20091 Annott St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$14,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Amazing opportunity on this Detroit home. Features a basement and garage. Sold as is. Buyer and agent to verify all information.
Key facts
- 5,227 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1943
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $15k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $894 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $15k).
- Recommended offer: $13k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 78.3% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 376 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $103 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $447 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.3% rent growth), your $4k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 216 days — a 12% lower offer ($13k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (67%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $12k; 19% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1943 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 216 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1943 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 8.47% ✓
- Cap rate
- 78.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- 257.11%
- DSCR
- 12.44
- GRM
- 1.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $46,112
- List price
- $14,900
- Delta
- -67.69%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20091 Annott St | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 747 (0%) | 1mo | $12,800 | $17 | 99 |
| 20083 Bradford St | 0.06mi | 2/1.0 | 648 (-13%) | 0mo | $24,000 | $37 | 75 |
| 20520 Dresden St | 0.24mi | 2/1.5 | 680 (-9%) | 0mo | $33,000 | $49 | 72 |
| 19735 Annott St | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 780 (+4%) | 4mo | $69,500 | $89 | 71 |
| 19960 Bradford St | 0.15mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 786 (+5%) | 10mo | $10,000 | $13 | 71 |
| 12426 Sidonie Ave | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 | 750 (+0%) | 4mo | $131,000 | $175 | 63 |
| 19758 Waltham St | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 790 (+6%) | 3mo | $6,000 | $8 | 60 |
| 12408 Sarsfield Ave | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (-4%) | 11mo | $70,000 | $97 | 59 |
| 20310 Hamburg St | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 829 (+11%) | 7mo | $35,000 | $42 | 57 |
| 12484 Sherman Ave | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 | 800 (+7%) | 3mo | $72,000 | $90 | 56 |
| 12832 Sherman Ave | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 | 696 (-7%) | 2mo | $100,000 | $144 | 52 |
| 11376 Rivard Ave | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 829 (+11%) | 8mo | $105,000 | $127 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.33% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 13.57×
- Total profit
- $52,451
- Equity at exit
- $2,222
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 27.55×
- Total profit
- $110,784
- Equity at exit
- $1,288
Cash invested: $4,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48205
- Home prices YoY
- -28.1%
- Rents YoY
- 1.3%
- Active inventory
- 376
- Price-to-rent
- 1.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,262 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$78
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$19 /mo · $224/yr
- Insurance
- −$6
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$265
- Net cashflow
- $894
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $904 | -5% $899 | +0% $894 | +5% $889 | +10% $884 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $794 | -5% $844 | +0% $894 | +5% $944 | +10% $994 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $901 | -0.5pp $898 | base $894 | +0.5pp $890 | +1.0pp $886 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $3,725
- Closing costs
- $447
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19335 Hoover St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 620 | $1,099 | $1.77 | 18d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 19335 Hoover St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 620 | $1,099 | $1.77 | 44d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 21412 Waltham Rd Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 696 | $1,225 | $1.76 | 44d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 20242 Hickory St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 747 | $1,300 | $1.74 | 12d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 11236 Studebaker Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 672 | $1,175 | $1.75 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 18667 Algonac St Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 680 | $1,999 | $2.94 | 18d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 7605 Jackson Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,165 | $1.94 | 25d | 1 | 1.25mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-05-04status Pending 128-char remark
Show marketing remark (128 chars)
Amazing opportunity on this Detroit home. Features a basement and garage. Sold as is. Buyer and agent to verify all information.
-
2026-05-04status Pending 128-char remark
Show marketing remark (128 chars)
Amazing opportunity on this Detroit home. Features a basement and garage. Sold as is. Buyer and agent to verify all information.
-
2026-03-27price $14,900 128-char remark
Show marketing remark (128 chars)
Amazing opportunity on this Detroit home. Features a basement and garage. Sold as is. Buyer and agent to verify all information.
-
2026-03-27price $14,900 128-char remark
Show marketing remark (128 chars)
Amazing opportunity on this Detroit home. Features a basement and garage. Sold as is. Buyer and agent to verify all information.
-
2026-03-27status Active 128-char remark
Show marketing remark (128 chars)
Amazing opportunity on this Detroit home. Features a basement and garage. Sold as is. Buyer and agent to verify all information.
-
2026-03-27historical 128-char remark
Show marketing remark (128 chars)
Amazing opportunity on this Detroit home. Features a basement and garage. Sold as is. Buyer and agent to verify all information.
-
2026-03-09price $19,900 128-char remark
Show marketing remark (128 chars)
Amazing opportunity on this Detroit home. Features a basement and garage. Sold as is. Buyer and agent to verify all information.
-
2026-03-09status Active 128-char remark
Show marketing remark (128 chars)
Amazing opportunity on this Detroit home. Features a basement and garage. Sold as is. Buyer and agent to verify all information.
-
2026-03-09status Active 128-char remark
Show marketing remark (128 chars)
Amazing opportunity on this Detroit home. Features a basement and garage. Sold as is. Buyer and agent to verify all information.
-
2026-03-09price $19,900 128-char remark
Show marketing remark (128 chars)
Amazing opportunity on this Detroit home. Features a basement and garage. Sold as is. Buyer and agent to verify all information.
-
2026-02-13historical 128-char remark
Show marketing remark (128 chars)
Amazing opportunity on this Detroit home. Features a basement and garage. Sold as is. Buyer and agent to verify all information.
-
2025-09-04$45,000 Active 128-char remark
Show marketing remark (128 chars)
Amazing opportunity on this Detroit home. Features a basement and garage. Sold as is. Buyer and agent to verify all information.
-
2025-09-04$45,000 Active 128-char remark
Show marketing remark (128 chars)
Amazing opportunity on this Detroit home. Features a basement and garage. Sold as is. Buyer and agent to verify all information.
-
1998-03-12soldstatus $12,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,142
- − Mortgage interest
- −$835
- − Property taxes
- −$224
- − Insurance
- −$74
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,211
- − Management
- −$1,211
- − Depreciation
- −$433
- Taxable income
- $11,153
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,677
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,050/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,187
- Household income
- $38,966
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2121.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 93% White 3% Two or more races 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -91.80%
- Current HPI
- 235.0926
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.33%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+19.2% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-04 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-03-27 Price Changed $14,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-27 Price Changed $14,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-27 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2026-03-27 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2026-03-09 Price Changed $19,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-09 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-09 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2026-03-09 Price Changed $19,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-02-13 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-09-04 Listed $45,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-09-04 Listed $45,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1998-03-12 Sold (Public Records) $12,500 Public Records
Property tax history
-2.0%/yrLatest (2025): $802 · -38.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…