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190 Labelle Ave
B Composite 70.54
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$59,000

190 Labelle Ave · Blasdell, NY 14219
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,640 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 163 Days on market
Built 1900 4,025 sqft lot $36/sqft · 224% above area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Buildable lot on Labelle Ave. Extra wide and deep. 100 ft. x 175 This includes four tax ID numbers Survey available. Rear of the lot backs up to a park. Great location near all conveniences. Easy access to S. Park Ave. Neighborhood street. Frontier school district. Permission is needed to walk the lot. There are 4 SBL #'s all lots are all connected. 100 ft. x 175 ft. - 75 ft, x 175 ft, additional parcel 65 ft. x 60 ft. .

Key facts

  • Easy access
  • Buildable lot
  • Great location

Tags

BUILDABLE LOTEXTRA WIDEDEEPREAR OF THE LOTGREAT LOCATIONEASY ACCESS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $59k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $59k).
  • Recommended offer: $52k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 34.5% vs local median 4.5% in Blasdell — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#643 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, schools D-, amenities F.
  • Frontier Central School District (suburban): math 54% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #301 of 590 in NY (top 51%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 44 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $408 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 163 days — a 12% lower offer ($52k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $25k; list at $59k implies a 136% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $51,920 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 163 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.73%
Cap rate
34.54%
Cash-on-cash
100.87%
DSCR
5.49
GRM
2.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$18,243
List price
$59,000
Delta
223.41%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
92 Helen Ave 0.15mi 3/2.0 1,744 (+6%) 8mo $229,900 $132 72
116 Madison Ave 0.19mi 3/2.0 1,544 (-6%) 8mo $385,000 $249 71
50 Maple Ave 0.27mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,758 (+7%) 0mo $285,000 $162 68
66 Salisbury Ave 0.18mi 3/2.0 1,501 (-8%) 6mo $191,000 $127 68
3667 Fuller Ave 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,644 (+0%) 1mo $290,000 $176 61
15 Kent Ave 0.23mi 3/1.5 1,410 (-14%) 8mo $240,000 $170 57
24 Lake Ave 0.36mi 3/1.5 1,410 (-14%) 4mo $202,900 $144 55
3668 Grafton Ave 0.55mi 3/2.0 1,572 (-4%) 14mo $210,000 $134 52
121 Pearl Ave 0.52mi 3/2.0 1,800 (+10%) 7mo $375,000 $208 50
131 Orchard Ave 0.47mi 3/1.0 1,404 (-14%) 12mo $195,000 $139 44
3727 Salisbury Ave 0.69mi 3/1.5 1,484 (-10%) 15mo $205,000 $138 37
4257 Salem Dr 0.74mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,695 (+3%) 13mo $296,000 $175 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
5.77×
Total profit
$78,881
Equity at exit
$8,797
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
12.05×
Total profit
$182,563
Equity at exit
$5,101

Cash invested: $16,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14219

Home prices YoY
-19.4%
Active inventory
44
Price-to-rent
2.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,200 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$309
Tax from tax record
$15 /mo · $184/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$462
Net cashflow
$1,389

Break-even live

Break-even rent $442
Max offer price $59,000
Occupancy floor 32%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,750
Closing costs
$1,770
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3365 McKinley Pkwy Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 2016 $2,200 $1.09 2d 1 0.99mi

Listing history 29 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $59,000 Active 163 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $59,000 Active 162 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $59,000 Active 161 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $59,000 Active 160 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $59,000 Active 158 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $59,000 Active 155 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $59,000 Active 154 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $59,000 Active 153 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $59,000 Active 152 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $59,000 Active 149 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $59,000 Active 148 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $59,000 Active 147 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $59,000 Active 146 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,000 Active 145 DOM
  15. 2026-01-06
    listed $59,000 Active 426-char remark
    Show marketing remark (426 chars)

    Buildable lot on Labelle Ave. Extra wide and deep. 100 ft. x 175 This includes four tax ID numbers Survey available. Rear of the lot backs up to a park. Great location near all conveniences. Easy access to S. Park Ave. Neighborhood street. Frontier school district. Permission is needed to walk the lot. There are 4 SBL #'s all lots are all connected. 100 ft. x 175 ft. - 75 ft, x 175 ft, additional parcel 65 ft. x 60 ft. .

  16. 2026-01-06
    historical
    Show marketing remark (426 chars)

    Buildable lot on Labelle Ave. Extra wide and deep. 100 ft. x 175 This includes four tax ID numbers Survey available. Rear of the lot backs up to a park. Great location near all conveniences. Easy access to S. Park Ave. Neighborhood street. Frontier school district. Permission is needed to walk the lot. There are 4 SBL #'s all lots are all connected. 100 ft. x 175 ft. - 75 ft, x 175 ft, additional parcel 65 ft. x 60 ft. .

  17. 2025-06-06
    listed $75,000 Active
  18. 2020-07-17
    soldstatus $25,000 Closed Sale or Rented
  19. 2020-07-17
    soldstatus $25,000
  20. 2020-02-25
    status Pending Sale
  21. 2019-12-30
    status Under Contract- Do Not Show
  22. 2019-07-23
    price $24,900
  23. 2019-07-01
    listed $27,900 Active
  24. 2019-02-28
    historical
  25. 2018-08-28
    listed $34,900 Active
  26. 2018-01-07
    historical
  27. 2017-07-10
    listed $35,900 Active
  28. 2017-05-31
    historical
  29. 2016-11-08
    listed $50,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$184 · $15/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$591 · $49/mo
Expected delta
+$406/yr (+$34/mo · 220.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,400
− Mortgage interest
−$3,305
− Property taxes
−$184
− Insurance
−$295
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,112
− Management
−$2,112
− Depreciation
−$1,716
Taxable income
$16,675
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$4,002
After-tax cash flow
$12,662/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Frontier Central School District
NCES district ID
3611670
Math proficiency
54% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$58,807
Composite
47.36/100
National rank
#2291
State rank
#301 of 590 in NY

Livability — Blasdell

Score
66/100
State rank
#643
US rank
#12059

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Blasdell, NY
Population (ZIP)
10,894

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 2% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 21% Slovak 5% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -80.33%
Current HPI
332.7314
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+18.0% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-06 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2026-01-06 Listed $59,000 WNYREIS
  • 2025-06-06 Listed $75,000 WNYREIS
  • 2020-07-17 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
  • 2020-07-17 Sold (MLS) $25,000 WNYREIS
  • 2020-02-25 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2019-12-30 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2019-07-23 Price Changed $24,900 WNYREIS
  • 2019-07-01 Listed $27,900 WNYREIS
  • 2019-02-28 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2018-08-28 Listed $34,900 WNYREIS
  • 2018-01-07 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2017-07-10 Listed $35,900 WNYREIS
  • 2017-05-31 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2016-11-08 Listed $50,000 WNYREIS

Property tax history

-22.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $184 · -32.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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