253 Beech Grove Dr · Forrest City, AR 72335

$22,000

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,190 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 31 Days on market

Built 1981 0.36 ac lot Est $40k · 46% under ↓ 24% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +15.0/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• 1% rule +5.0/10.0
• DSCR +5.0/10.0
• Livability +3.0/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +1.6/10.0
• Schools +0.9/10.0

Listing remarks

This property is an ideal fit for an experienced investor or a dedicated DIYer looking for their next fix-and-flip or equity-building project. Please note that the property is being sold completely AS-IS. It will require a full clean-out, and repairs to bring it back to its full potential. Great bones don't let this pass you by! Can be sold as a package along with 403 Fussell, 611 Westview, 2148 Laurel, 651 Laughrun, and 253 Beech Grove or separately.

Key facts

• 0.36 acre lot
• Built 1981
• Listed 30 days

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Approx. acreage 0.36 acres
• Financial info: Cash financing possible

Exterior

• Parking: Parking pads
• Utilities: Utilities: other (see remarks)
• Home design: Frame construction
• Construction: Frame exterior; Piers foundation; Other roof (see remarks)
• Exterior features: Paved road access; Level lot; Inside city limits

Interior

• Kitchen: Other kitchen equipment (see remarks)
• Flooring: Other flooring (see remarks)
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Other heating and cooling (see remarks)
• Interior features: Other interior features (see remarks)

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $22k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $758 ($9k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $22k).
• Recommended offer: $21k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 47.7% vs local median 9.7% in Forrest City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 59/100 on livability (#297 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
• Forrest City School District (town): math 12% / reading 11% proficiency, ranked #230 of 238 in AR (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 93% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 66 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in St. Francis County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $152 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $660 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• St. Francis County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($21k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $21,340 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 5.20% ✓
• Cap rate: 47.66%
• Cash-on-cash: 147.76%
• DSCR: 7.57
• GRM: 1.6

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $40,460
• Comps found: 4

Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
325 Beech Grove Dr	0.10mi	3/2.0	1,176 (-1%)	13mo	$105,000	$89	78
424 Beech Grove Dr	0.23mi	3/1.5	1,344 (+13%)	6mo	$25,000	$19	61
1453 Beth St	0.49mi	3/1.5	1,176 (-1%)	23mo	$10,500	$9	54
414 Tennessee St	0.49mi	3/1.0	1,032 (-13%)	22mo	$35,000	$34	36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 8.27×
• Total profit: $44,757
• Equity at exit: $3,280

10-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 17.43×
• Total profit: $101,232
• Equity at exit: $1,902

Cash invested: $6,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Arkansas: 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 72335

• Home prices YoY: -4.9%
• Active inventory: 66
• Price-to-rent: 1.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,145 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$115
• Tax from tax record: −$21 /mo · $257/yr
• Insurance: −$9
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$240
• Net cashflow: $758

Break-even live

Break-even rent $185

Max offer price $22,000

Occupancy floor 29%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $5,500
• Closing costs: $660
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 19 events

1. 2026-06-19
   days on market $22,000 Active 31 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $22,000 Active 30 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $22,000 Active 29 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $22,000 Active 28 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $22,000 Active 27 DOM
6. 2026-06-14
   days on market $22,000 Active 25 DOM
7. 2026-06-12
   days on market $22,000 Active 24 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $22,000 Active 21 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $22,000 Active 20 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $22,000 Active 19 DOM
11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $22,000 Active 18 DOM
12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $22,000 Active 15 DOM
13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $22,000 Active 14 DOM
14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $22,000 Active 13 DOM
15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $22,000 Active 12 DOM
16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $22,000 Active 11 DOM
17. 2026-05-19
    listed $22,000 New Listing
18. 2004-09-28
    soldstatus $50,000
19. 2003-03-20
    soldstatus $29,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $257 · $21/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $257 · $21/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 14% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $13,738
• − Mortgage interest: −$1,232
• − Property taxes: −$257
• − Insurance: −$110
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,099
• − Management: −$1,099
• − Depreciation: −$640
• Taxable income: $9,301
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,232
• After-tax cash flow: $6,870/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Forrest City School District
• NCES district ID: 0506270
• Math proficiency: 12% ▼ -8.00%
• Reading proficiency: 11% ▼ -7.00%
• Median HH income: $31,153
• Composite: 9.07/100
• National rank: #9871
• State rank: #230 of 238 in AR

Livability — Forrest City

• Score: 59/100
• State rank: #297
• US rank: #20349

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Forrest City, AR
• Population (ZIP): 16,514

Population outlook (St. Francis County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 24,387 people
• By 2030: 23,269 · -4.6%
• By 2040: 21,122 · -13.4%
• By 2050: 19,281 · -20.9%
• By 2075: 15,222 · -37.6%
• By 2100: 11,449 · -53.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Majority Black (62%)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 62% White 32% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2%
• Common ancestry: Italian 1% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
• Foreign-born: 2% · Canada
• Languages at home: 96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Francis

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 49.4% · R 48.6% · Other 2.0%
• 2008→2024 swing: -15.8pp toward R · 2008: 16.5pp · 2024: 0.7pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+0.7 2020: D+5.1 2016: D+11.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+16.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -6.86%
• Current HPI: 133.8115
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.80%
• F500 in state: 10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Retail	1	$681B
▸Food / Agriculture	1	$53B
▸Retail / Energy	1	$22B
▸Transportation / Logistics	1	$12B
▸Energy	1	$4B

Price history

-24.1% since first listed

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-19 Listed $22,000 CARMLS
• 2004-09-28 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
• 2003-03-20 Sold (Public Records) $29,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $257 · -2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.