420 Phillips St · Marietta, OH
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.5/30.0
- ARV discount +9.4/15.0
- DSCR +4.8/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- 1% rule +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$154,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
INTERIOR RECENTLY PAINTED, NEWER HALF BATH ON FIRST FLOOR. LAUNDRY IS IN THE BASEMENT. HUGE LOT GOES TO COLLEGE BASEBALL FIELD. NEWER WINDOWS
Key facts
- 0.43 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1900
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (1 car); Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Two-story home
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
- Exterior features: Lot about 0.43 acres
Interior
- Kitchen: First-floor kitchen (approx. 10' x 13')
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the second floor (approx. 12' x 12' and 15' x 16')
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom; One main-level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced-air gas heating; Central air conditioning and window unit(s)
- Interior features: Full unfinished basement with walk-up and walk-out access; One fireplace
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $155k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $8 ($98/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $131k (15.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $131k (15.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#127 in OH, #1,845 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F, employment D-.
- Marietta City (town): math 35% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #534 of 656 in OH (top 81%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 118 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 3 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Washington County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $694; list at $155k implies a 22234% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.84% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.79%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.76%
- DSCR
- 1.08
- GRM
- 9.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $161,780
- List price
- $154,999
- Delta
- -4.19%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 161 Woodland Ave | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,396 (+4%) | 4mo | $163,400 | $117 | 71 |
| 100 Phillips St | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,440 (+8%) | 11mo | $75,000 | $52 | 60 |
| 150 Wells Ave | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,456 (+9%) | 8mo | $120,000 | $82 | 57 |
| 119 Grant St | 0.46mi | 2/2.0 | 1,184 (-12%) | 5mo | $167,000 | $141 | 53 |
| 143 Frederick St | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 | 1,448 (+8%) | 10mo | $135,000 | $93 | 52 |
| 401 Oakwood Ave | 0.39mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,474 (+10%) | 10mo | $167,000 | $113 | 51 |
| 101 Colegate Dr | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,416 (+6%) | 21mo | $94,000 | $66 | 49 |
| 106 Miller Ave | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,194 (-11%) | 4mo | $205,000 | $172 | 47 |
| 805 Quarry St | 0.59mi | 2/1.5 | 1,512 (+13%) | 10mo | $94,500 | $63 | 43 |
| 409 Oakwood Ave | 0.41mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,514 (+13%) | 15mo | $155,000 | $102 | 42 |
| 503 Aurora St | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,162 (-13%) | 22mo | $147,500 | $127 | 24 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.43×
- Total profit
- $-24,609
- Equity at exit
- $23,111
- IRR
- -7.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.52×
- Total profit
- $-20,802
- Equity at exit
- $13,401
Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45750
- Home prices YoY
- -32.4%
- Active inventory
- 118
- Price-to-rent
- 9.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,305 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$813
- Tax from tax record
- −$90 /mo · $1,080/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$274
- Net cashflow
- $8
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $96 | -5% $52 | +0% $8 | +5% $-36 | +10% $-80 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-95 | -5% $-43 | +0% $8 | +5% $60 | +10% $111 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $86 | -0.5pp $48 | base $8 | +0.5pp $-32 | +1.0pp $-73 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,750
- Closing costs
- $4,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 108 Putnam St Unit A Marietta, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,499 | $1.36 | 45d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 801 Huggins Rd Williamstown, WV | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1160 | $1,000 | $0.86 | 45d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $154,999 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $154,999 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $154,999 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $154,999 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $154,999 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $154,999 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $154,999 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $154,999 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $154,999 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $154,999 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $154,999 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $154,999 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $154,999 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-01price $154,999 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $160,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $160,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $160,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-04$160,000 Active 339-char remark
-
2020-08-21soldstatus $694
-
2020-06-16soldstatus $80,000 141-char remark
Show marketing remark (141 chars)
INTERIOR RECENTLY PAINTED, NEWER HALF BATH ON FIRST FLOOR. LAUNDRY IS IN THE BASEMENT. HUGE LOT GOES TO COLLEGE BASEBALL FIELD. NEWER WINDOWS
-
2019-08-16$81,500 141-char remark
Show marketing remark (141 chars)
INTERIOR RECENTLY PAINTED, NEWER HALF BATH ON FIRST FLOOR. LAUNDRY IS IN THE BASEMENT. HUGE LOT GOES TO COLLEGE BASEBALL FIELD. NEWER WINDOWS
-
2002-07-12historical
-
2002-04-12$37,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,080 · $90/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,749 · $146/mo
- Expected delta
- +$669/yr (+$56/mo · 61.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,662
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,682
- − Property taxes
- −$1,080
- − Insurance
- −$1,441
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,253
- − Management
- −$1,253
- − Depreciation
- −$4,509
- Taxable loss
- −$2,557
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$614
- After-tax cash flow
- $711/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marietta City
- NCES district ID
- 3910019
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -20.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,366
- Composite
- 35.08/100
- National rank
- #5025
- State rank
- #534 of 656 in OH
Livability — Marietta
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #127
- US rank
- #1845
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Marietta, OH
- County
- Washington County · 26,420 people
- City population
- 26,420
- Metro
- Marietta, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,420
- Household income
- $60,229
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 727.0
Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 59,640 people
- By 2030
- 58,315 · -2.2%
- By 2040
- 55,186 · -7.5%
- By 2050
- 52,246 · -12.4%
- By 2075
- 45,893 · -23.0%
- By 2100
- 38,128 · -36.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 2% Asian 1% Black 1% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Washington
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.8) · D 27.7% · R 71.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +40.2pp toward D · 2008: -83.9pp · 2024: -43.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.8 2020: R+40.8 2016: R+41.6 2012: R+19.4 2008: R+83.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -95.06%
- Current HPI
- 198.6235
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Marietta, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+318.9% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Price Changed $154,999 MLSNOW
- 2026-05-04 Listed $160,000 MLSNOW
- 2020-08-21 Sold (Public Records) $694 Public Records
- 2020-06-16 Sold (MLS) $80,000 MLSNOW
- 2019-08-16 Listed $81,500 MLSNOW
- 2002-07-12 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2002-04-12 Listed $37,000 MLSNOW
Property tax history
-0.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,080 · +16.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…