8926 Manor Loop #107 · Lakewood Ranch, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 29 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +8.9/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- Appreciation +4.4/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- DSCR +2.5/10.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
$199,999
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Tucked away with tons of privacy is this adorable condo in Lakewood Ranch. Conveniently located on the first floor, this home has many nice features. Granite countertops adorn the kitchen and bathrooms, stainless steel appliances, upgraded cabinetry, and upgraded fixtures give the home extra character and appeal. The layout is wonderful; boasting a split plan with each bedroom having its own private bath. Very large, walk in closets are part of the package! Condo conveys with washer/dryer and inside utility. HVAC system replaced around 2013. Enjoy your coffee on your private, screened in balcony with a large, attached storage unit. Enjoy the resort style community pool on the weekends after you've worked out in the private fitness center. Community also boasts volleyball courts, car washing station, walking areas for your dogs, and a playground. Convenient to everything that Lakewood Ranch has to offer and only a few minutes to the nearby Publix and Interstate. Wonderful schools, restaurants, Lakewood Ranch Medical Center, UTC Mall, Nathan Benderson Park, movie theaters, walking/biking trails and so many more amenities all just minutes away! Affordable price with low fees makes this home the smart choice! Schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- Rich wood cabinetry
- Stunning kitchen
- Granite countertops
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Directions: Unit is in The Village at Town Park; unit is on back side of building facing the pool
- Financial info: Total annual fees $5,028; Lease restrictions apply
- HOA & community: Monthly HOA fee $419; HOA covers common area taxes, pool, escrow reserves fund, insurance, building maintenance, grounds maintenance, management, pest control, and recreational facilities; Association approval required; Association name: Caleb; On-site property manager; Community clubhouse, fitness center, pool, playground, sidewalks, street lights, community mailbox, deed restrictions, buyer approval required; Pets allowed with restrictions (cats OK, dogs OK, breed restrictions)
Exterior
- Parking: Parking details not provided
- Security: Fire alarm; Fire sprinkler system
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected; Underground utilities; Cable available; Broadband / high-speed internet available
- Home design: Condominium; One story; Unit on first floor; Unit faces south
- Construction: Block and stucco construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Building identified as 8926 / 12; Construction year not provided
- Exterior features: Balcony; Playground; Rain gutters; Storage; Asphalt road access; Irrigation equipment
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Living room / dining room combo; Solid surface counters; Solid wood cabinets; Split bedroom floor plan; Stone counters; Thermostat
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Inside laundry in a laundry closet; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-162 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $171k (14.3% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
- Recommended offer: $171k (14.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 3.3% in Lakewood Ranch — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Manatee (suburban): math 54% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #26 of 73 in FL (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Robert Willis Elementary School (math 83% / reading 79%, grade A+, #95 of 2,144 statewide, top 5%, 765 students, 22% FRL); Lakewood Ranch High School (math 47% / reading 63%, grade C, #135 of 667 statewide, top 20%, 2,435 students, 22% FRL) — zoned schools average 22% FRL vs 51% district-wide (28 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 68% at this address vs 52% district-wide (+16 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Manatee average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.5%/yr); 497 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 7,472 units permitted in Manatee County in 2024 (1,782 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-1.2%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Manatee County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($188k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $166k; 20% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 20% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 5.32%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.48%
- DSCR
- 0.85
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.2% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.41×
- Total profit
- $-32,985
- Equity at exit
- $46,376
- IRR
- -11.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.11×
- Total profit
- $-49,919
- Equity at exit
- $47,097
Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34202
- Home prices YoY
- -0.5%
- Rents YoY
- -0.5%
- Active inventory
- 497
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,077 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,049
