3895 State Route 147 · Vienna, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.8/30.0
- DSCR +8.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Affordable Ranch, 3 Bedroom-2 Bath Home on 1+ Acres with Carport, Older Buildings & A Beautiful Back Yard! All Appliances! Call Today To See!!
Key facts
- Beautiful back yard
- Ranch home
- Carport
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property located in unincorporated area; Directions: Rt 146E–St Rt 147N; listing 3.8 miles on left
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: Space for 6 vehicles
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story layout; Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Vinyl siding exterior; Estimated age 41–50 years; Not rebuilt or rehabilitated; Built after 1978
- Exterior features: Approximately 1.0–1.99 acre parcel; Lot dimensions: 251 x 237 x 267 x 250; School bus service available
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (8 x 12)
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main level (12 x 14) with full bath; Bedroom on main level (11 x 11); Bedroom on main level (9 x 11)
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric baseboard heat; Wall unit cooling
- Interior features: Six total rooms; Living room (17 x 17); Family room; Dining room (10 x 12)
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry (6 x 10)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $180 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $84k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#678 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Vienna Hsd 133 (rural): math 15% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #630 of 919 in IL (top 69%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Vienna High School (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #397 of 693 statewide, top 61%, 322 students, 0% FRL).
- Market conditions: 31 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Johnson County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $64k; 33% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.83%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.06%
- DSCR
- 1.40
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $263,432
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3220 Pleasant Ridge Rd | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,040 (-13%) | 15mo | $230,000 | $221 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.90×
- Total profit
- $-2,295
- Equity at exit
- $12,674
- IRR
- 7.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.54×
- Total profit
- $12,891
- Equity at exit
- $7,349
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62995
- Home prices YoY
- -20.1%
- Active inventory
- 31
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,020 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax from tax record
- −$145 /mo · $1,738/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$214
- Net cashflow
- $180
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $228 | -5% $204 | +0% $180 | +5% $156 | +10% $131 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $99 | -5% $139 | +0% $180 | +5% $220 | +10% $260 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $222 | -0.5pp $201 | base $180 | +0.5pp $158 | +1.0pp $135 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $85,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $85,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $85,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $85,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $85,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $85,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $85,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $85,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $85,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $85,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $85,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-01remarks 144-char remark
-
2026-06-01$85,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,738 · $145/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,834 · $153/mo
- Expected delta
- +$96/yr (+$8/mo · 5.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,237
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$1,738
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$979
- − Management
- −$979
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $882
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$212
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,944/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Vienna Hsd 133
- NCES district ID
- 1740290
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▲ 5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,197
- Composite
- 24.12/100
- National rank
- #13157
- State rank
- #630 of 919 in IL
Livability — Vienna
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #678
- US rank
- #13848
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 6,477
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,477
Population outlook (Johnson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 13,355 people
- By 2030
- 13,579 · +1.7%
- By 2040
- 13,849 · +3.7%
- By 2050
- 13,880 · +3.9%
- By 2075
- 13,759 · +3.0%
- By 2100
- 11,536 · -13.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Black 15% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Serbian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · German/W. Germanic 2% Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Johnson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+58.3) · D 20.3% · R 78.6% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.7pp toward R · 2008: -34.6pp · 2024: -58.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+58.3 2020: R+58.6 2016: R+58.3 2012: R+42.1 2008: R+34.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -36.69%
- Current HPI
- 145.9396
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+21.4% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Listed $85,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-08-28 Sold (MLS) $64,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-08-21 Sold (Public Records) $64,000 Public Records
- 2006-02-23 Listed $70,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+3.7%/yrLatest (2024): $1,738 · +64.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…