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Passionflower II Plan 🏗️ New Construction
F Composite 27.64
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +5.6/30.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.1/10.0
  • DSCR +0.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$359,900

Passionflower II Plan · Rhome, TX 76071
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,102 sqft · SingleFamily · 191 Days on market
↓ 8% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Explore new-construction homes in Newark, TX at Aspire at Reunion. Offering a variety of floorplans with up to 5 bedrooms and 3 baths, this incredible community features on-site amenities and a convenient location. Each new home showcases K. Hovnanian's exclusive Looks interiors, curated by professionals. Select from three distinct styles: Loft, Farmhouse, or Elements and enjoy a beautiful home from the moment you walk inside. Beyond easy access to Highway 114 and U. S. 287, you'll find a wealth of things to do right at your doorstep, including an amenity center, walking trails, and event lawn for gathering with friends. Offered By: K. Hovnanian DFW Aspire at Reunion, LLC The Passionflower II offers: Great room with beautiful natural lighting and backyard access. Thoughtfully designed kitchen with abundant counter space. Secluded primary suite with spacious walk-in closet. Convenient home office to use as a media room or study. Large laundry room with option to add laundry sink. Spacious covered patio to enjoy meals outdoors.

Key facts

  • Amenity center
  • On-site amenities
  • Convenient location

Tags

NEW CONSTRUCTION HOMESON-SITE AMENITIESCONVENIENT LOCATIONTHREE DISTINCT STYLESAMENITY CENTERWALKING TRAILS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $359,900 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $437,289.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $360k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-905 ($-11k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $306k (14.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $268k (25.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $268k (25.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#165 in TX, #4,376 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Northwest ISD (rural): math 48% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #120 of 826 in TX (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 80 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 460 units permitted in Wise County in 2024 (243 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($102k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wise County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 191 days — a 12% lower offer ($317k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $267,953 (25.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 191 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.61%
Cap rate
3.81%
Cash-on-cash
-8.87%
DSCR
0.61
GRM
13.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$437,289
List price
$359,900
Delta
-17.70%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
168 Summer Rain Way 0.16mi 4/3.0 2,102 (0%) 2mo $385,000 $183 91
116 County Road 4651 Rd 0.28mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,869 (-11%) 6mo $299,900 $160 54
147 Texasage St 0.54mi 5/2.5 (+1) 2,141 (+2%) 17mo $359,990 $168 50
390 County Road 4929 0.73mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,196 (+4%) 6mo $450,000 $205 47
120 Texasage St 0.60mi 4/2.0 1,834 (-13%) 9mo $349,000 $190 39
277 County Road 4929 0.69mi 3/3.5 (-1) 2,136 (+2%) 23mo $493,900 $231 39
141 Hawksbill Ln 0.73mi 4/2.0 2,039 (-3%) 22mo $384,190 $188 39
149 Hawksbill Ln 0.72mi 4/2.0 1,816 (-14%) 22mo $359,990 $198 22

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-32.0%
Equity multiple
-0.05×
Total profit
$-128,470
Equity at exit
$65,201
10-year hold
IRR
-36.7%
Equity multiple
-0.52×
Total profit
$-185,940
Equity at exit
$37,809

Cash invested: $122,441 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76071

Home prices YoY
-19.1%
Active inventory
80
Price-to-rent
11.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,680 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,293
Tax est. 1.5%
$547 /mo · $6,559/yr
Insurance
$182
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$563
Net cashflow
$-905

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,825
Max offer price $306,308
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$109,322
Closing costs
$13,119
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
135 Lunayena Rd Rhome, TX 4.0 2.0 2039 $2,200 $1.08 22d 1 0.87mi
135 Lunayena Rd Rhome, TX 4.0 2.0 2039 $2,200 $1.08 1d 1 0.87mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $359,900 Active 191 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $359,900 Active 190 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $359,900 Active 189 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $359,900 Active 188 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $359,900 Active 186 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $359,900 Active 182 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $359,900 Active 181 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $359,900 Active 180 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $359,900 Active 177 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $359,900 Active 176 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $359,900 Active 175 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $359,900 Active 174 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $359,900 Active 173 DOM
  14. 2026-02-27
    price $359,900 1042-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1042 chars)

