$219,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 4 Bedroom home sits on a private cal-de-sac and is a great starter home or investment property. Ready to live in as is, or come do some cosmetic updates to make it your own! Complete with 2 full bathrooms and a half bath. Property benefits include large deck in the rear, hardwood floors throughout and a spacious finished game room - great for entertainment! Additional work area underneath the garage for additional workspace.
Key facts
- 8,712 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1960
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: 2-story residence; Resale property
- Construction: Asphalt roof
- Exterior features: Brick and vinyl siding exterior; Lot dimensions approximately 63 x 121 x 60 x 117
Interior
- Flooring: Hardwood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Gas heating
- Interior features: Finished basement; Hardwood floors; Living room fireplace
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $220k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-275 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $171k (22.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $173k (21.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $171k (22.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 4.8% vs local median 3.5% in Baldwin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#189 in PA, #1,596 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A; Watch: schools D+, commute F.
- Baldwin-Whitehall SD (suburban): math 34% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #246 of 539 in PA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.7%/yr); 115 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,996 units permitted in Allegheny County in 2024 (1,588 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($213k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.79% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.79%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.36%
- DSCR
- 0.76
- GRM
- 10.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $264,946
- List price
- $219,900
- Delta
- -17.00%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3475 Bench Dr | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,528 (+3%) | 9mo | $275,000 | $180 | 78 |
| 3914 Frederick St | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,476 (-0%) | 2mo | $309,900 | $210 | 69 |
| 1317 Cathell Rd | 0.26mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,426 (-4%) | 11mo | $250,000 | $175 | 66 |
| 1318 Cathell Rd | 0.26mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,350 (-9%) | 2mo | $275,000 | $204 | 64 |
| 3812 Louisa St | 0.48mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,443 (-3%) | 3mo | $188,000 | $130 | 64 |
| 27 Flora Rd | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,433 (-3%) | 1mo | $293,900 | $205 | 64 |
| 3464 Pleasantvue Dr | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,592 (+7%) | 2mo | $280,000 | $176 | 63 |
| 3883 Frederick St | 0.57mi | 4/3.0 | 1,610 (+8%) | 6mo | $310,000 | $193 | 51 |
| 1441 Cathell Rd | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,611 (+9%) | 8mo | $190,000 | $118 | 49 |
| 33 Green Glen Dr | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,369 (-8%) | 20mo | $275,000 | $201 | 36 |
| 3905 Frederick St | 0.55mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,288 (-13%) | 12mo | $280,000 | $217 | 35 |
| 3786 Louisa St | 0.48mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,660 (+12%) | 21mo | $330,000 | $199 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.74% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -22.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.22×
- Total profit
- $-48,136
- Equity at exit
- $32,788
- IRR
- -10.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.31×
- Total profit
- $-42,784
- Equity at exit
- $19,013
Cash invested: $61,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15236
- Rents YoY
- 5.7%
- Active inventory
- 115
- Price-to-rent
- 10.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,729 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,153
- Tax from tax record
- −$396 /mo · $4,751/yr
- Insurance
- −$92
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$363
- Net cashflow
- $-275
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-150 | -5% $-213 | +0% $-275 | +5% $-337 | +10% $-399 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-411 | -5% $-343 | +0% $-275 | +5% $-206 | +10% $-138 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-164 | -0.5pp $-219 | base $-275 | +0.5pp $-332 | +1.0pp $-390 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $54,975
- Closing costs
- $6,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3341 Recker Dr Pittsburgh, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 875 | $1,790 | $2.05 | 44d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 3341 Recker Dr Pittsburgh, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1174 | $1,750 | $1.49 | 24d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 1053 Edward Dr Pittsburgh, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1163 | $1,700 | $1.46 | 24d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $219,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $219,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $219,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $219,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $219,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $219,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $219,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $219,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $219,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $219,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $219,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $219,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $219,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-04-27$239,900 Active 28-char remark
-
2024-01-02price $199,000 433-char remark
Show marketing remark (433 chars)
This 4 Bedroom home sits on a private cal-de-sac and is a great starter home or investment property. Ready to live in as is, or come do some cosmetic updates to make it your own! Complete with 2 full bathrooms and a half bath. Property benefits include large deck in the rear, hardwood floors throughout and a spacious finished game room - great for entertainment! Additional work area underneath the garage for additional workspace.
-
2023-12-20price $209,000 433-char remark
Show marketing remark (433 chars)
This 4 Bedroom home sits on a private cal-de-sac and is a great starter home or investment property. Ready to live in as is, or come do some cosmetic updates to make it your own! Complete with 2 full bathrooms and a half bath. Property benefits include large deck in the rear, hardwood floors throughout and a spacious finished game room - great for entertainment! Additional work area underneath the garage for additional workspace.
-
2023-12-11$229,000 Active 433-char remark
Show marketing remark (433 chars)
This 4 Bedroom home sits on a private cal-de-sac and is a great starter home or investment property. Ready to live in as is, or come do some cosmetic updates to make it your own! Complete with 2 full bathrooms and a half bath. Property benefits include large deck in the rear, hardwood floors throughout and a spacious finished game room - great for entertainment! Additional work area underneath the garage for additional workspace.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,751 · $396/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,751 · $396/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,749
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,318
- − Property taxes
- −$4,751
- − Insurance
- −$1,100
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,660
- − Management
- −$1,660
- − Depreciation
- −$6,397
- Taxable loss
- −$7,137
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,713
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,584/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baldwin-Whitehall SD
- NCES district ID
- 4202970
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -20.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,368
- Composite
- 39.79/100
- National rank
- #3880
- State rank
- #246 of 539 in PA
Livability — Baldwin
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #189
- US rank
- #1596
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Baldwin, PA
- County
- Allegheny County · 1,022,028 people
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,313
- Household income
- $90,767
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 732.0
Population outlook (Allegheny County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,250,282 people
- By 2030
- 1,256,482 · +0.5%
- By 2040
- 1,256,318 · +0.5%
- By 2050
- 1,244,169 · -0.5%
- By 2075
- 1,197,693 · -4.2%
- By 2100
- 1,093,187 · -12.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Asian 9% Black 3% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Scotch-Irish 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · India, Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Other Indo-European 8% Spanish 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Allegheny
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.3) · D 59.7% · R 39.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.8pp toward D · 2008: 15.5pp · 2024: 20.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.3 2020: D+20.4 2016: D+16.4 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+15.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -194.15%
- Current HPI
- 255.0278
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.74%
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
-4.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-30 Price Changed $219,900 West Penn MLS
- 2026-04-27 Listed $239,900 West Penn MLS
- 2024-01-02 Price Changed $199,000 West Penn MLS
- 2023-12-20 Price Changed $209,000 West Penn MLS
- 2023-12-11 Listed $229,000 West Penn MLS
Property tax history
+2.2%/yrLatest (2026): $4,751 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…