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517 Teston Dr
D+ Composite 49.05
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.3/30.0
  • DSCR +7.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.8/5.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$129,900

517 Teston Dr · Ferguson, MO 63135
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 864 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 15 Days on market
Built 1953 5,702 sqft lot Est $92k · 42% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Why pay Rent??? This home is move in ready and has curb appeal!! Kitchen cabinets have been painted and countertops have been updated. Nice sized basement and fenced back yard with a great covered patio.

Key facts

  • 5,702 sq ft lot
  • Built 1953
  • Listed 14 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Living area reported as 864 (assessor); Lot size approximately 0.1309 acres (public records)
  • Financial info: No second mortgage indicated

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 220 volt electric; Cable available; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Private ownership; Residential property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Basement present; Year built from public records
  • Exterior features: Patio; Chain link fence; Near public transit

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central electric air conditioning
  • Interior features: Refrigerator included; Full unfinished basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $261 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $130k).
  • Recommended offer: $128k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#586 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Ferguson-Florissant R-II (suburban): math 7% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #311 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Lee Hamilton Elementary (math 5% / reading 16%, grade F, #1,026 of 1,115 statewide, top 92%, 278 students, 99% FRL); Mccluer High (math 0% / reading 17%, grade F, #511 of 521 statewide, top 98%, 1,181 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 70% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.0%/yr); 162 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($52k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $22k; list at $130k implies a 490% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $127,951 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.06%
Cap rate
8.71%
Cash-on-cash
8.62%
DSCR
1.38
GRM
7.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$91,584
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
610 Superior Dr 0.20mi 3/1.0 900 (+4%) 3mo $139,000 $154 80
705 Robert Ave 0.27mi 3/1.0 864 (0%) 8mo $86,400 $100 79
405 Teston Dr 0.09mi 2/1.0 (-1) 888 (+3%) 6mo $125,000 $141 79
404 Ballman Ave 0.17mi 2/1.0 (-1) 892 (+3%) 4mo $99,900 $112 76
320 Millman Dr 0.15mi 2/1.0 (-1) 848 (-2%) 11mo $90,000 $106 74
514 La Motte Ln 0.38mi 2/1.0 (-1) 850 (-2%) 5mo $60,000 $71 68
605 Larkin Ave 0.24mi 2/1.0 (-1) 884 (+2%) 12mo $65,000 $74 68
435 N Clay Ave 0.16mi 2/1.5 (-1) 972 (+12%) 3mo $155,000 $159 64
805 N Elizabeth Ave 0.20mi 2/1.0 (-1) 936 (+8%) 10mo $117,500 $126 62
9 S Hartnett Ave 0.55mi 2/1.0 (-1) 872 (+1%) 13mo $68,900 $79 55
510 Ames Pl 0.26mi 2/1.0 (-1) 970 (+12%) 10mo $55,000 $57 52
443 Warford Ave 0.66mi 2/1.0 (-1) 840 (-3%) 10mo $60,000 $71 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.9%
Equity multiple
1.08×
Total profit
$2,821
Equity at exit
$19,369
10-year hold
IRR
15.7%
Equity multiple
2.56×
Total profit
$56,797
Equity at exit
$11,231

Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63135

Rents YoY
9.0%
Active inventory
162
Price-to-rent
7.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,373 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$681
Tax from tax record
$88 /mo · $1,052/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$288
Net cashflow
$261

