1440 Freda Dr · Midfield, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.4/30.0
- DSCR +7.2/10.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Appreciation +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.1/5.0
- ARV discount +1.0/15.0
- Schools +0.7/10.0
$149,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Spacious 5 bedroom 3 bath home.
Key facts
- 8,712 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 2005
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Down payment assistance available
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with front entry; One garage space
- Utilities: Public water; Gas and electric water heater options
- Home design: Existing structure; Siding vinyl exterior
- Construction: Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Not waterfront; No pool; No patio; No garden/patio; No decks
Interior
- Kitchen: Solid surface countertops; Gas cooktop; Gas oven; Built-in dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Bedroom on main level; Multiple bedrooms on upper level
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood laminate
- Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms; Tub/shower combos
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central cooling
- Interior features: Ceilings noted as other (see remarks); No additional interior features listed
- Laundry & utility: Laundry available on main and upper levels; Washer hookup provided; Dryer hookups for electric and gas
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/3.5-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $249 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#164 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, employment F, health & safety F.
- Midfield City (suburban): math 2% / reading 14% proficiency, ranked #126 of 129 in AL (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Midfield Elementary School (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #568 of 627 statewide, top 94%, 390 students, 84% FRL); Midfield High School (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #291 of 305 statewide, top 100%, 340 students, 87% FRL) — zoned schools at 86% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.5%/yr); 87 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.13%
- DSCR
- 1.32
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $131,040
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1452 Freda Dr | 0.05mi | 5/2.0 | 2,196 (+9%) | 14mo | $130,000 | $59 | 65 |
| 4900 W Letson St | 0.38mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 1,940 (-4%) | 13mo | $136,000 | $70 | 56 |
| 3728 Council Ave | 0.39mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,192 (+9%) | 17mo | $58,000 | $26 | 42 |
| 1020 Hillandale Dr | 0.69mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,281 (+13%) | 24mo | $148,455 | $65 | 15 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.68×
- Total profit
- $-13,305
- Equity at exit
- $22,351
- IRR
- -4.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.76×
- Total profit
- $-10,066
- Equity at exit
- $12,961
Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35228
- Home prices YoY
- -3.5%
- Rents YoY
- -1.5%
- Active inventory
- 87
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,693 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$786
- Tax from tax record
- −$239 /mo · $2,873/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$356
- Net cashflow
- $249
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,475
- Closing costs
- $4,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 617 8th Ave Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1436 | $1,350 | $0.94 | 2d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 801 Rutledge Dr Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1808 | $1,600 | $0.88 | 2d | 1 | 0.77mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-04-10status Pending
-
2026-04-10historical Contingent
-
2026-04-01$149,900 Active
-
2016-07-13soldstatus $1,545,500
-
2016-07-13soldstatus $11,504,600
-
2015-12-07soldstatus $58,000
-
2015-12-01soldstatus $58,000 Sold 31-char remark
Show marketing remark (31 chars)
Spacious 5 bedroom 3 bath home.
-
2015-10-30Contingent 31-char remark
Show marketing remark (31 chars)
Spacious 5 bedroom 3 bath home.
-
2000-09-25soldstatus $68,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,873 · $239/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,873 · $239/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,315
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,397
- − Property taxes
- −$2,873
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,625
- − Management
- −$1,625
- − Depreciation
- −$4,361
- Taxable income
- $685
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$164
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,829/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Midfield City
- NCES district ID
- 0102350
- Math proficiency
- 2% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 14% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,267
- Composite
- 6.89/100
- National rank
- #9978
- State rank
- #126 of 129 in AL
Livability — Midfield
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #164
- US rank
- #14536
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Midfield, AL
- County
- Jefferson County · 527,445 people
- City population
- 10,216
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,216
- Household income
- $50,815
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 456.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 89% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5% White 5%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -4.84%
- Current HPI
- 134.8633
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.47%
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
+118.8% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-10 Pending — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-04-10 Contingent — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-04-01 Listed $149,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2016-07-13 Sold (Public Records) $11,504,600 Public Records
- 2016-07-13 Sold (Public Records) $1,545,500 Public Records
- 2015-12-07 Sold (Public Records) $58,000 Public Records
- 2015-12-01 Sold (MLS) $58,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2015-10-30 Listed — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2000-09-25 Sold (Public Records) $68,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+9.3%/yrLatest (2025): $2,873 · -1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…