1904 E Cornell Ave · Springfield, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Check out this large 2 story home with 5 large bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, 1858sqft, sits on 2 lots. This 1993 built home has newer windows, flooring, doors brand new roof & soffit in 2021. Challenge you to find a 5 bedroom & 2 baths priced below $70k. Home is currently rented to long term tenant of (8 to 9 years) and WAY BELOW market rent of $960 a month, Tenant pays all utilities including yard and snow maintenance. Can be sold as package with 711 Governor CA1012868
Key facts
- 7,000 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Built 1993
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Parking pad (no garage)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; Two levels; Built in 1993
- Construction: Shingle roof; Not new construction
- Exterior features: Shed(s); Level lot; Paved road access; Lot approximately 50 x 140
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level with laminate flooring
- Bedrooms: 5 bedrooms; Primary/main bedroom approximately 13 x 13 with carpet and egress window; Upper level bedroom approximately 14 x 11 with carpet and egress window; Upper level bedroom approximately 11 x 11 with carpet and egress window; Upper level bedroom approximately 11 x 11 with carpet and egress window; Upper level bedroom approximately 9 x 10 with carpet and egress window
- Flooring: Carpet in bedrooms; Laminate in main living areas and kitchen
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
- Interior features: No basement; No fireplaces
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
- Cap rate 22.5% vs local median 4.9% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#122 in IL, #2,138 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F.
- Springfield SD 186 (urban): math 17% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #438 of 620 in IL (top 71%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+12.2%/yr); 107 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 225 units permitted in Sangamon County in 2024 (48 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,081/mo this rent would consume 55% of the median local household income ($45k/yr) (locally 1626% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sangamon County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $60k; 33% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.60% ✓
- Cap rate
- 22.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 57.96%
- DSCR
- 3.58
- GRM
- 3.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 62.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.99×
- Total profit
- $66,906
- Equity at exit
- $11,913
- IRR
- 68.4%
- Equity multiple
- 9.81×
- Total profit
- $197,077
- Equity at exit
- $6,908
Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62703
- Home prices YoY
- -28.9%
- Rents YoY
- 12.2%
- Active inventory
- 107
- Price-to-rent
- 3.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,081 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$419
- Tax from tax record
- −$111 /mo · $1,330/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$437
- Net cashflow
- $1,081
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,975
- Closing costs
- $2,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1329 South St Springfield, IL | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2462 | $2,450 | $1.00 | 20d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 1933 S 2nd St Springfield, IL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1433 | $1,400 | $0.98 | 43d | 1 | 1.30mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-03statusdays on market $79,900 Pending 2 DOM
-
2026-06-01remarks 329-char remark
-
2026-06-01$79,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,330 · $111/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,572 · $131/mo
- Expected delta
- +$242/yr (+$20/mo · 18.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,967
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,476
- − Property taxes
- −$1,330
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,997
- − Management
- −$1,997
- − Depreciation
- −$2,324
- Taxable income
- $12,443
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,986
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,980/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Springfield SD 186
- NCES district ID
- 1737080
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 22% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,744
- Composite
- 16.89/100
- National rank
- #9142
- State rank
- #438 of 620 in IL
Livability — Springfield
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #122
- US rank
- #2138
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Springfield, IL
- County
- Sangamon County · 115,414 people
- City population
- 59,955
- Metro
- Springfield, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,922
- Household income
- $45,009
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1626.0
Population outlook (Sangamon County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 198,317 people
- By 2030
- 196,127 · -1.1%
- By 2040
- 188,664 · -4.9%
- By 2050
- 179,624 · -9.4%
- By 2075
- 155,027 · -21.8%
- By 2100
- 122,588 · -38.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 53% Black 35% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Sangamon
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 46.6% · R 51.6% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.3pp toward R · 2008: 4.4pp · 2024: -5.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.0 2020: R+4.4 2016: R+9.4 2012: R+8.7 2008: D+4.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -59.69%
- Current HPI
- 147.0877
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 12.19%
- Metro
- Springfield, IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+40.2% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Listed $79,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-07-07 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
- 2022-07-06 Sold (MLS) $60,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-06-20 Contingent — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-03-09 Listed $65,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-08-06 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-08-06 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-03-22 Sold (MLS) $35,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-08-07 Listed $40,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-01-22 Sold (MLS) $24,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-11-29 Listed $23,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1999-10-28 Listed $57,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1999-10-28 Sold (MLS) $57,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-1.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,330 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…