278 Kelou Ct · Leesburg, FL 34788

$79,500

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 920 sqft · Condo public records · 144 Days on market

Built 1980 $235/mo HOA · 15% of rent ↓ 6% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +4.2/10.0
• Livability +3.1/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Under contract-accepting backup offers. Come check out this beautifully furnished 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom home, perfectly situated on a quiet cul-de-sac. Relax on the fully screened-in porch while enjoying your morning coffee or a good book. Located in the resident-owned, 55+ Molokai community, this home offers an exceptional lifestyle with amenities that include cable, water, a community pool, and so much more.

Key facts

• 7,112 sq ft lot
• 2 parking spots
• Community pool

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Senior community; Deed restrictions; buyer approval required; Golf carts allowed; Pets not allowed; Property zoned multi-unit; Furnished
• Financial info: Total monthly fees $235; total annual fees $2,820
• HOA & community: Has HOA (monthly fee $235) with required membership and association approval required; Association amenities include cable TV, clubhouse, laundry, pool, shuffleboard, wheelchair access, handicap modified facilities; Association fee includes cable, internet, pool, maintenance (grounds and common areas), management, sewer, trash, water, common area taxes, and escrow reserves

Exterior

• Parking: Driveway; Off-street parking; Ground-level parking; 2-space carport
• Security: Smoke detector(s)
• Utilities: Private water; Private sewer; Electricity available and connected; Water available and connected; Sewer available and connected; Cable available and connected; High-speed/BB Internet available; Underground utilities; Public utility access
• Home design: Manufactured double-wide home; Single-story; Southwest facing; Completed/ready condition; Located on a cul-de-sac; level, paved lot
• Construction: Metal and frame construction; Metal roof (roof over); Crawlspace foundation; Built as double-wide manufactured home
• Exterior features: Covered, enclosed front porch; Patio/porch enclosed and covered; Rain gutters; Sliding doors; Exterior storage; Irrigation equipment

Interior

• Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Range; Range hood; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
• Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
• Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Central heating; Electric heating; Ductless heating option; Central air; Wall/window unit(s) for cooling
• Interior features: Ceiling fans; Thermostat; Walk-in closets; Window treatments (blinds, thermal windows)
• Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup; Laundry room; Washer and dryer included (appliances listed)

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $80k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $391 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
• Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 14.1% vs local median 4.5% in Leesburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 62/100 on livability (#751 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D, amenities F.
• Lake (suburban): math 49% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #37 of 73 in FL (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 285 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 4,799 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (814 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $550 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Lake County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 144 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
• Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $69,960 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 144 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
7. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
8. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.03% ✓
• Cap rate: 14.08%
• Cash-on-cash: 27.82%
• DSCR: 2.24
• GRM: 4.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 13.7%
• Equity multiple: 1.55×
• Total profit: $12,240
• Equity at exit: $11,854

10-year hold

• IRR: 22.7%
• Equity multiple: 2.96×
• Total profit: $43,646
• Equity at exit: $6,874

Cash invested: $22,260 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 34788

• Home prices YoY: -18.2%
• Active inventory: 285
• Price-to-rent: 4.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,614 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$417
• Tax from tax record: −$74 /mo · $889/yr
• Insurance: −$33
• Flood insurance flood zone: −$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
• HOA: −$235
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$339
• Net cashflow: $391

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,119

Max offer price $79,500

Occupancy floor 71%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $19,875
• Closing costs: $2,385
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 2 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
32818 Lake Square Ct #10 Leesburg, FL	2.0	1.0	912	$1,200	$1.32	24d	1	0.85mi
32827 Blossom Ln Leesburg, FL	1.0	1.0	704	$950	$1.35	24d	1	0.94mi

HOA detail condo

• Monthly dues: $235 · $2,820/yr
• Likely covers: watercablepool
• Assessments: None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 10 events

1. 2026-06-08
   remarks 413-char remark
2. 2026-06-08
   statusdays on market $79,500 Pending 144 DOM
3. 2026-06-07
   days on market $79,500 Active 143 DOM
4. 2026-06-04
   days on market $79,500 Active 140 DOM
5. 2026-06-03
   days on market $79,500 Active 139 DOM
6. 2026-06-02
   days on market $79,500 Active 138 DOM
7. 2026-06-02
   days on market $79,500 Active 137 DOM
8. 2026-05-31
   days on market $79,500 Active 136 DOM
9. 2026-02-19
   price $79,500
10. 2026-01-15
    listed $85,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $889 · $74/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $889 · $74/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone A · 22% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $19,370
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,453
• − Property taxes: −$889
• − Insurance: −$1,900
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,550
• − Management: −$1,550
• − HOA: −$2,820
• − Depreciation: −$2,313
• Taxable income: $3,895
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$935
• After-tax cash flow: $3,755/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Lake
• NCES district ID: 1201050
• Math proficiency: 49% ▼ -7.00%
• Reading proficiency: 50% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $46,632
• Composite: 42.05/100
• National rank: #3327
• State rank: #37 of 73 in FL

Livability — Leesburg

• Score: 62/100
• State rank: #751
• US rank: #16429

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Lake County · 364,602 people
• City population: 70,232
• Metro: Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
• Population (ZIP): 22,137
• Household income: $54,147
• Rent vs Own: 16.2% rent · 83.8% own
• Severe rent burden: 406.0

Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 386,640 people
• By 2030: 417,107 · +7.9%
• By 2040: 476,676 · +23.3%
• By 2050: 531,296 · +37.4%
• By 2075: 648,303 · +67.7%
• By 2100: 698,530 · +80.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (79%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 79% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 7% Black 5% Asian 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 6%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
• Foreign-born: 5% · Canada, South Korea
• Languages at home: 88% English-only · Spanish 9% German/W. Germanic 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lake

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+24.7) · D 37.3% · R 62.0%
• 2008→2024 swing: -11.2pp toward R · 2008: -13.5pp · 2024: -24.7pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+24.7 2020: R+20.0 2016: R+23.1 2012: R+17.1 2008: R+13.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -61.07%
• Current HPI: 273.6616
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

-6.5% since first listed

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-02-19 Price Changed $79,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-01-15 Listed $85,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+11.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $889 · +3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.