156 Mather St · North Haven, CT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $829 – $1,539
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 55.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +8.8/30.0
- 1% rule +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$299,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming well built col. Conv. To major highways and shopping beautiful wd flrs.Lr w/fp sunroom formal dr and lg dining area full bsmt level yd 1 car gar. A wonderful family home.Try to give some notice for showings.
Key facts
- Walk-in closet
- Dedicated prep area
- Walk-up attic
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (1-car)
- Utilities: Public water connected; Public sewer connected; 40-gallon natural gas hot water tank
- Home design: Single-family home
- Construction: Frame construction; Concrete foundation
- Exterior features: Level, dry lot; Walk-to-water location; Aluminum siding; Asphalt shingle roof; Blue-grey exterior color
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Hot water heating with natural gas; Ceiling fans; Window unit(s)
- Interior features: Seven total rooms; One fireplace; Full basement; Has attic (partially finished, floored, walk-up); Sitting room
- Laundry & utility: Washer and electric dryer in lower level/basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $300k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-244 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $257k (14.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $274k (8.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $257k (14.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 4.0% in North Haven — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#39 in CT, #2,723 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living D-.
- Hamden School District (suburban): math 30% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #106 of 153 in CT (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Spring Glen School (math 68% / reading 73%, grade A-, #75 of 553 statewide, top 14%, 370 students, 24% FRL); Hamden Middle School (math 27% / reading 43%, grade F, #123 of 175 statewide, top 70%, 811 students, 40% FRL); Hamden High School (math 21% / reading 44%, grade F, #125 of 194 statewide, top 66%, 1,672 students, 39% FRL) — zoned schools at 34% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 83 active listings in the ZIP; 34 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,059 units permitted in South Central Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (779 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($105k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($295k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 26y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $141k; list at $300k implies a 113% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price; built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 55% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.91% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.32%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.49%
- DSCR
- 0.84
- GRM
- 9.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $418,308
- List price
- $299,900
- Delta
- -7.96%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 235 Treadwell St | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,635 (+5%) | 2mo | $265,000 | $162 | 76 |
| 36 Quentin St | 0.27mi | 3/1.5 | 1,350 (-13%) | 0mo | $415,000 | $307 | 63 |
| 113 Central Ave | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 | 1,435 (-8%) | 1mo | $409,000 | $285 | 59 |
| 163 Waite St | 0.46mi | 3/2.5 | 1,458 (-6%) | 4mo | $449,900 | $309 | 59 |
| 140 Hawthorne Ave | 0.62mi | 3/1.5 | 1,636 (+5%) | 10mo | $385,000 | $235 | 52 |
| 24 Paramount Ave | 0.65mi | 3/1.5 | 1,447 (-7%) | 7mo | $252,000 | $174 | 51 |
| 32 Barraclough Ave | 0.75mi | 3/1.5 | 1,460 (-6%) | 6mo | $265,000 | $182 | 48 |
| 184 Greenway St | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 1,329 (-14%) | 1mo | $365,000 | $275 | 45 |
| 91 Gillies Rd | 0.71mi | 3/1.5 | 1,682 (+8%) | 8mo | $449,000 | $267 | 44 |
| 19 Lakeview Ave | 0.68mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,664 (+7%) | 6mo | $296,400 | $178 | 42 |
| 77 Hillcrest Ave | 0.75mi | 3/1.5 | 1,760 (+13%) | 1mo | $404,000 | $230 | 40 |
| 15 Central Ave | 0.63mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,744 (+12%) | 5mo | $245,000 | $140 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.21% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -25.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.15×
- Total profit
- $-71,386
- Equity at exit
- $44,716
- IRR
- -37.8%
- Equity multiple
- -0.31×
- Total profit
- $-110,210
- Equity at exit
- $25,930
Cash invested: $83,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06517
- Rents YoY
- 0.2%
- Active inventory
- 83
- Price-to-rent
- 9.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,738 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,573
- Tax from tax record
- −$709 /mo · $8,513/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$575
- Net cashflow
- $-244
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-75 | -5% $-159 | +0% $-244 | +5% $-329 | +10% $-414 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-461 | -5% $-352 | +0% $-244 | +5% $-136 | +10% $-28 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-93 | -0.5pp $-168 | base $-244 | +0.5pp $-322 | +1.0pp $-401 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $74,975
- Closing costs
- $8,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 34 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1410 Whitney Ave Unit B2 Hamden, CT | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1338 | $2,600 | $1.94 | 13d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 64 N Lake Dr Unit C2 Hamden, CT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1475 | $2,800 | $1.90 | 4d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 157 Leeder Hill Dr #206 Hamden, CT | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1717 | $3,000 | $1.75 | 4d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 30 Coram St Unit 1 Hamden, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $2,650 | $2.21 | 4d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 30 Coram St Unit 2 Hamden, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $2,350 | $1.96 | 13d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 30 Coram St Unit Coram 30-2 Hamden, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $2,350 | $1.96 | 4d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 30 Coram St Unit Coram 30-1 Hamden, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $2,650 | $2.21 | 4d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 380 Mather St Hamden, CT | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 867 | $3,175 | $3.66 | 46d | 16 | 0.49mi |
