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3895 State Route 147
C Composite 57.93
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.8/30.0
  • DSCR +8.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$85,000

3895 State Route 147 · Vienna, IL 62995
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,192 sqft · SingleFamily · 17 Days on market
Built 1978 1.20 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Affordable Ranch, 3 Bedroom-2 Bath Home on 1+ Acres with Carport, Older Buildings & A Beautiful Back Yard! All Appliances! Call Today To See!!

Key facts

  • Beautiful back yard
  • Ranch home
  • Carport

Tags

RANCH HOME1 ACRESCARPORTBEAUTIFUL BACK YARDALL APPLIANCES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property located in unincorporated area; Directions: Rt 146E–St Rt 147N; listing 3.8 miles on left
  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Parking: Space for 6 vehicles
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story layout; Fee simple ownership
  • Construction: Vinyl siding exterior; Estimated age 41–50 years; Not rebuilt or rehabilitated; Built after 1978
  • Exterior features: Approximately 1.0–1.99 acre parcel; Lot dimensions: 251 x 237 x 267 x 250; School bus service available

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (8 x 12)
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main level (12 x 14) with full bath; Bedroom on main level (11 x 11); Bedroom on main level (9 x 11)
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Electric baseboard heat; Wall unit cooling
  • Interior features: Six total rooms; Living room (17 x 17); Family room; Dining room (10 x 12)
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry (6 x 10)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $180 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
  • Recommended offer: $84k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#678 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Vienna Hsd 133 (rural): math 15% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #630 of 919 in IL (top 69%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Vienna High School (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #397 of 693 statewide, top 61%, 322 students, 0% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 31 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Johnson County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $64k; 33% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $83,725 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.20%
Cap rate
8.83%
Cash-on-cash
9.06%
DSCR
1.40
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$263,432
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3220 Pleasant Ridge Rd 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,040 (-13%) 15mo $230,000 $221 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.6%
Equity multiple
0.90×
Total profit
$-2,295
Equity at exit
$12,674
10-year hold
IRR
7.2%
Equity multiple
1.54×
Total profit
$12,891
Equity at exit
$7,349

Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62995

Home prices YoY
-20.1%
Active inventory
31
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,020 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$446
Tax from tax record
$145 /mo · $1,738/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$214
Net cashflow
$180

Break-even live

Break-even rent $792
Max offer price $85,000
Occupancy floor 77%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $228 -5% $204 +0% $180 +5% $156 +10% $131
Rent -10% $99 -5% $139 +0% $180 +5% $220 +10% $260
Rate -1.0pp $222 -0.5pp $201 base $180 +0.5pp $158 +1.0pp $135

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,250
Closing costs
$2,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $85,000 Active 17 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $85,000 Active 16 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $85,000 Active 15 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $85,000 Active 14 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $85,000 Active 12 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $85,000 Active 11 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $85,000 Active 8 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $85,000 Active 7 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $85,000 Active 6 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $85,000 Active 4 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $85,000 Active 2 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    remarks 144-char remark
  13. 2026-06-01
    listed $85,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,738 · $145/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,834 · $153/mo
Expected delta
+$96/yr (+$8/mo · 5.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,237
− Mortgage interest
−$4,761
− Property taxes
−$1,738
− Insurance
−$425
− Repairs & maintenance
−$979
− Management
−$979
− Depreciation
−$2,473
Taxable income
$882
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$212
After-tax cash flow
$1,944/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Vienna Hsd 133
NCES district ID
1740290
Math proficiency
15% ▲ 5.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$40,197
Composite
24.12/100
National rank
#13157
State rank
#630 of 919 in IL

Livability — Vienna

Score
64/100
State rank
#678
US rank
#13848

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
6,477
Population (ZIP)
6,477

Population outlook (Johnson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
13,355 people
By 2030
13,579 · +1.7%
By 2040
13,849 · +3.7%
By 2050
13,880 · +3.9%
By 2075
13,759 · +3.0%
By 2100
11,536 · -13.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Black 15% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Serbian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · German/W. Germanic 2% Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Johnson

2024 margin
Solid R (+58.3) · D 20.3% · R 78.6% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-23.7pp toward R · 2008: -34.6pp · 2024: -58.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+58.3 2020: R+58.6 2016: R+58.3 2012: R+42.1 2008: R+34.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -36.69%
Current HPI
145.9396
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+21.4% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Listed $85,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-08-28 Sold (MLS) $64,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-08-21 Sold (Public Records) $64,000 Public Records
  • 2006-02-23 Listed $70,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+3.7%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,738 · +64.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…