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19816 Harlow St
B Composite 72.17
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.4/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$75,000

19816 Harlow St · Detroit, MI 48235
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,704 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 16 Days on market
Built 1947 4,792 sqft lot $44/sqft · 20% below area Est $82k · 9% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming ranch-style home situated on a nicely shaded lot with great potential throughout. This home features an easy-flow floor plan with a spacious living room and comfortable main-level layout, perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The property includes a large unfinished basement, offering excellent potential for future finishing, additional living space, or a cozy recreation area. Outside, enjoy a generous yard ideal for gatherings, gardening, or relaxing, along with a garage with breezeway for added convenience. Located in the College Heights subdivision, conveniently situated south of Eight Mile and east of Southfield, with easy access to major roadways, shopping, and dining. Available for immediate possession. Property sold as-is. Schedule your private showing today.

Key facts

  • Generous yard
  • Ranch-style home
  • 4,792 sq ft lot

Tags

RANCH-STYLE HOMELARGE UNFINISHED BASEMENTGENEROUS YARDGARAGE WITH BREEZEWAYEASY ACCESS TO MAJOR ROADWAYS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $569 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $74k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 15.4% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 283 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.2% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($74k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 13 sale attempts since 24y ago; this cycle's ask is 6422% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $73,875 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.72%
Cap rate
15.40%
Cash-on-cash
32.52%
DSCR
2.45
GRM
4.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$82,114
List price
$75,000
Delta
-8.66%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
19731 Harlow St 0.09mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,631 (-4%) 3mo $58,000 $36 79
19463 Gilchrist St 0.22mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,705 (+0%) 4mo $72,000 $42 78
16450 Pembroke Ave 0.27mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,787 (+5%) 6mo $69,900 $39 69
19486 Asbury Park Park 0.36mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,600 (-6%) 2mo $165,000 $103 66
19945 Biltmore St 0.20mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,849 (+8%) 2mo $114,900 $62 64
19515 Avon Ave 0.58mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,700 (-0%) 4mo $45,000 $26 64
19509 Avon Ave 0.58mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,700 (-0%) 4mo $45,000 $26 64
19161 Oakfield St 0.42mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,608 (-6%) 2mo $143,000 $89 60
20558 Oakfield St 0.45mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,927 (+13%) 1mo $125,000 $65 52
19167 Asbury Park 0.51mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,934 (+14%) 1mo $149,000 $77 46
19469 Sunderland Rd 0.71mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,592 (-7%) 3mo $175,000 $110 44
20026 Avon Ave 0.56mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,448 (-15%) 3mo $110,000 $76 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.25% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
27.8%
Equity multiple
2.16×
Total profit
$24,399
Equity at exit
$11,183
10-year hold
IRR
35.5%
Equity multiple
4.29×
Total profit
$69,169
Equity at exit
$6,485

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48235

Rents YoY
3.2%
Active inventory
283
Price-to-rent
4.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,288 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$24 /mo · $290/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$271
Net cashflow
$569

Break-even live

Break-even rent $568
Max offer price $75,000
Occupancy floor 51%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 16 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
19816 Harlow St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.5 1704 $1,150 $0.67 18d 1 0.01mi
20244 Oakfield St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1915 $1,380 $0.72 44d 1 0.32mi
20259 Oakfield St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1056 $1,250 $1.18 17d 1 0.33mi
20200 Ashton Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,200 $1.00 17d 1 0.37mi
20510 Fenmore St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1194 $1,300 $1.09 2d 1 0.42mi
19503 Mansfield St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,350 $1.12 17d 1 0.49mi
18675 Forrer St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,225 $1.02 5d 1 0.92mi
18400 Rutherford St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,400 $1.33 4d 1 1.01mi
18481 Prest St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1100 $1,300 $1.18 19d 1 1.15mi
18964 Coyle St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,350 $1.04 3d 1 1.20mi
19457 Evergreen Rd Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,200 $1.09 44d 1 1.21mi
16500 N Park Dr Southfield, MI 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1500 $1,844 $1.23 2d 1 1.23mi
17654 Sunderland Rd Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,500 $1.36 44d 1 1.24mi
17678 Edinborough Rd Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1528 $1,650 $1.08 17d 1 1.38mi
17678 Edinborough Rd Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1528 $1,650 $1.08 15d 1 1.38mi
17201 Saint Marys St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,200 $1.00 3d 1 1.43mi

