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4015 Center Ave
B- Composite 68.43
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$149,900

4015 Center Ave · Munhall, PA 15120
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,715 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 28 Days on market
Built 1920 3,798 sqft lot Est $256k · 41% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

2 story brick with full covered front porch, 2 car detached garage and rear fenced yard. Livingroom features decorative stone fireplace.

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Off street parking
  • Fenced rear yard

Tags

COVERED FRONT PORCHOFF STREET PARKINGFENCED REAR YARDDECORATIVE STONE FIREPLACEMAIN ROOF JUST REPLACED

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking for 2 vehicles
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: 2 stories; Resale property; Brick construction
  • Construction: Brick exterior
  • Exterior features: Public transportation access

Interior

  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Decorative fireplace (1); Basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $332 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
  • Recommended offer: $148k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 7.3% in Munhall — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#308 in PA, #2,734 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: employment D+, amenities F.
  • Steel Valley SD (suburban): math 29% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #403 of 539 in PA (top 75%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 92 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,996 units permitted in Allegheny County in 2024 (1,588 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($56k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.1% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $47k; list at $150k implies a 219% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $147,651 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.21%
Cap rate
8.95%
Cash-on-cash
9.48%
DSCR
1.42
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$255,535
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4635 Main St 0.39mi 4/2.5 1,760 (+3%) 6mo $250,000 $142 69
3508 Cambria St 0.35mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,600 (-7%) 3mo $157,500 $98 63
517 Brierly Ln 0.43mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,544 (-10%) 3mo $279,900 $181 52
2806 Main St 0.67mi 4/2.0 1,869 (+9%) 0mo $257,500 $138 52
4803 Aspen St 0.53mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,541 (-10%) 3mo $250,000 $162 49
252 Gates Dr 0.70mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,780 (+4%) 7mo $350,000 $197 48
4374 Homestead Duquesne Rd 0.54mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,534 (-11%) 1mo $218,000 $142 48
4839 Lougean Ave 0.62mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,548 (-10%) 4mo $225,000 $145 43
418 Diller Ave 0.59mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,492 (-13%) 1mo $255,000 $171 43
409 Victoria St 0.72mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,545 (-10%) 1mo $230,000 $149 42
127 Marham Rd 0.74mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,579 (-8%) 4mo $220,000 $139 40
145 Marham Rd 0.73mi 4/2.0 1,488 (-13%) 3mo $235,000 $158 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.06% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.7%
Equity multiple
0.97×
Total profit
$-1,155
Equity at exit
$22,351
10-year hold
IRR
10.1%
Equity multiple
1.83×
Total profit
$34,649
Equity at exit
$12,961

Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15120

Home prices YoY
-16.9%
Rents YoY
4.1%
Active inventory
92
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,813 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$786
Tax from tax record
$252 /mo · $3,028/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$381
Net cashflow
$332

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,394
Max offer price $149,900
Occupancy floor 77%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,475
Closing costs
$4,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
218 Mary St Homestead, PA 3.0 1.0 1776 $1,400 $0.79 21d 1 0.88mi
308 Lea St Homestead, PA 4.0 2.0 1480 $1,490 $1.01 3d 1 0.88mi
1254 Edgewood Dr Homestead, PA 3.0 1.0 1144 $1,725 $1.51 43d 1 0.89mi
351 W 12th Ave Homestead, PA 5.0 2.0 1856 $2,300 $1.24 1d 1 1.39mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $149,900 Active 28 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $149,900 Active 27 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $149,900 Active 26 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $149,900 Active 25 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $149,900 Active 23 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $149,900 Active 19 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $149,900 Active 18 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $149,900 Active 17 DOM
  9. 2026-06-05
    days on market $149,900 Active 14 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $149,900 Active 13 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $149,900 Active 12 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $149,900 Active 11 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $149,900 Active 10 DOM
  14. 2026-05-18
    listed $149,900 Active
  15. 2014-05-19
    soldstatus $47,000
  16. 2014-01-03
    price $26,000 136-char remark
    Show marketing remark (136 chars)

    2 story brick with full covered front porch, 2 car detached garage and rear fenced yard. Livingroom features decorative stone fireplace.

  17. 2013-12-24
    price $34,900 136-char remark
    Show marketing remark (136 chars)

    2 story brick with full covered front porch, 2 car detached garage and rear fenced yard. Livingroom features decorative stone fireplace.

  18. 2013-12-24
    soldstatus $26,000 136-char remark
    Show marketing remark (136 chars)

    2 story brick with full covered front porch, 2 car detached garage and rear fenced yard. Livingroom features decorative stone fireplace.

  19. 2013-09-26
    listed $34,900 136-char remark
    Show marketing remark (136 chars)

    2 story brick with full covered front porch, 2 car detached garage and rear fenced yard. Livingroom features decorative stone fireplace.

  20. 2013-08-14
    listed $39,900 165-char remark
    Show marketing remark (165 chars)

    2 story brick with full covered front porch, fenced-in rear yard, & 2 car garage. Decorative stone fireplace in the livingroom. Large room sizes. 1st floor den.

  21. 1999-06-03
    soldstatus $41,000
  22. 1999-05-27
    soldstatus $41,000
  23. 1999-03-29
    listed $42,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,028 · $252/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,028 · $252/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,758
− Mortgage interest
−$8,397
− Property taxes
−$3,028
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,741
− Management
−$1,741
− Depreciation
−$4,361
Taxable income
$1,742
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$418
After-tax cash flow
$3,560/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Steel Valley SD
NCES district ID
4222790
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$39,505
Composite
30.94/100
National rank
#6111
State rank
#403 of 539 in PA

Livability — Munhall

Score
78/100
State rank
#308
US rank
#2734

Category grades

Amenities F Commute B+ Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety C User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Munhall, PA
County
Allegheny County · 1,022,028 people
City population
18,029
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
Population (ZIP)
18,029
Household income
$55,714
Rent vs Own
36.8% rent · 63.2% own
Severe rent burden
669.0

Population outlook (Allegheny County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,250,282 people
By 2030
1,256,482 · +0.5%
By 2040
1,256,318 · +0.5%
By 2050
1,244,169 · -0.5%
By 2075
1,197,693 · -4.2%
By 2100
1,093,187 · -12.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Black 20% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Lithuanian 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
Foreign-born
3% · South Korea, Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Allegheny

2024 margin
Strong D (+20.3) · D 59.7% · R 39.4%
2008→2024 swing
+4.8pp toward D · 2008: 15.5pp · 2024: 20.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+20.3 2020: D+20.4 2016: D+16.4 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+15.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -59.52%
Current HPI
292.5607
Rent YoY
▲ 4.06%
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+249.4% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Listed $149,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2014-05-19 Sold (Public Records) $47,000 Public Records
  • 2014-01-03 Price Changed $26,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2013-12-24 Sold (MLS) $26,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2013-12-24 Price Changed $34,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2013-09-26 Listed $34,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2013-08-14 Listed $39,900 West Penn MLS
  • 1999-06-03 Sold (Public Records) $41,000 Public Records
  • 1999-05-27 Sold (MLS) $41,000 West Penn MLS
  • 1999-03-29 Listed $42,900 West Penn MLS

Property tax history

+3.2%/yr

Latest (2026): $3,028 · +3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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