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129 Brown St
D+ Composite 45.04
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.5/30.0
  • DSCR +6.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.4/10.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$250,000

129 Brown St · Vincentown, NJ 08060
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,080 sqft · Townhouse public records · 62 Days on market
Built 1958 1,908 sqft lot Est $214k · 17% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This 3 BR, 1 BA row home is priced for a quick sale. It features updated kitchen and bath, and has been freshly painted with new carpet and laminate flooring. Ideal location--within walking from downtown and public transportation. So don't snooze on it. Instead; schedule a showing today!

Key facts

  • Built 1958
  • Listed 62 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Fee simple ownership
  • Construction: Brick construction; Slab foundation; Above-grade and below-grade structures; Built year per assessor
  • Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 18 x 106

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Electric heating fuel; Natural gas hot water
  • Interior features: Two or more access exits

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $250k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $309 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $250k).
  • Recommended offer: $235k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 4.5% in Vincentown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Rancocas Valley Regional High School District (suburban): math 29% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #236 of 472 in NJ (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.4%/yr); 134 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,161 units permitted in Burlington County in 2024 (988 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Burlington County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($235k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 25y ago; this cycle's ask is 6% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $70k; list at $250k implies a 257% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 51% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $235,000 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.04%
Cap rate
8.10%
Cash-on-cash
6.44%
DSCR
1.29
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$213,840
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
122 Brown St 0.03mi 3/1.0 1,080 (0%) 2mo $215,000 $199 97
144 Grant St 0.06mi 3/1.0 1,080 (0%) 3mo $67,150 $62 94
112 Rancocas Rd 0.07mi 3/1.0 1,218 (+13%) 5mo $270,000 $222 71
23 W Monroe St 0.41mi 3/1.0 1,160 (+7%) 4mo $225,000 $194 65
17 W Monroe St 0.42mi 3/1.0 1,168 (+8%) 7mo $215,000 $184 61
137 Risdon St 0.65mi 3/1.5 1,088 (+1%) 8mo $210,000 $193 60
58 E Monroe St 0.53mi 3/1.0 1,162 (+8%) 7mo $229,900 $198 56
22 Brainerd St 0.38mi 3/1.5 1,237 (+14%) 0mo $250,000 $202 56
51 White St 0.44mi 3/1.0 1,198 (+11%) 8mo $230,000 $192 55
43 Church St 0.46mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,176 (+9%) 7mo $200,000 $170 53
7 Regency Dr 0.67mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,008 (-7%) 9mo $282,000 $280 43
113 Risdon St 0.66mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,176 (+9%) 8mo $260,000 $221 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.42% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.9%
Equity multiple
0.65×
Total profit
$-24,810
Equity at exit
$37,276
10-year hold
IRR
-2.8%
Equity multiple
0.83×
Total profit
$-12,156
Equity at exit
$21,615

Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08060

Home prices YoY
-34.5%
Rents YoY
1.4%
Active inventory
134
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,590 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,311
Tax from tax record
$255 /mo · $3,058/yr
Insurance
$104
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$544
Net cashflow
$309

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,198
Max offer price $250,000
Occupancy floor 83%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,500
Closing costs
$7,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
144 Washington St Unit C Mt Holly, NJ 3.0 1.0 1450 $2,370 $1.63 15d 1 0.25mi
105 Broad St Unit 1 Mt Holly, NJ 3.0 1.0 1100 $2,200 $2.00 1d 1 0.46mi
102 Ridgway St Unit 1 Mt Holly, NJ 3.0 2.5 850 $2,200 $2.59 1d 1 0.46mi
302 Barrington Ct Mt Holly, NJ 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1226 $2,959 $2.41 1d 9 0.47mi
64 Regency Dr Mt Holly, NJ 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1066 $2,800 $2.63 1d 1 0.57mi
1 Kirby Ct Mt Holly, NJ 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1349 $3,125 $2.32 1d 12 0.59mi
209 Mill St Mount Holly, NJ 3.0 1.5 1274 $2,400 $1.88 1d 1 0.59mi
209 Front St Mount Holly, NJ 4.0 2.5 1500 $4,950 $3.30 1d 1 0.89mi
533 Garden St Mount Holly, NJ 1.0–2.0 1.0 750 $2,185 $2.91 1d 8 0.99mi
1401 Windmill Way Lumberton, NJ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 947 $2,315 $2.44 1d 29 1.30mi
3a Hunter Cir Eastampton Township, NJ 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 865 $2,255 $2.61 1d 25 1.33mi
A1 Bentley Rd Mount Holly, NJ 1.0–2.0 1.0 922 $2,075 $2.25 1d 24 1.36mi
5 Mulberry Ct Lumberton, NJ 3.0 1.5 1244 $2,200 $1.77 1d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $250,000 Active 62 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $250,000 Active 61 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $250,000 Active 60 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $250,000 Active 59 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $250,000 Active 57 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    remarks 699-char remark
  7. 2026-06-13
    pricestatusdays on market $250,000 Active 56 DOM
  8. 2026-05-11
    status Pending
  9. 2026-03-19
    listed $235,000 Active
  10. 2026-03-17
    historical $235,000
  11. 2019-12-10
    soldstatus $70,000
  12. 2019-11-25
    soldstatus $70,000 Closed 289-char remark
    Show marketing remark (289 chars)

    This 3 BR, 1 BA row home is priced for a quick sale. It features updated kitchen and bath, and has been freshly painted with new carpet and laminate flooring. Ideal location--within walking from downtown and public transportation. So don't snooze on it. Instead; schedule a showing today!