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,042
Max offer price $129,900
Occupancy floor 76%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,475
Closing costs
$3,897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
401 Millman Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1008 $1,450 $1.44 16d 1 0.13mi
650 Robert Ave Ferguson, MO 3.0 1.0 816 $1,224 $1.50 43d 1 0.21mi
415 Ames Pl Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 816 $1,400 $1.72 43d 1 0.23mi
307 Coppinger Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 960 $1,095 $1.14 17d 1 0.33mi
338 La Motte Ln Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 904 $1,150 $1.27 43d 1 0.37mi
920 Hutton Pl Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 912 $1,195 $1.31 43d 1 0.40mi
502 Averill Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 840 $1,250 $1.49 43d 1 0.43mi
104 Fenwick Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 960 $1,250 $1.30 23d 1 0.81mi
227 Meadowcrest Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 960 $1,500 $1.56 43d 1 0.83mi
249 S Hartnett Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 960 $1,220 $1.27 23d 1 0.87mi
945 Edgehill Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1110 $1,575 $1.42 43d 1 0.89mi
601 Carson Rd Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 743 $950 $1.28 23d 1 0.96mi
110 Paul Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 875 $1,050 $1.20 7d 1 1.00mi
296 Meadowcrest Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 960 $1,550 $1.61 14d 1 1.01mi
419 S Florissant Rd Ferguson, MO 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,200 $1.09 43d 1 1.01mi
222 Henquin Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 816 $1,050 $1.29 17d 1 1.03mi
246 Louisa Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1036 $1,600 $1.54 43d 1 1.08mi
24 Vierling Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 850 $1,290 $1.52 7d 1 1.08mi
222 Randolph Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 964 $1,400 $1.45 7d 1 1.09mi
60 Mayme Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 960 $1,285 $1.34 43d 1 1.10mi
12 Lee Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 832 $1,080 $1.30 7d 1 1.10mi
6156 Wulff Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 960 $1,425 $1.48 10d 1 1.13mi
910 Disco Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 924 $1,260 $1.36 16d 1 1.15mi
6625 Thurston Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 939 $1,300 $1.38 43d 1 1.17mi
6625 Thurston Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 939 $1,400 $1.49 23d 1 1.17mi
617 Tesmore Pl Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 877 $1,200 $1.37 43d 1 1.19mi
26 Arbor Village Ct Ferguson, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0 714 $950 $1.33 23d 1 1.19mi
10329 Chesley Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1014 $1,350 $1.33 23d 1 1.22mi
6132 Eaton Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 792 $1,125 $1.42 23d 1 1.25mi
1547 Babcock Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1014 $1,480 $1.46 43d 1 1.26mi
1275 N Florissant Rd Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1008 $1,275 $1.26 23d 1 1.26mi
223 Wiegel Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 864 $1,560 $1.81 12d 1 1.27mi
9845 Dennis Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 960 $1,550 $1.61 12d 1 1.28mi
6333 Peurifoy Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 840 $1,295 $1.54 23d 1 1.28mi
46 Bascom Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 932 $1,175 $1.26 43d 1 1.29mi
9850 Dennis Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1032 $1,175 $1.14 43d 1 1.29mi
360 S Harvey Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 936 $925 $0.99 43d 1 1.32mi
1654 Mowbry Ln Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 936 $1,300 $1.39 23d 1 1.33mi
153 Bascom Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1076 $1,195 $1.11 19d 1 1.34mi
6180 Emerald Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 729 $1,300 $1.78 43d 1 1.35mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $129,900 Active 15 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $129,900 Active 14 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $129,900 Active 13 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $129,900 Active 12 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $129,900 Active 10 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $129,900 Active 9 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $129,900 Active 6 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $129,900 Active 5 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    remarks 699-char remark
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $129,900 Active 4 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    remarks 556-char remark
  12. 2026-06-05
    listed $129,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,052 · $88/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,260 · $105/mo
Expected delta
+$208/yr (+$17/mo · 19.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,471
− Mortgage interest
−$7,276
− Property taxes
−$1,052
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,318
− Management
−$1,318
− Depreciation
−$3,779
Taxable income
$1,078
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$259
After-tax cash flow
$2,877/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ferguson-Florissant R-II
NCES district ID
2912010
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$44,610
Composite
11.96/100
National rank
#9666
State rank
#311 of 324 in MO

Livability — Ferguson

Score
58/100
State rank
#586
US rank
#20809

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety C- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ferguson, MO
County
Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
City population
18,381
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
18,381
Household income
$52,328
Rent vs Own
45.8% rent · 54.2% own
Severe rent burden
957.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,025,227 people
By 2030
1,028,023 · +0.3%
By 2040
1,020,940 · -0.4%
By 2050
1,007,280 · -1.8%
By 2075
987,277 · -3.7%
By 2100
921,984 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (66%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 66% White 28% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -152.56%
Current HPI
138.6781
Rent YoY
▲ 9.03%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+441.2% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $129,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-06-04 Coming Soon $129,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-08-05 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-07-08 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-06-13 Listed $114,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-03-06 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2012-12-05 Sold (Public Records) $22,000 Public Records
  • 2012-11-30 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-11-05 Listed $24,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-01-07 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

-0.1%/yr

Latest (2022): $1,052 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…