    Explore new-construction homes in Newark, TX at Aspire at Reunion. Offering a variety of floorplans with up to 5 bedrooms and 3 baths, this incredible community features on-site amenities and a convenient location. Each new home showcases K. Hovnanian's exclusive Looks interiors, curated by professionals. Select from three distinct styles: Loft, Farmhouse, or Elements and enjoy a beautiful home from the moment you walk inside. Beyond easy access to Highway 114 and U. S. 287, you'll find a wealth of things to do right at your doorstep, including an amenity center, walking trails, and event lawn for gathering with friends. Offered By: K. Hovnanian DFW Aspire at Reunion, LLC The Passionflower II offers: Great room with beautiful natural lighting and backyard access. Thoughtfully designed kitchen with abundant counter space. Secluded primary suite with spacious walk-in closet. Convenient home office to use as a media room or study. Large laundry room with option to add laundry sink. Spacious covered patio to enjoy meals outdoors.

  15. 2025-12-18
    price $369,900 1042-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1042 chars)

    Explore new-construction homes in Newark, TX at Aspire at Reunion. Offering a variety of floorplans with up to 5 bedrooms and 3 baths, this incredible community features on-site amenities and a convenient location. Each new home showcases K. Hovnanian's exclusive Looks interiors, curated by professionals. Select from three distinct styles: Loft, Farmhouse, or Elements and enjoy a beautiful home from the moment you walk inside. Beyond easy access to Highway 114 and U. S. 287, you'll find a wealth of things to do right at your doorstep, including an amenity center, walking trails, and event lawn for gathering with friends. Offered By: K. Hovnanian DFW Aspire at Reunion, LLC The Passionflower II offers: Great room with beautiful natural lighting and backyard access. Thoughtfully designed kitchen with abundant counter space. Secluded primary suite with spacious walk-in closet. Convenient home office to use as a media room or study. Large laundry room with option to add laundry sink. Spacious covered patio to enjoy meals outdoors.

  16. 2025-12-09
    listed $389,900 Active 1042-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1042 chars)

    Explore new-construction homes in Newark, TX at Aspire at Reunion. Offering a variety of floorplans with up to 5 bedrooms and 3 baths, this incredible community features on-site amenities and a convenient location. Each new home showcases K. Hovnanian's exclusive Looks interiors, curated by professionals. Select from three distinct styles: Loft, Farmhouse, or Elements and enjoy a beautiful home from the moment you walk inside. Beyond easy access to Highway 114 and U. S. 287, you'll find a wealth of things to do right at your doorstep, including an amenity center, walking trails, and event lawn for gathering with friends. Offered By: K. Hovnanian DFW Aspire at Reunion, LLC The Passionflower II offers: Great room with beautiful natural lighting and backyard access. Thoughtfully designed kitchen with abundant counter space. Secluded primary suite with spacious walk-in closet. Convenient home office to use as a media room or study. Large laundry room with option to add laundry sink. Spacious covered patio to enjoy meals outdoors.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 26% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$32,154
− Mortgage interest
−$24,495
− Property taxes
−$6,559
− Insurance
−$2,186
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,572
− Management
−$2,572
− Depreciation
−$12,721
Taxable loss
−$18,952
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$4,549
After-tax cash flow
$-6,314/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Northwest ISD
NCES district ID
4833180
Math proficiency
48% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$85,315
Composite
46.15/100
National rank
#2504
State rank
#120 of 826 in TX

Livability — Rhome

Score
74/100
State rank
#165
US rank
#4376

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Wise County · 49,037 people
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
Population (ZIP)
5,159
Household income
$101,989
Rent vs Own
20.1% rent · 79.9% own
Severe rent burden
31.0

Population outlook (Wise County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
71,620 people
By 2030
75,858 · +5.9%
By 2040
83,908 · +17.2%
By 2050
90,717 · +26.7%
By 2075
107,583 · +50.2%
By 2100
114,996 · +60.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (75%)
Race & ethnicity
White 75% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 11% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 16%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Portuguese 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wise

2024 margin
Solid R (+70.0) · D 14.7% · R 84.7%
2008→2024 swing
-14.3pp toward R · 2008: -55.7pp · 2024: -70.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+70.0 2020: R+68.2 2016: R+69.9 2012: R+67.5 2008: R+55.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -47.62%
Current HPI
201.8868
Rent YoY
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-7.7% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-27 Price Changed $359,900 Zillow
  • 2025-12-18 Price Changed $369,900 Zillow
  • 2025-12-09 Listed $389,900 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…