  13. 2019-11-08
    status Pending 289-char remark
    Show marketing remark (289 chars)

    This 3 BR, 1 BA row home is priced for a quick sale. It features updated kitchen and bath, and has been freshly painted with new carpet and laminate flooring. Ideal location--within walking from downtown and public transportation. So don't snooze on it. Instead; schedule a showing today!

  14. 2019-10-17
    listed $84,999 Active 289-char remark
    Show marketing remark (289 chars)

    This 3 BR, 1 BA row home is priced for a quick sale. It features updated kitchen and bath, and has been freshly painted with new carpet and laminate flooring. Ideal location--within walking from downtown and public transportation. So don't snooze on it. Instead; schedule a showing today!

  15. 2017-09-18
    soldstatus $36,000 337-char remark
    Show marketing remark (337 chars)

    This three bedroom, bath and a half, brick town home is waiting for your finishing touches. Home is centrally located in the heart of Mount Holly convenient to County Buildings, Hospital, public transportation, shopping and all major arteries. No HOA fees add to the affordability of this home. This is a Fannie Mae Homepath Opportunity!

  16. 2017-09-18
    soldstatus $36,000 Sold
    Show marketing remark (337 chars)

    This three bedroom, bath and a half, brick town home is waiting for your finishing touches. Home is centrally located in the heart of Mount Holly convenient to County Buildings, Hospital, public transportation, shopping and all major arteries. No HOA fees add to the affordability of this home. This is a Fannie Mae Homepath Opportunity!

  17. 2017-08-16
    status Under Contract
  18. 2017-07-21
    listed $36,900 Active
  19. 2006-11-20
    soldstatus $91,000
  20. 2006-11-11
    historical
  21. 2006-10-31
    soldstatus $91,000
  22. 2006-09-22
    historical
  23. 2006-07-20
    listed $91,000
  24. 2006-04-08
    listed $89,000
  25. 2001-09-30
    historical
  26. 2001-01-09
    listed $59,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,058 · $255/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,642 · $387/mo
Expected delta
+$1,583/yr (+$132/mo · 51.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 51% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,078
− Mortgage interest
−$14,004
− Property taxes
−$3,058
− Insurance
−$2,048
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,486
− Management
−$2,486
− Depreciation
−$7,273
Taxable loss
−$277
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$66
After-tax cash flow
$3,780/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rancocas Valley Regional High School District
NCES district ID
3413620
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$58,992
Composite
34.45/100
National rank
#5195
State rank
#236 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Vincentown

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Burlington County · 323,710 people
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
Population (ZIP)
25,835
Household income
$109,292
Rent vs Own
26.0% rent · 74.0% own
Severe rent burden
562.0

Population outlook (Burlington County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
453,425 people
By 2030
452,359 · -0.2%
By 2040
445,033 · -1.9%
By 2050
431,760 · -4.8%
By 2075
406,277 · -10.4%
By 2100
364,732 · -19.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
White 49% Black 25% Two or more races 15% Hispanic / Latino 13% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 7%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, Dominican Republic, China
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Burlington

2024 margin
D (+16.6) · D 57.6% · R 41.0% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-2.0pp toward R · 2008: 18.6pp · 2024: 16.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+16.6 2020: D+19.5 2016: D+14.8 2012: D+18.7 2008: D+18.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -156.50%
Current HPI
296.564
Rent YoY
▲ 1.42%
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+292.3% since first listed
19 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-19 Listed $235,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-17 Coming Soon $235,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-12-10 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
  • 2019-11-25 Sold (MLS) $70,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-11-08 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-10-17 Listed $84,999 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2017-09-18 Sold (MLS) $36,000 TREND
  • 2017-09-18 Sold (MLS) $36,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2017-08-16 Pending TREND
  • 2017-07-21 Listed $36,900 TREND
  • 2006-11-20 Sold (Public Records) $91,000 Public Records
  • 2006-11-11 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2006-10-31 Sold (MLS) $91,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2006-09-22 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2006-07-20 Listed $91,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2006-04-08 Listed $89,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2001-09-30 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2001-01-09 Listed $59,900 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+2.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,058 · +6.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…