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10471 Sunny Meadows Blvd
D Composite 40.38
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +7.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Cash flow +2.5/30.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0

$44,000

10471 Sunny Meadows Blvd · Tyler, TX 75708
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 480 sqft · Manufactured · 47 Days on market
Built 2026 Good condition $595/mo HOA · 63% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Embrace minimalist living in this thoughtfully designed 1-bedroom, 1-bath home nestled in a quiet community just outside of Tyler, Texas. Created for simplicity and ease, this low-maintenance property offers a streamlined layout where every inch is intentionally used. Enjoy slow mornings on the covered front porch and the convenience of a private parking area. Inside, the open-concept kitchen features ample cabinetry, full-size appliances, and generous counter space, flowing effortlessly into a bright, comfortable living area. Designed to support a clutter-free lifestyle without sacrificing comfort, this move-in ready home is the perfect blend of efficiency, functionality, and peaceful livi

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Private parking area
  • Ample cabinetry

Tags

COVERED FRONT PORCHPRIVATE PARKING AREAOPEN-CONCEPT KITCHENAMPLE CABINETRYFULL-SIZE APPLIANCESGENEROUS COUNTER SPACE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Active listing, list price $44,000
  • HOA & community: Association fee of 595

Exterior

  • Utilities: Electric heating and central air
  • Home design: Spec inventory — Tiny Singlewide plan
  • Exterior features: Living area of 480 (interior size)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Includes dishwasher, microwave, and refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 1 bedroom
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $44k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-152 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $22k (50.1% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($945 rent vs $44k).
  • Recommended offer: $22k (50.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 2.1% vs local median 3.5% in Tyler — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#147 in TX, #4,181 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D+, commute F.
  • Winona ISD (rural): math 32% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #539 of 826 in TX (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Winona El (math 20% / reading 26%, grade F, #3,277 of 4,322 statewide, top 77%, 565 students, 90% FRL); Winona Middle (math 42% / reading 41%, grade F, #595 of 1,662 statewide, top 37%, 251 students, 87% FRL); Winona H S (math 42% / reading 42%, grade F, #730 of 1,632 statewide, top 47%, 288 students, 80% FRL) — zoned schools average 86% FRL vs 56% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 67 active listings in the ZIP; 595 units permitted in Smith County in 2024 (45 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($304 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (5.0% local appreciation)).
  • Smith County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($43k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 63% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; major wind risk, 59% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $21,939 (50.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 50% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.15%
Cap rate
2.13%
Cash-on-cash
-14.85%
DSCR
0.34
GRM
3.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.96% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.9%
Equity multiple
1.06×
Total profit
$722
Equity at exit
$24,839
10-year hold
IRR
4.8%
Equity multiple
1.92×
Total profit
$11,353
Equity at exit
$42,790

Cash invested: $12,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75708

Home prices YoY
2.4%
Active inventory
67
Price-to-rent
3.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$945 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$231
Tax est. 1.5%
$55 /mo · $660/yr
Insurance
$18
HOA
$595
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$198
Net cashflow
$-152

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,138
Max offer price $21,939
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-122 -5% $-137 +0% $-152 +5% $-168 +10% $-183
Rent -10% $-227 -5% $-190 +0% $-152 +5% $-115 +10% $-78
Rate -1.0pp $-130 -0.5pp $-141 base $-152 +0.5pp $-164 +1.0pp $-175

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$11,000
Closing costs
$1,320
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$595 · $7,140/yr

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $44,000 Active 47 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $44,000 Active 45 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $44,000 Active 44 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $44,000 Active 43 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $44,000 Active 42 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $44,000 Active 41 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $44,000 Active 39 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $44,000 Active 38 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $44,000 Active 36 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $44,000 Active 35 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $44,000 Active 34 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $44,000 Active 33 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $44,000 Active 28 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $44,000 Active 27 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $44,000 Active 26 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $44,000 Active 25 DOM
  17. 2026-05-06
    listed $44,000 Active 732-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 66% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 59% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,341
− Mortgage interest
−$2,465
− Property taxes
−$660
− Insurance
−$220
− Repairs & maintenance
−$907
− Management
−$907
− HOA
−$7,140
− Depreciation
−$1,280
Taxable loss
−$2,238
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$537
After-tax cash flow
$-1,292/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 8 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This move-in ready, 1-bedroom, 1-bath home in Tyler, Texas, offers a clean and well-maintained interior with good curb appeal. Minor updates to the exterior and interior could significantly enhance its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint the exterior siding — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Replace the kitchen faucet — A new faucet can improve functionality and aesthetics, boosting both resale and rental appeal.
  • Both Install new window treatments — New curtains or blinds can enhance the home's curb appeal and make it more inviting for potential buyers or renters.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint the exterior siding — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Replace the kitchen faucet — A new faucet can improve functionality and aesthetics, boosting both resale and rental appeal.
  • Both Install new window treatments — New curtains or blinds can enhance the home's curb appeal and make it more inviting for potential buyers or renters.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Winona ISD
NCES district ID
4846230
Math proficiency
32% ▲ 2.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$48,761
Composite
28.98/100
National rank
#6624
State rank
#539 of 826 in TX

Livability — Tyler

Score
75/100
State rank
#147
US rank
#4181

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
127,842
Population (ZIP)
10,001

Population outlook (Smith County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
248,890 people
By 2030
261,665 · +5.1%
By 2040
286,114 · +15.0%
By 2050
308,006 · +23.8%
By 2075
354,171 · +42.3%
By 2100
372,828 · +49.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 51% White 39% Two or more races 9% Black 9% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 49%
Common ancestry
Danish 1%
Foreign-born
15% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
62% English-only · Spanish 37% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Smith

2024 margin
Solid R (+45.1) · D 27.0% · R 72.1%
2008→2024 swing
-5.6pp toward R · 2008: -39.5pp · 2024: -45.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+45.1 2020: R+39.4 2016: R+43.9 2012: R+46.9 2008: R+39.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.96%
Current HPI
216.4494
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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