- Tax from tax record
- −$252 /mo · $3,023/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$419
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$436
- Net cashflow
- $-162
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $50,000
- Closing costs
- $6,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8932 Manor Loop #205 Lakewood Ranch, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,900 | $1.76 | 24d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 8926 Manor Loop Lakewood Ranch, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1165 | $1,800 | $1.55 | 24d | 2 | 0.03mi |
| 8917 Manor Loop #205 Lakewood Ranch, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $2,150 | $1.99 | 24d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 7411 Vista Way #203 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,800 | $1.67 | 24d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 8925 77th Ter E Lakewood Ranch, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1049 | $4,200 | $4.00 | 16d | 67 | 0.23mi |
| 8858 White Sage Loop Lakewood Ranch, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1064 | $1,900 | $1.79 | 3d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 8828 White Sage Loop Lakewood Ranch, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1092 | $1,975 | $1.81 | 3d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 8809 White Sage Loop Lakewood Ranch, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1064 | $2,200 | $2.07 | 12d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 8808 White Sage Loop Lakewood Ranch, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1092 | $2,300 | $2.11 | 24d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 7350 Black Walnut Way Lakewood Ranch, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1064 | $1,995 | $1.88 | 24d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 7341 Black Walnut Way Lakewood Ranch, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1100 | $2,300 | $2.09 | 24d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 8100 Natures Way Lakewood Ranch, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1091 | $1,926 | $1.76 | 2d | 19 | 0.75mi |
| 8240 Lakewood Ranch Blvd Bradenton, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1021 | $1,949 | $1.91 | 3d | 18 | 1.03mi |
| 6325 Health Park Way Lakewood Ranch, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1114 | $3,038 | $2.73 | 3d | 22 | 1.11mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $419 · $5,028/yr
- Likely covers
- poolgym
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-05-16status Pending
-
2026-05-02price $199,999
-
2026-04-03price $207,000
-
2026-03-16status Active
-
2026-03-11status Pending
-
2026-03-07$215,000 Active
-
2020-09-04soldstatus $166,000 Sold 1254-char remark
Show marketing remark (1254 chars)
Tucked away with tons of privacy is this adorable condo in Lakewood Ranch. Conveniently located on the first floor, this home has many nice features. Granite countertops adorn the kitchen and bathrooms, stainless steel appliances, upgraded cabinetry, and upgraded fixtures give the home extra character and appeal. The layout is wonderful; boasting a split plan with each bedroom having its own private bath. Very large, walk in closets are part of the package! Condo conveys with washer/dryer and inside utility. HVAC system replaced around 2013. Enjoy your coffee on your private, screened in balcony with a large, attached storage unit. Enjoy the resort style community pool on the weekends after you've worked out in the private fitness center. Community also boasts volleyball courts, car washing station, walking areas for your dogs, and a playground. Convenient to everything that Lakewood Ranch has to offer and only a few minutes to the nearby Publix and Interstate. Wonderful schools, restaurants, Lakewood Ranch Medical Center, UTC Mall, Nathan Benderson Park, movie theaters, walking/biking trails and so many more amenities all just minutes away! Affordable price with low fees makes this home the smart choice! Schedule your showing today!
-
2020-09-04soldstatus $166,000
Show marketing remark (1254 chars)
Tucked away with tons of privacy is this adorable condo in Lakewood Ranch. Conveniently located on the first floor, this home has many nice features. Granite countertops adorn the kitchen and bathrooms, stainless steel appliances, upgraded cabinetry, and upgraded fixtures give the home extra character and appeal. The layout is wonderful; boasting a split plan with each bedroom having its own private bath. Very large, walk in closets are part of the package! Condo conveys with washer/dryer and inside utility. HVAC system replaced around 2013. Enjoy your coffee on your private, screened in balcony with a large, attached storage unit. Enjoy the resort style community pool on the weekends after you've worked out in the private fitness center. Community also boasts volleyball courts, car washing station, walking areas for your dogs, and a playground. Convenient to everything that Lakewood Ranch has to offer and only a few minutes to the nearby Publix and Interstate. Wonderful schools, restaurants, Lakewood Ranch Medical Center, UTC Mall, Nathan Benderson Park, movie theaters, walking/biking trails and so many more amenities all just minutes away! Affordable price with low fees makes this home the smart choice! Schedule your showing today!
