710 S 10th St · Bird Island, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +9.4/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +7.2/30.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.8/10.0
- DSCR +1.4/10.0
$160,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Come and see this meticulously maintained home in the quiet community of Bird Island. It is part of a side-by-side patio twin home with an nice open floor plan. From the dining room step out to a wonderful patio that is great for entertaining friends or just relaxing on. With 2 nice sized bedrooms and 2 baths this patio home boasts a large Master bedroom with a walk-in closet and Master bath. No worries about a leaky basement here! This home is built on a solid concrete foundation. And it's handicap accessible with 36" entry doors and no steps. Call me today to set up your appointment to view this exceptional property!
Key facts
- No association
- Open-concept layout
- Garage
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; Concrete driveway; 1-car garage (approx. 18x22)
- Utilities: City water connected; City sewer connected; Natural gas fuel; Electrical service with circuit breakers
- Home design: Residential attached property; Single-story (one level); Main floor entry; Accessible features including 36"+ doors, 42"+ hallways, grab bars in bathroom, no internal or external stairs
- Construction: Asphalt roof; Slab foundation; Built with vinyl siding; Foundation dimensions approximately 42x38
- Exterior features: Patio; Vinyl exterior; Corner lot with light tree coverage; Underground utilities; City street with paved roads and storm sewer; public road maintenance
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Kitchen with breakfast bar
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level (including main floor primary)
- Bathrooms: Two three-quarter bathrooms; Main floor full bathroom; Primary ensuite with private access
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning; Electric water heater
- Interior features: All living facilities on one level; Main floor primary bedroom; Primary bedroom with ensuite and private bathroom; Breakfast bar and informal dining area; Kitchen window; Walk-in closets; Cable available
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer hookups in unit; Main level laundry in a laundry closet; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $160k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-221 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $121k (24.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $108k (32.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $108k (32.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#401 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: crime C-, health & safety D+, amenities F.
- Bird Island-Olivia-Lake Lillian (rural): math 41% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #203 of 301 in MN (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP; 17 units permitted in Renville County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $15k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $14k appreciation (8.8% local appreciation)).
- Renville County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.68% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.93%
- DSCR
- 0.74
- GRM
- 12.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
8.75% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.33×
- Total profit
- $59,551
- Equity at exit
- $129,796
- IRR
- 16.4%
- Equity multiple
- 5.11×
- Total profit
- $183,940
- Equity at exit
- $265,927
Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 55310
- Home prices YoY
- 3.7%
- Active inventory
- 8
- Price-to-rent
- 12.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,082 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax from tax record
- −$171 /mo · $2,050/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$227
- Net cashflow
- $-221
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-131 | -5% $-176 | +0% $-221 | +5% $-267 | +10% $-312 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-307 | -5% $-264 | +0% $-221 | +5% $-179 | +10% $-136 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-141 | -0.5pp $-181 | base $-221 | +0.5pp $-263 | +1.0pp $-305 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $40,000
- Closing costs
- $4,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $160,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $160,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $160,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $160,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $160,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $160,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $160,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-09remarks 557-char remark
-
2026-06-09$160,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,050 · $171/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,050 · $171/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,989
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,962
- − Property taxes
- −$2,050
- − Insurance
- −$800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,039
- − Management
- −$1,039
- − Depreciation
- −$4,655
- Taxable loss
- −$5,556
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,333
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,324/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bird Island-Olivia-Lake Lillian
- NCES district ID
- 2705660
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,007
- Composite
- 36.76/100
- National rank
- #4574
- State rank
- #203 of 301 in MN
Livability — Bird Island
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #401
- US rank
- #9405
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bird Island, MN
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,386
Population outlook (Renville County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 13,251 people
- By 2030
- 12,443 · -6.1%
- By 2040
- 10,946 · -17.4%
- By 2050
- 9,598 · -27.6%
- By 2075
- 7,411 · -44.1%
- By 2100
- 5,768 · -56.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 9% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Renville
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+41.4) · D 28.4% · R 69.8% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -40.8pp toward R · 2008: -0.6pp · 2024: -41.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+41.4 2020: R+36.5 2016: R+36.7 2012: R+9.8 2008: R+0.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 8.75%
- Current HPI
- 245.5901
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
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Price history
-45.8% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Listed $160,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-08-23 Sold (Public Records) $140,000 Public Records
- 2021-08-23 Sold (MLS) $140,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-06-16 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-06-10 Contingent — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-05-21 Listed $144,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-05-19 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-05-14 Listed $295,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+3.6%/yrLatest (2026): $2,050 · +5.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…