325 Mcdougal St · Fostoria, OH 44830

$50,000

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,298 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 205 Days on market

Built 1900 3,960 sqft lot $39/sqft · 13% below area Est $57k · 13% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• ARV discount +13.2/15.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Livability +3.8/5.0
• Schools +2.9/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Investors! Add your finishing touches to this 3 bed 1 bath single family home. Great income potential!

Key facts

• 3,960 sq ft lot
• 2 parking spots
• Built 1900

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $496 ($6k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
• Recommended offer: $44k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 18.2% vs local median 4.5% in Fostoria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 76/100 on livability (#216 in OH, #3,330 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, commute F, employment D-.
• Fostoria City (town): math 30% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #566 of 656 in OH (top 86%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 51 active listings in the ZIP; 45 units permitted in Seneca County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $346 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Seneca County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 205 days — a 12% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $44,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 205 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.14% ✓
• Cap rate: 18.20%
• Cash-on-cash: 42.52%
• DSCR: 2.89
• GRM: 3.9

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $57,224
• List price: $50,000
• Delta: -12.62%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
130 Summit St	0.51mi	3/1.0	1,248 (-4%)	10mo	$148,900	$119	62
337 S Union St	0.56mi	3/1.0	1,306 (+1%)	14mo	$62,310	$48	61
517 W North St	0.73mi	3/1.0	1,335 (+3%)	1mo	$155,000	$116	61
230 W South St	0.44mi	3/2.0	1,352 (+4%)	11mo	$150,000	$111	60
220 S Union St	0.49mi	3/1.0	1,365 (+5%)	14mo	$90,000	$66	57
551 N Main St	0.35mi	2/1.0 (-1)	1,206 (-7%)	14mo	$125,000	$104	55
481 Beverly Dr	0.57mi	3/1.0	1,185 (-9%)	7mo	$157,000	$132	53
604 S Union St	0.70mi	3/1.0	1,165 (-10%)	5mo	$46,000	$39	46
260 E 6th St	0.68mi	2/1.0 (-1)	1,406 (+8%)	10mo	$45,000	$32	42
912 Mcdougal St	0.71mi	3/1.0	1,148 (-12%)	10mo	$125,000	$109	40
461 W Tiffin St	0.71mi	4/1.0 (+1)	1,483 (+14%)	2mo	$51,803	$35	36
728 Oaklawn Ave	0.72mi	3/1.0	1,116 (-14%)	14mo	$49,000	$44	31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 39.3%
• Equity multiple: 2.68×
• Total profit: $23,514
• Equity at exit: $7,455

10-year hold

• IRR: 45.7%
• Equity multiple: 5.37×
• Total profit: $61,237
• Equity at exit: $4,323

Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 73 Landlord-Friendly
• State Ohio: 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 44830

• Home prices YoY: -16.1%
• Active inventory: 51
• Price-to-rent: 3.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,070 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$262
• Tax from tax record: −$66 /mo · $793/yr
• Insurance: −$21
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$225
• Net cashflow: $496

Break-even live

Break-even rent $442

Max offer price $50,000

Occupancy floor 49%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $524	-5% $510	+0% $496	+5% $482	+10% $468
Rent	-10% $412	-5% $454	+0% $496	+5% $538	+10% $581
Rate	-1.0pp $521	-0.5pp $509	base $496	+0.5pp $483	+1.0pp $470

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $12,500
• Closing costs: $1,500
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 1 events

1. 2025-11-03
   listed $50,000 Active 104-char remark

   Show marketing remark (104 chars)

   Investors! Add your finishing touches to this 3 bed 1 bath single family home. Great income potential!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $793 · $66/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $793 · $66/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $12,839
• − Mortgage interest: −$2,801
• − Property taxes: −$793
• − Insurance: −$250
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,027
• − Management: −$1,027
• − Depreciation: −$1,455
• Taxable income: $5,486
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,317
• After-tax cash flow: $4,637/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Fostoria City
• NCES district ID: 3904399
• Math proficiency: 30% ▼ -21.00%
• Reading proficiency: 39% ▼ -10.00%
• Median HH income: $36,902
• Composite: 28.65/100
• National rank: #6702
• State rank: #566 of 656 in OH

Livability — Fostoria

• Score: 76/100
• State rank: #216
• US rank: #3330

Category grades

Amenities B Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Fostoria, OH
• County: Seneca · 70,739 people
• City population: 18,409
• Population (ZIP): 18,409
• Household income: $61,589
• Rent vs Own: 27.1% rent · 72.9% own
• Severe rent burden: 9.8

Population outlook (Seneca County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 54,243 people
• By 2030: 52,947 · -2.4%
• By 2040: 49,842 · -8.1%
• By 2050: 46,689 · -13.9%
• By 2075: 39,889 · -26.5%
• By 2100: 32,155 · -40.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (80%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 80% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Black 3% Asian 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 9%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
• Foreign-born: 3% · Canada, South Korea
• Languages at home: 94% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Seneca

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+37.5) · D 30.7% · R 68.2% · Other 1.0%
• 2008→2024 swing: -34.8pp toward R · 2008: -2.7pp · 2024: -37.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+37.5 2020: R+34.2 2016: R+31.2 2012: R+8.4 2008: R+2.7

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -42.93%
• Current HPI: 224.2583
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.98%
• F500 in state: 48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Insurance	3	$145B
▸Industrial Machinery	3	$49B
▸Financial Services	3	$24B
▸Consumer Goods	2	$93B
▸Aerospace / Defense	2	$47B
▸Utilities	2	$33B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2025-11-03 Listed $50,000 NORIS

Property tax history

-7.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $793 · -2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.