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7275 Helen
B Composite 74.09
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$109,900

7275 Helen · Paw Paw Lake, MI 49038
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,008 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1955 0.26 ac lot Est $176k · 38% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming 3-bed, 1-bath cottage minutes from Paw Paw Lake in peaceful Coloma. Set on a rare double lot, the property offers room to garden, play, or plan future additions. Inside, the cozy floor plan features a big living room, eat-in kitchen, and three comfortable bedrooms. Home does need a bit of TLC--perfect chance to add your style and build equity. Huge shed keeps all the lake toys, tools, and lawn gear organized. Whether you're dreaming of a weekend retreat, year-round residence, or investment, this cottage delivers small-town charm, generous outdoor space, and endless potential at an affordable price. Schedule your tour today and let your imagination take it from here!

Key facts

  • Huge shed
  • Double lot
  • Outdoor space

Tags

DOUBLE LOTROOM TO GARDENHUGE SHEDOUTDOOR SPACE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Well water
  • Home design: Ranch-style single family home; Single-story
  • Construction: Built in 1955; Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Storage shed on the property

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Has cooling
  • Interior features: Total of 6 rooms; Refrigerator included; Crawl space basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $444 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
  • Cap rate 11.1% vs local median 2.5% in Paw Paw Lake — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#420 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Coloma Community Schools (town): math 17% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #384 of 540 in MI (top 71%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 43 active listings in the ZIP; 397 units permitted in Berrien County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Berrien County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $109,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.34%
Cap rate
11.14%
Cash-on-cash
17.32%
DSCR
1.77
GRM
6.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$176,400
Comps found
7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
7273 Sylvester 0.06mi 2/1.0 924 (-8%) 13mo $219,000 $237 73
7234 Sylvester 0.11mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,008 (0%) 24mo $176,000 $175 70
6185 N Shore Dr 0.29mi 3/1.0 (+1) 964 (-4%) 12mo $220,000 $228 65
6020 Johnson Rd 0.04mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,064 (+6%) 24mo $115,000 $108 62
7141 Little Paw Paw Lake Rd 0.36mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,040 (+3%) 20mo $180,000 $173 56
6820 Cherry St 0.73mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,124 (+12%) 8mo $135,000 $120 35
5598 Johnson Rd 0.48mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,112 (+10%) 23mo $230,000 $207 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.7%
Equity multiple
1.34×
Total profit
$10,481
Equity at exit
$16,386
10-year hold
IRR
17.9%
Equity multiple
2.48×
Total profit
$45,542
Equity at exit
$9,502

Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49038

Active inventory
43
Price-to-rent
6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,469 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$576
Tax from tax record
$94 /mo · $1,126/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$308
Net cashflow
$444

Break-even live

Break-even rent $906
Max offer price $109,900
Occupancy floor 65%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $506 -5% $475 +0% $444 +5% $413 +10% $382
Rent -10% $328 -5% $386 +0% $444 +5% $502 +10% $560
Rate -1.0pp $500 -0.5pp $472 base $444 +0.5pp $416 +1.0pp $387

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,475
Closing costs
$3,297
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-14
    status $109,900 Pending 2 DOM
  2. 2026-06-13
    days on market $109,900 Active 2 DOM
  3. 2026-06-12
    remarks 683-char remark
  4. 2026-06-12
    listed $109,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,126 · $94/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,409 · $117/mo
Expected delta
+$283/yr (+$24/mo · 25.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,624
− Mortgage interest
−$6,156
− Property taxes
−$1,126
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,410
− Management
−$1,410
− Depreciation
−$3,197
Taxable income
$3,775
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$906
After-tax cash flow
$4,425/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Coloma Community Schools
NCES district ID
2610380
Math proficiency
17% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$48,135
Composite
24.28/100
National rank
#7715
State rank
#384 of 540 in MI

Livability — Paw Paw Lake

Score
66/100
State rank
#420
US rank
#11496

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Paw Paw Lake, MI
Population (ZIP)
8,577

Population outlook (Berrien County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
149,273 people
By 2030
145,211 · -2.7%
By 2040
135,435 · -9.3%
By 2050
125,543 · -15.9%
By 2075
103,986 · -30.3%
By 2100
82,256 · -44.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Two or more races 9% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Romanian 4% Iranian 3%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Berrien

2024 margin
Lean R (+7.9) · D 45.4% · R 53.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-13.3pp toward R · 2008: 5.5pp · 2024: -7.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+7.9 2020: R+7.4 2016: R+12.7 2012: R+6.6 2008: D+5.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -149.33%
Current HPI
237.5873
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Listed $109,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-11 Listed $109,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-11 Listed $109,900 SW Michigan MLS

Property tax history

+4.3%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,126 · +9.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…