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353 Clarks Hill Ln
C+ Composite 63.09
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.2/10.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +2.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,900

353 Clarks Hill Ln · Schuyler, VA 22969
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,600 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 189 Days on market
Built 1958 0.50 ac lot $87/sqft · 29% below area Est $197k · 29% under ↓ 24% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 353 Clarks Hill Lane in Schuyler, VA—a 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom rancher situated on 0.50 acres and offering approximately 1,600 sq. ft. of living space. This property is being sold as-is, where-is, with no repairs, inspections, or warranties provided by the seller. The local water authority has confirmed public water service to the home, but sewer is not public; the buyer should assume a private septic system and is fully responsible for verifying all utility information, including the presence, condition, and functionality of any private waste system. Buyer is responsible for all due diligence. This property offers a great opportunity for an investor, contractor, or buyer looking to renovate or build equity in a rural setting. All information is deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Key facts

  • 0.5 acre lot
  • Built 1958
  • Listed 188 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $257 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $140k).
  • Recommended offer: $123k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 53/100 on livability (#530 in VA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Nelson County Public School District (rural): math 42% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #92 of 131 in VA (top 70%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 26 active listings in the ZIP; 66 units permitted in Nelson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Nelson County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 189 days — a 12% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $123,112 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 189 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.02%
Cap rate
8.49%
Cash-on-cash
7.86%
DSCR
1.35
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$197,314
List price
$139,900
Delta
-29.10%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
11 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6975 Rockfish River Rd 0.29mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,516 (-5%) 21mo $190,000 $125 52
2239 Salem Rd 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,608 (+0%) 15mo $275,000 $171 51

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.3%
Equity multiple
0.84×
Total profit
$-6,364
Equity at exit
$20,860
10-year hold
IRR
5.3%
Equity multiple
1.39×
Total profit
$15,346
Equity at exit
$12,096

Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 22969

Home prices YoY
-8.1%
Active inventory
26
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,424 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$77 /mo · $920/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$299
Net cashflow
$257

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,100
Max offer price $139,900
Occupancy floor 77%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,975
Closing costs
$4,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $139,900 Active 189 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    price $139,900 Active 188 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $149,000 Active 188 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $149,000 Active 187 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $149,000 Active 186 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $149,000 Active 185 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $149,000 Active 184 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $149,000 Active 183 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $149,000 Active 180 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $149,000 Active 179 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $149,000 Active 178 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $149,000 Active 177 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $149,000 Active 174 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $149,000 Active 173 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $149,000 Active 172 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $149,000 Active 171 DOM
  17. 2026-05-18
    price $149,000 806-char remark
    Show marketing remark (806 chars)

    Welcome to 353 Clarks Hill Lane in Schuyler, VA—a 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom rancher situated on 0.50 acres and offering approximately 1,600 sq. ft. of living space. This property is being sold as-is, where-is, with no repairs, inspections, or warranties provided by the seller. The local water authority has confirmed public water service to the home, but sewer is not public; the buyer should assume a private septic system and is fully responsible for verifying all utility information, including the presence, condition, and functionality of any private waste system. Buyer is responsible for all due diligence. This property offers a great opportunity for an investor, contractor, or buyer looking to renovate or build equity in a rural setting. All information is deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

  18. 2026-04-08
    price $159,000 806-char remark
    Show marketing remark (806 chars)

    Welcome to 353 Clarks Hill Lane in Schuyler, VA—a 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom rancher situated on 0.50 acres and offering approximately 1,600 sq. ft. of living space. This property is being sold as-is, where-is, with no repairs, inspections, or warranties provided by the seller. The local water authority has confirmed public water service to the home, but sewer is not public; the buyer should assume a private septic system and is fully responsible for verifying all utility information, including the presence, condition, and functionality of any private waste system. Buyer is responsible for all due diligence. This property offers a great opportunity for an investor, contractor, or buyer looking to renovate or build equity in a rural setting. All information is deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

  19. 2026-02-20
    price $165,000 806-char remark
    Show marketing remark (806 chars)

    Welcome to 353 Clarks Hill Lane in Schuyler, VA—a 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom rancher situated on 0.50 acres and offering approximately 1,600 sq. ft. of living space. This property is being sold as-is, where-is, with no repairs, inspections, or warranties provided by the seller. The local water authority has confirmed public water service to the home, but sewer is not public; the buyer should assume a private septic system and is fully responsible for verifying all utility information, including the presence, condition, and functionality of any private waste system. Buyer is responsible for all due diligence. This property offers a great opportunity for an investor, contractor, or buyer looking to renovate or build equity in a rural setting. All information is deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

  20. 2026-01-14
    price $179,900 806-char remark
    Show marketing remark (806 chars)

    Welcome to 353 Clarks Hill Lane in Schuyler, VA—a 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom rancher situated on 0.50 acres and offering approximately 1,600 sq. ft. of living space. This property is being sold as-is, where-is, with no repairs, inspections, or warranties provided by the seller. The local water authority has confirmed public water service to the home, but sewer is not public; the buyer should assume a private septic system and is fully responsible for verifying all utility information, including the presence, condition, and functionality of any private waste system. Buyer is responsible for all due diligence. This property offers a great opportunity for an investor, contractor, or buyer looking to renovate or build equity in a rural setting. All information is deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

  21. 2025-12-10
    listed $195,000 Active 806-char remark
    Show marketing remark (806 chars)

    Welcome to 353 Clarks Hill Lane in Schuyler, VA—a 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom rancher situated on 0.50 acres and offering approximately 1,600 sq. ft. of living space. This property is being sold as-is, where-is, with no repairs, inspections, or warranties provided by the seller. The local water authority has confirmed public water service to the home, but sewer is not public; the buyer should assume a private septic system and is fully responsible for verifying all utility information, including the presence, condition, and functionality of any private waste system. Buyer is responsible for all due diligence. This property offers a great opportunity for an investor, contractor, or buyer looking to renovate or build equity in a rural setting. All information is deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$920 · $77/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,147 · $96/mo
Expected delta
+$227/yr (+$19/mo · 24.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,092
− Mortgage interest
−$7,837
− Property taxes
−$920
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,367
− Management
−$1,367
− Depreciation
−$4,070
Taxable income
$831
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$200
After-tax cash flow
$2,880/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Nelson County Public School District
NCES district ID
5102580
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -45.00%
Reading proficiency
62% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$50,092
Composite
44.37/100
National rank
#2818
State rank
#92 of 131 in VA

Livability — Schuyler

Score
53/100
State rank
#530
US rank
#24319

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing D- Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Schuyler, VA
City population
1,675
Population (ZIP)
1,675

Population outlook (Nelson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
14,115 people
By 2030
13,563 · -3.9%
By 2040
12,384 · -12.3%
By 2050
11,481 · -18.7%
By 2075
10,103 · -28.4%
By 2100
8,788 · -37.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Black 5% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 8% Scottish 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2%

Political lean MEDSL · Nelson

2024 margin
Lean R (+7.5) · D 45.8% · R 53.3%
2008→2024 swing
-16.7pp toward R · 2008: 9.2pp · 2024: -7.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+7.5 2020: R+5.2 2016: R+5.7 2012: D+2.8 2008: D+9.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -21.40%
Current HPI
244.1023
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-23.6% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Price Changed $149,000 HRAR
  • 2026-04-08 Price Changed $159,000 HRAR
  • 2026-02-20 Price Changed $165,000 HRAR
  • 2026-01-14 Price Changed $179,900 HRAR
  • 2025-12-10 Listed $195,000 HRAR

Property tax history

-0.8%/yr

Latest (2019): $920 · -3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…