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3589 W Wells Rd #30
D Composite 43.78
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$8,500

3589 W Wells Rd #30 · Blythe, CA 92225
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 812 sqft · Manufactured · 49 Days on market
Built 1964 $10/sqft · 65% below area $625/mo HOA · 44% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investor Special!!! Full Renovation Opportunity Great value and opportunity for investors or buyers looking to take on a full renovation project. This property offers a functional layout and solid footprint, ready to be reimagined and brought back to life. Located within a mobile home park, residents enjoy access to community amenities including a pool, adding long-term appeal. Excellent potential to add value and customize to your vision.

Key facts

  • Excellent potential
  • Community amenities
  • Functional layout

Tags

FULL RENOVATION OPPORTUNITYFUNCTIONAL LAYOUTSOLID FOOTPRINTCOMMUNITY AMENITIESACCESS TO POOLEXCELLENT POTENTIAL

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Listing terms: Cash; Sale type: Standard; Short term rentals: Not allowed; Will not consider lease
  • Financial info: Land lease amount $625 annually
  • HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $625; Association provides other amenities

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 covered spaces (attached carport); 2 carport spaces; 6 total parking spaces; No garage
  • Security: No security/safety features
  • Utilities: Sewer connected and paid; PUD: No
  • Home design: Single-story (ground level); Year built per assessor
  • Construction: Year built source: Assessor
  • Exterior features: Community in-ground pool; Detached property; Lease land type

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Entry; Living Room
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: No central heating; Wall/window air conditioning unit(s)
  • Interior features: Unfurnished

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $8k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $435 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $8k).
  • Recommended offer: $8k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 67.7% vs local median 4.6% in Blythe — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#143 in CA, #4,910 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, amenities F.
  • Palo Verde Unified (town): math 20% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #1,133 of 1,400 in CA (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 189 active listings in the ZIP; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $59 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $255 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $2k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($8k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (41%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 44% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $8,245 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
16.66%
Cap rate
67.68%
Cash-on-cash
219.24%
DSCR
10.75
GRM
0.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$24,630
List price
$8,500
Delta
-65.49%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3589 Wells Rd 0.00mi 2/2.0 896 (+10%) 10mo $25,000 $28 71
3589 Wells Rd #6 0.04mi 2/1.0 720 (-11%) 14mo $16,000 $22 68
3589 Wells #31 0.00mi 3/2.0 (+1) 747 (-8%) 23mo $8,500 $11 59

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
12.23×
Total profit
$26,722
Equity at exit
$1,267
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
26.45×
Total profit
$60,578
Equity at exit
$735

Cash invested: $2,380 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92225

Home prices YoY
-15.8%
Active inventory
189
Price-to-rent
0.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,416 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$45
Tax est. 1.5%
$11 /mo · $128/yr
Insurance
$4
HOA
$625
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$297
Net cashflow
$435

Break-even live

Break-even rent $865
Max offer price $8,500
Occupancy floor 64%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$2,125
Closing costs
$255
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$625 · $7,500/yr
Likely covers
pool

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $8,500 Active 49 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $8,500 Active 48 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $8,500 Active 47 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $8,500 Active 46 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $8,500 Active 45 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $8,500 Active 43 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    pricedays on market $8,500 Active 42 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $10,000 Active 39 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $10,000 Active 38 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $10,000 Active 37 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $10,000 Active 36 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $10,000 Active 33 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $10,000 Active 32 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $10,000 Active 31 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $10,000 Active 30 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $10,000 Active 29 DOM
  17. 2026-05-14
    price $10,000 444-char remark
  18. 2026-05-01
    listed $14,500 Active 444-char remark
  19. 2022-09-16
    historical
  20. 2022-09-09
    listed $22,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone D · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥116°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,991
− Mortgage interest
−$476
− Property taxes
−$128
− Insurance
−$42
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,359
− Management
−$1,359
− HOA
−$7,500
− Depreciation
−$247
Taxable income
$5,879
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,411
After-tax cash flow
$3,807/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Palo Verde Unified
NCES district ID
0629640
Math proficiency
20% ▲ 3.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$40,808
Composite
25.77/100
National rank
#12796
State rank
#1133 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Blythe

Score
74/100
State rank
#143
US rank
#4910

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime C Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Blythe, CA
Population (ZIP)
21,101

Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,664,475 people
By 2030
2,802,692 · +5.2%
By 2040
3,050,904 · +14.5%
By 2050
3,256,783 · +22.2%
By 2075
3,655,058 · +37.2%
By 2100
3,766,594 · +41.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 59% White 26% Two or more races 13% Black 10% Asian 2% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 54%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada
Languages at home
55% English-only · Spanish 42% Other Indo-European 1% Tagalog/Filipino 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Riverside

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -40.53%
Current HPI
215.4794
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-61.4% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Price Changed $8,500 GPSMLS
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $10,000 GPSMLS
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $14,500 GPSMLS
  • 2022-09-16 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2022-09-09 Listed $22,000 CRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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