| 53 Lilac Ave Hamden, CT | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1427 | $2,800 | $1.96 | 13d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 53 Turner Ave Hamden, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1172 | $3,600 | $3.07 | 4d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 365 Mather St #43 Hamden, CT | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,250 | $2.05 | 4d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 196 Waite St Hamden, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1159 | $2,700 | $2.33 | 23d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 26 Cumley St Hamden, CT | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1746 | $3,500 | $2.00 | 4d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 38 Grandview Ave Hamden, CT | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1658 | $3,650 | $2.20 | 5d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 17 Hobson Ave Unit 2 Hamden, CT | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,700 | $2.08 | 4d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 89 Beacon St Unit 2nd Floor Hamden, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $2,000 | $1.67 | 4d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 97 Beacon St Unit 1st Fl Hamden, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1178 | $2,050 | $1.74 | 4d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 97 Beacon St Unit 3rd fl Hamden, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,850 | $1.68 | 4d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 70 Circular Ave Hamden, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,100 | $1.91 | 4d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 317 Mill Rock Rd Hamden, CT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1102 | $2,400 | $2.18 | 46d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 351 Mill Rock Rd Unit 351 Hamden, CT | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1102 | $4,500 | $4.08 | 4d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 54 Bradley Ave Unit 2 Hamden, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,895 | $1.72 | 46d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1097 Dixwell Ave Hamden, CT | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2005 | $1,750 | $0.87 | 13d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 130 Woodin St Hamden, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $2,000 | $1.33 | 46d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 304 Fairview Ave Hamden, CT | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1140 | $2,700 | $2.37 | 21d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 161 Fairview Ave #161 Hamden, CT | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1284 | $3,900 | $3.04 | 46d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 676 Mix Ave Hamden, CT | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 810 | $2,200 | $2.72 | 4d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 38 Read St New Haven, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,700 | $1.42 | 25d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 32 Alstrum St #2 Hamden, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1656 | $2,000 | $1.21 | 4d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 393 Huntington St New Haven, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1154 | $2,800 | $2.43 | 46d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 402 Huntington St Unit 2 New Haven, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1108 | $1,800 | $1.62 | 25d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 312 Huntington St New Haven, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,950 | $1.77 | 16d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 224 Huntington St Unit 1 New Haven, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1362 | $2,750 | $2.02 | 5d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 753 Winchester Ave New Haven, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $2,400 | $2.00 | 5d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-09status $299,900 Under Contract 17 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $299,900 Under Contract - Continue to Show 17 DOM
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $299,900 Under Contract - Continue to Show 16 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $299,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-03pricestatusdays on market $299,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $329,900 Under Contract - Continue to Show 11 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $329,900 Under Contract - Continue to Show 10 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $329,900 Under Contract - Continue to Show 9 DOM
-
2026-05-15historical
-
2026-05-01price $385,000
-
2026-04-17$389,900 Active
-
2026-04-10historical
-
2001-03-29soldstatus $141,000 216-char remark
Show marketing remark (216 chars)
Charming well built col. Conv. To major highways and shopping beautiful wd flrs.Lr w/fp sunroom formal dr and lg dining area full bsmt level yd 1 car gar. A wonderful family home.Try to give some notice for showings.
-
2000-08-31$144,500 216-char remark
Show marketing remark (216 chars)
Charming well built col. Conv. To major highways and shopping beautiful wd flrs.Lr w/fp sunroom formal dr and lg dining area full bsmt level yd 1 car gar. A wonderful family home.Try to give some notice for showings.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $8,513 · $709/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $8,513 · $709/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 55% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,852
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,799
- − Property taxes
- −$8,513
- − Insurance
- −$1,500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,628
- − Management
- −$2,628
- − Depreciation
- −$8,724
- Taxable loss
- −$7,940
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,906
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,026/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hamden School District
- NCES district ID
- 0901860
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,821
- Composite
- 33.34/100
- National rank
- #5490
- State rank
- #106 of 153 in CT
Livability — North Haven
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #39
- US rank
- #2723
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- New Haven County · 688,236 people
- City population
- 24,527
- Metro
- New Haven-Milford, CT
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,221
- Household income
- $104,550
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 531.0
Population outlook (South Central Connecticut County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 608,362
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Black 19% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 7% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 11% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Scotch-Irish 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, Jamaica, United Kingdom
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 12% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · South Central Connecticut
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.1) · D 59.0% · R 38.9% · Other 2.1%
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -204.00%
- Current HPI
- 255.2756
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.21%
- Metro
- New Haven-Milford, CT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
|
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Price history
+107.5% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Pending — Smart MLS
- 2026-06-05 Contingent — Smart MLS
- 2026-06-03 Relisted — Smart MLS
- 2026-06-03 Price Changed $299,900 Smart MLS
- 2026-05-29 Contingent — Smart MLS
- 2026-05-22 Listed $329,900 Smart MLS
- 2026-05-15 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 2026-05-01 Price Changed $385,000 Smart MLS
- 2026-04-17 Listed $389,900 Smart MLS
- 2026-04-10 Coming Soon — Smart MLS
- 2001-03-29 Sold (MLS) $141,000 Smart MLS
- 2000-08-31 Listed $144,500 Smart MLS
Property tax history
+3.0%/yrLatest (2023): $8,513 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…