714 E Sunbury St · Shamokin, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.0/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Calling all investors! Come and see this 3 Bdr 1.5 Bath property currently rented out! It has second floor laundry, a spacious kitchen, and an integral 1 car garage! It is also zoned Commercial - Manufacturing District (buyer to verify) so there is potential for a live/work conversion! Property requires 48 hr notice for all showings as it is tenant occupied.
Key facts
- Spacious kitchen
- Second floor laundry
- 0.48 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $100k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $379 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#887 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, commute F, employment F.
- Shamokin Area SD (town): math 19% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #450 of 539 in PA (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 78 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 81 units permitted in Northumberland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.9% local appreciation)).
- Northumberland County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (1.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 158 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 158 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.35% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.84%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.24%
- DSCR
- 1.72
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $63,852
- List price
- $99,900
- Delta
- 56.46%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 715 E Commerce St | 0.03mi | 3/1.0 | 1,722 (-10%) | 3mo | $37,500 | $22 | 77 |
| 1108 N Shamokin St | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,952 (+2%) | 10mo | $58,000 | $30 | 77 |
| 1261 Pulaski Ave | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 | 1,900 (-1%) | 4mo | $42,000 | $22 | 72 |
| 1 E Chestnut St | 0.49mi | 3/1.5 | 1,924 (+1%) | 10mo | $189,900 | $99 | 68 |
| 183 E Dewart St | 0.28mi | 3/1.5 | 1,749 (-8%) | 6mo | $33,500 | $19 | 68 |
| 242 S Shamokin St | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,940 (+2%) | 6mo | $47,000 | $24 | 63 |
| 8 N Rock St | 0.38mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 2,048 (+7%) | 12mo | $100,000 | $49 | 55 |
| 1000 N Orange St N | 0.32mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,832 (-4%) | 16mo | $45,000 | $25 | 53 |
| 1017 E Dewart St | 0.15mi | 3/1.5 | 1,638 (-14%) | 19mo | $49,000 | $30 | 53 |
| 140 S Market St | 0.72mi | 3/1.5 | 1,680 (-12%) | 5mo | $105,000 | $63 | 42 |
| 10 W Sunbury St | 0.50mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,684 (-12%) | 13mo | $67,000 | $40 | 39 |
| 1400 Hemlock St | 0.60mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,750 (-8%) | 21mo | $110,000 | $63 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.9% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.09×
- Total profit
- $30,496
- Equity at exit
- $38,884
- IRR
- 22.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.94×
- Total profit
- $82,196
- Equity at exit
- $55,598
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17872
- Home prices YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 78
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,353 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$125 /mo · $1,498/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$284
- Net cashflow
- $379
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $448 | -5% $413 | +0% $379 | +5% $344 | +10% $310 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $272 | -5% $325 | +0% $379 | +5% $432 | +10% $486 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $429 | -0.5pp $404 | base $379 | +0.5pp $353 | +1.0pp $326 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 609 E Commerce St Shamokin, PA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1668 | $1,500 | $0.90 | 45d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 2 S Vine St Shamokin, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1450 | $975 | $0.67 | 45d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 804 W Mulberry St Coal Township, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1350 | $1,075 | $0.80 | 45d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1309 W Spruce St Coal Township, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1275 | $825 | $0.65 | 45d | 1 | 1.32mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $99,900 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,900 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,900 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,900 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,900 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $99,900 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $99,900 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,900 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,900 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,900 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $99,900 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,900 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,900 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,900 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $99,900 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-04-28price $99,900 360-char remark
Show marketing remark (360 chars)
Calling all investors! Come and see this 3 Bdr 1.5 Bath property currently rented out! It has second floor laundry, a spacious kitchen, and an integral 1 car garage! It is also zoned Commercial - Manufacturing District (buyer to verify) so there is potential for a live/work conversion! Property requires 48 hr notice for all showings as it is tenant occupied.
-
2026-01-12$120,000 Active 360-char remark
Show marketing remark (360 chars)
Calling all investors! Come and see this 3 Bdr 1.5 Bath property currently rented out! It has second floor laundry, a spacious kitchen, and an integral 1 car garage! It is also zoned Commercial - Manufacturing District (buyer to verify) so there is potential for a live/work conversion! Property requires 48 hr notice for all showings as it is tenant occupied.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥94°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,238
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$1,498
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,299
- − Management
- −$1,299
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable income
- $3,140
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$754
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,790/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This property requires moderate renovations, focusing on painting, flooring, and exterior siding to significantly improve its value for both resale and rental.
Repairs flagged
- Major Paint — Peeling paint on interior walls
- Major Flooring — Worn carpeted floors
- Moderate Exterior siding — Weathered exterior siding
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint interior walls and trim — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both Replace worn carpet with hardwood or tile — New flooring improves both resale and rental value
- Both Repair and paint exterior siding — Fresh siding enhances curb appeal and property value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Paint · Peeling paint on interior walls | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Flooring · Worn carpeted floors | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Exterior siding · Weathered exterior siding | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $33,000–115,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint interior walls and trim — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Replace worn carpet with hardwood or tile — New flooring improves both resale and rental value ↑
- Both Repair and paint exterior siding — Fresh siding enhances curb appeal and property value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Shamokin Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4221240
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,380
- Composite
- 24.31/100
- National rank
- #7709
- State rank
- #450 of 539 in PA
Livability — Shamokin
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #887
- US rank
- #9448
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Shamokin, PA
- City population
- 9,808
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,950
Population outlook (Northumberland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 90,896 people
- By 2030
- 89,084 · -2.0%
- By 2040
- 84,822 · -6.7%
- By 2050
- 80,521 · -11.4%
- By 2075
- 72,152 · -20.6%
- By 2100
- 62,257 · -31.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 14% Iranian 6% Subsaharan African 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Northumberland
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.9) · D 29.6% · R 69.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.1pp toward R · 2008: -13.8pp · 2024: -39.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.9 2020: R+38.5 2016: R+43.6 2012: R+19.4 2008: R+13.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.90%
- Current HPI
- 124.6288
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
||
Price history
-16.8% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-28 Price Changed $99,900 CSVBR
- 2026-01-12 Listed $120,000 CSVBR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…