Listing history 43 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $75,000 Active 16 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $75,000 Active 15 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $75,000 Active 13 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $75,000 Active 11 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $75,000 Active 10 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $75,000 Active 7 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $75,000 Active 6 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $75,000 Active 5 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $75,000 Active 2 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    days on marketlisting id $75,000 Active 1 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $75,000 Active 145 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $75,000 Active 144 DOM
  13. 2026-04-14
    listed $1,150
  14. 2026-01-07
    listed $75,000 Active 793-char remark
    Show marketing remark (793 chars)

    Charming ranch-style home situated on a nicely shaded lot with great potential throughout. This home features an easy-flow floor plan with a spacious living room and comfortable main-level layout, perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The property includes a large unfinished basement, offering excellent potential for future finishing, additional living space, or a cozy recreation area. Outside, enjoy a generous yard ideal for gatherings, gardening, or relaxing, along with a garage with breezeway for added convenience. Located in the College Heights subdivision, conveniently situated south of Eight Mile and east of Southfield, with easy access to major roadways, shopping, and dining. Available for immediate possession. Property sold as-is. Schedule your private showing today.

  15. 2026-01-07
    listed $75,000 Active 793-char remark
    Show marketing remark (793 chars)

    Charming ranch-style home situated on a nicely shaded lot with great potential throughout. This home features an easy-flow floor plan with a spacious living room and comfortable main-level layout, perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The property includes a large unfinished basement, offering excellent potential for future finishing, additional living space, or a cozy recreation area. Outside, enjoy a generous yard ideal for gatherings, gardening, or relaxing, along with a garage with breezeway for added convenience. Located in the College Heights subdivision, conveniently situated south of Eight Mile and east of Southfield, with easy access to major roadways, shopping, and dining. Available for immediate possession. Property sold as-is. Schedule your private showing today.

  16. 2022-03-24
    historical
  17. 2022-03-24
    historical
  18. 2022-02-05
    price $65,000
  19. 2022-02-04
    price $65,000
  20. 2022-01-25
    listed $75,000 Active
  21. 2022-01-25
    listed $75,000 Active
  22. 2022-01-06
    historical
  23. 2022-01-06
    historical
  24. 2021-12-02
    listed $75,000 Active
  25. 2021-12-02
    listed $75,000 Active
  26. 2021-12-01
    historical
  27. 2021-12-01
    historical
  28. 2021-09-14
    price $75,000
  29. 2021-09-14
    price $75,000
  30. 2021-09-02
    listed $85,000 Active
  31. 2021-09-02
    listed $85,000 Active
  32. 2011-03-31
    historical
  33. 2011-03-31
    historical
  34. 2010-06-25
    listed $2,500
  35. 2010-06-25
    listed $2,500
  36. 2008-12-22
    historical
  37. 2008-09-22
    listed $39,900
  38. 2008-03-12
    soldstatus $66,000
  39. 2003-04-14
    historical
  40. 2002-10-14
    listed $53,900
  41. 1995-12-04
    soldstatus $23,900
  42. 1995-10-18
    soldstatus $5,000
  43. 1995-06-21
    soldstatus $5,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$290 · $24/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$723 · $60/mo
Expected delta
+$432/yr (+$36/mo · 148.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,462
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$290
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,237
− Management
−$1,237
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$5,940
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,426
After-tax cash flow
$5,404/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
45,600
Household income
$39,265
Rent vs Own
46.5% rent · 53.5% own
Severe rent burden
3064.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (94%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 94% White 3% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -153.02%
Current HPI
263.6326
Rent YoY
▲ 3.25%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-77.0% since first listed
31 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-14 Listed for Rent $1,150 REDFIN
  • 2026-01-07 Listed $75,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-07 Listed $75,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-03-24 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2022-03-24 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-02-05 Price Changed $65,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-02-04 Price Changed $65,000 REALCOMP
  • 2022-01-25 Listed $75,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-01-25 Listed $75,000 REALCOMP
  • 2022-01-06 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-01-06 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2021-12-02 Listed $75,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-12-02 Listed $75,000 REALCOMP
  • 2021-12-01 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-12-01 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2021-09-14 Price Changed $75,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-09-14 Price Changed $75,000 REALCOMP
  • 2021-09-02 Listed $85,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-09-02 Listed $85,000 REALCOMP
  • 2011-03-31 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2011-03-31 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2010-06-25 Listed $2,500 REALCOMP
  • 2010-06-25 Listed $2,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2008-12-22 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2008-09-22 Listed $39,900 REALCOMP
  • 2008-03-12 Sold (Public Records) $66,000 Public Records
  • 2003-04-14 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2002-10-14 Listed $53,900 REALCOMP
  • 1995-12-04 Sold (Public Records) $23,900 Public Records
  • 1995-10-18 Sold (Public Records) $5,000 Public Records
  • 1995-06-21 Sold (Public Records) $5,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $290 · +2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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