-
2020-08-09status Pending 1254-char remark
Show marketing remark (1254 chars)
Tucked away with tons of privacy is this adorable condo in Lakewood Ranch. Conveniently located on the first floor, this home has many nice features. Granite countertops adorn the kitchen and bathrooms, stainless steel appliances, upgraded cabinetry, and upgraded fixtures give the home extra character and appeal. The layout is wonderful; boasting a split plan with each bedroom having its own private bath. Very large, walk in closets are part of the package! Condo conveys with washer/dryer and inside utility. HVAC system replaced around 2013. Enjoy your coffee on your private, screened in balcony with a large, attached storage unit. Enjoy the resort style community pool on the weekends after you've worked out in the private fitness center. Community also boasts volleyball courts, car washing station, walking areas for your dogs, and a playground. Convenient to everything that Lakewood Ranch has to offer and only a few minutes to the nearby Publix and Interstate. Wonderful schools, restaurants, Lakewood Ranch Medical Center, UTC Mall, Nathan Benderson Park, movie theaters, walking/biking trails and so many more amenities all just minutes away! Affordable price with low fees makes this home the smart choice! Schedule your showing today!
-
2020-07-23$175,000 Active 1254-char remark
Show marketing remark (1254 chars)
Tucked away with tons of privacy is this adorable condo in Lakewood Ranch. Conveniently located on the first floor, this home has many nice features. Granite countertops adorn the kitchen and bathrooms, stainless steel appliances, upgraded cabinetry, and upgraded fixtures give the home extra character and appeal. The layout is wonderful; boasting a split plan with each bedroom having its own private bath. Very large, walk in closets are part of the package! Condo conveys with washer/dryer and inside utility. HVAC system replaced around 2013. Enjoy your coffee on your private, screened in balcony with a large, attached storage unit. Enjoy the resort style community pool on the weekends after you've worked out in the private fitness center. Community also boasts volleyball courts, car washing station, walking areas for your dogs, and a playground. Convenient to everything that Lakewood Ranch has to offer and only a few minutes to the nearby Publix and Interstate. Wonderful schools, restaurants, Lakewood Ranch Medical Center, UTC Mall, Nathan Benderson Park, movie theaters, walking/biking trails and so many more amenities all just minutes away! Affordable price with low fees makes this home the smart choice! Schedule your showing today!
-
2019-04-01historical
-
2019-01-14$200,000 Active
-
2016-11-12historical
-
2016-03-15$159,000 Active
-
2006-01-11soldstatus $267,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,023 · $252/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,023 · $252/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,922
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,203
- − Property taxes
- −$3,023
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,994
- − Management
- −$1,994
- − HOA
- −$5,028
- − Depreciation
- −$5,818
- Taxable loss
- −$5,138
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,233
- After-tax cash flow
- $-716/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Manatee
- NCES district ID
- 1201230
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,607
- Composite
- 44.43/100
- National rank
- #2806
- State rank
- #26 of 73 in FL
Livability — Lakewood Ranch
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Manatee County · 416,364 people
- City population
- 52,177
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,197
- Household income
- $121,659
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 574.0
Population outlook (Manatee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 447,342 people
- By 2030
- 488,911 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 567,934 · +27.0%
- By 2050
- 637,995 · +42.6%
- By 2075
- 781,970 · +74.8%
- By 2100
- 848,272 · +89.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 3% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Italian 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 5% Arabic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Manatee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.5) · D 37.9% · R 61.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.5pp toward R · 2008: -7.0pp · 2024: -23.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.5 2020: R+16.1 2016: R+17.1 2012: R+12.5 2008: R+7.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.20%
- Current HPI
- 240.7087
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.54%
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
-25.3% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-16 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-02 Price Changed $199,999 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-03 Price Changed $207,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-16 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-11 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-07 Listed $215,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-09-04 Sold (Public Records) $166,000 Public Records
- 2020-09-04 Sold (MLS) $166,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-08-09 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-07-23 Listed $175,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-04-01 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-01-14 Listed $200,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-11-12 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-03-15 Listed $159,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-01-11 Sold (Public Records) $267,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+10.6%/yrLatest (2025): $3,023 · -0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…