CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
1006 Fletcher St
B+ Composite 76.23
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$95,000

1006 Fletcher St · Thomasville, GA 31792
5 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,428 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 39 Days on market
Built 2006 4,791 sqft lot $67/sqft · 50% below area Est $190k · 50% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

REDUCED TO SELL!! This is a great investment property and with a little work is ready to go! First time home buyers ? Good starter home for you! It's conveniently located to schools, downtown shopping, and near medical care.

Key facts

  • Investment property
  • Near medical care
  • Conveniently located

Tags

INVESTMENT PROPERTYCONVENIENTLY LOCATEDNEAR MEDICAL CARE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage; 2 covered parking spaces; Open parking available
  • Utilities: Sewer connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; 1 total story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built as a residential single-family home
  • Exterior features: Covered porch; Corner lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Electric range; Refrigerator; Vinyl flooring; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $965 ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $95k).
  • Recommended offer: $92k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 18.5% vs local median 3.7% in Thomasville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#77 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, crime F, commute F.
  • Thomasville City (town): math 29% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #87 of 174 in GA (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 203 active listings in the ZIP; 213 units permitted in Thomas County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,959/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($50k/yr) (locally 1059% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Thomas County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (24%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $76k; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $92,150 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.06%
Cap rate
18.48%
Cash-on-cash
43.52%
DSCR
2.94
GRM
4.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$189,766
List price
$95,000
Delta
-49.94%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
9 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
810 Fletcher St 0.13mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,449 (+2%) 14mo $25,000 $17 75
119 Persimmon St 0.48mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,559 (+9%) 7mo $223,500 $143 52
1818 Fletcher St 0.57mi 4/1.5 (-1) 1,602 (+12%) 20mo $189,000 $118 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
40.4%
Equity multiple
2.73×
Total profit
$46,027
Equity at exit
$14,165
10-year hold
IRR
46.7%
Equity multiple
5.48×
Total profit
$119,127
Equity at exit
$8,214

Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31792

Home prices YoY
-29.0%
Active inventory
203
Price-to-rent
4.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,959 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax from tax record
$45 /mo · $543/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$411
Net cashflow
$965

Break-even live

Break-even rent $738
Max offer price $95,000
Occupancy floor 46%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,018 -5% $992 +0% $965 +5% $938 +10% $911
Rent -10% $810 -5% $887 +0% $965 +5% $1,042 +10% $1,119
Rate -1.0pp $1,012 -0.5pp $989 base $965 +0.5pp $940 +1.0pp $915

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,750
Closing costs
$2,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $95,000 Active 39 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $95,000 Active 38 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $95,000 Active 37 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $95,000 Active 36 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $95,000 Active 35 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $95,000 Active 33 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    remarks 227-char remark
  8. 2026-06-13
    price $95,000 Active 32 DOM
  9. 2026-06-12
    days on market $100,000 Active 32 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $100,000 Active 29 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $100,000 Active 28 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $100,000 Active 27 DOM
  13. 2026-06-07
    days on market $100,000 Active 26 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    days on market $100,000 Active 23 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $100,000 Active 22 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $100,000 Active 21 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $100,000 Active 20 DOM
  18. 2026-05-31
    days on market $100,000 Active 19 DOM
  19. 2026-05-16
    price $100,000 209-char remark
  20. 2026-05-11
    listed $125,000 Active 209-char remark
  21. 2026-05-08
    listed $125,000 Active
  22. 2017-07-18
    soldstatus $75,800
  23. 1987-05-01
    soldstatus $25,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$543 · $45/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$874 · $73/mo
Expected delta
+$331/yr (+$28/mo · 60.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 8 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,509
− Mortgage interest
−$5,321
− Property taxes
−$543
− Insurance
−$475
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,881
− Management
−$1,881
− Depreciation
−$2,764
Taxable income
$10,644
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,555
After-tax cash flow
$9,021/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Thomasville City
NCES district ID
1304950
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$31,040
Composite
26.85/100
National rank
#7106
State rank
#87 of 174 in GA

Livability — Thomasville

Score
71/100
State rank
#77
US rank
#6678

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Thomasville, GA
County
Thomas County · 22,962 people
City population
22,962
Metro
Thomasville, GA
Population (ZIP)
22,962
Household income
$50,460
Rent vs Own
44.6% rent · 55.4% own
Severe rent burden
1059.0

Population outlook (Thomas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
45,303 people
By 2030
45,052 · -0.6%
By 2040
44,034 · -2.8%
By 2050
42,310 · -6.6%
By 2075
37,569 · -17.1%
By 2100
30,676 · -32.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Race & ethnicity
Black 49% White 47% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Thomas

2024 margin
Strong R (+24.1) · D 37.8% · R 61.9%
2008→2024 swing
-8.3pp toward R · 2008: -15.8pp · 2024: -24.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+24.1 2020: R+19.5 2016: R+21.8 2012: R+18.5 2008: R+15.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -93.17%
Current HPI
228.0107
Rent YoY
Metro
Thomasville, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+280.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Price Changed $95,000 TABRMLS
  • 2026-05-16 Price Changed $100,000 TABRMLS
  • 2026-05-11 Listed $125,000 TABRMLS
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $125,000 TABRMLS
  • 2017-07-18 Sold (Public Records) $75,800 Public Records
  • 1987-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $543 · +3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…