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229 Carmel Ct
D+ Composite 48.87
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$100,000

229 Carmel Ct · Burlington, WV 26852
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 560 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 270 Days on market
Built 2000 5.49 ac lot $10/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Camp Ready - This Rustic cabin is built around a boat-house so it has some character. There are multiple build sites on this 5.49 acre wooded lot surrounded by large mature trees. Enjoy the basic cabin now, equipped with hot water, septic and electric and later build or improve to you liking. Great spot for a camper, vacation, or permanent home. Not far off the beaten path - easy to access. Tons of potential and enjoyable right now. Great outdoor spaces in a private location, in a cute neighborhood with community pond. Sold as-is

Key facts

  • Septic
  • Electric
  • Rustic cabin

Tags

RUSTIC CABIN5.49 ACRE WOODED LOTMULTIPLE BUILD SITESHOT WATERSEPTICELECTRIC

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: HOA fee of $125 paid annually

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Well water; On-site septic
  • Home design: Single-story property (main level living noted)
  • Construction: Frame construction with T-1-11 siding; Above-grade and below-grade other structures noted; Finished above-grade area of 560 (source: Assessor); Year built (source: Assessor)
  • Exterior features: Property located outside city limits; Directions: From US 220 (Purgitsville Pike) turn onto Old Mountain Rd in Purgitsville. Turn Left onto Old Mountain Run. Turn Right onto Carmel Court. Property on Left

Interior

  • Bedrooms: One bedroom on the main level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level; One full bathroom total
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Electric hot water
  • Interior features: No basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $63 ($754/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $84k (15.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $84k (15.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#123 in WV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Hampshire County Schools (rural): math 25% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #30 of 55 in WV (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 124 units permitted in Hampshire County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $1k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $413 appreciation (0.4% local appreciation)).
  • Hampshire County population projected at -29% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (0.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 270 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $12k; list at $100k implies a 733% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $84,202 (15.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 270 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.84%
Cap rate
7.05%
Cash-on-cash
2.69%
DSCR
1.12
GRM
9.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.41% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.2%
Equity multiple
1.11×
Total profit
$2,991
Equity at exit
$31,120
10-year hold
IRR
7.2%
Equity multiple
1.82×
Total profit
$22,956
Equity at exit
$39,112

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State West Virginia
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Landlord-favorable; preempted; minimal protections.

ZIP-level market 26852

Home prices YoY
0.3%
Active inventory
5
Price-to-rent
9.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$842 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$26 /mo · $316/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$10
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$177
Net cashflow
$63

Break-even live

Break-even rent $763
Max offer price $100,000
Occupancy floor 88%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,000
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$10 · $120/yr
Likely covers
waterelectric

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $100,000 Active 270 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $100,000 Active 269 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $100,000 Active 268 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $100,000 Active 267 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $100,000 Active 266 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $100,000 Active 264 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $100,000 Active 263 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $100,000 Active 260 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $100,000 Active 259 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $100,000 Active 258 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $100,000 Active 255 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $100,000 Active 254 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $100,000 Active 253 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $100,000 Active 252 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $100,000 Active 251 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $100,000 Active 250 DOM
  17. 2025-10-01
    price $100,000
  18. 2025-09-22
    listed $130,000 Active
  19. 1989-10-12
    soldstatus $12,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WV · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$316 · $26/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$590 · $49/mo
Expected delta
+$274/yr (+$23/mo · 86.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,104
− Mortgage interest
−$5,602
− Property taxes
−$316
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$808
− Management
−$808
− HOA
−$120
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable loss
−$959
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$230
After-tax cash flow
$984/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hampshire County Schools
NCES district ID
5400420
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$32,170
Composite
25.69/100
National rank
#7392
State rank
#30 of 55 in WV

Livability — Burlington

Score
65/100
State rank
#123
US rank
#12749

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment A+ Housing B Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
922

Population outlook (Hampshire County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
21,820 people
By 2030
20,690 · -5.2%
By 2040
18,089 · -17.1%
By 2050
15,413 · -29.4%
By 2075
10,421 · -52.2%
By 2100
6,842 · -68.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Two or more races 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hampshire

2024 margin
Solid R (+62.6) · D 18.0% · R 80.6% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-35.8pp toward R · 2008: -26.8pp · 2024: -62.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+62.6 2020: R+60.4 2016: R+59.2 2012: R+40.4 2008: R+26.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.41%
Current HPI
160.411
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+733.3% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2025-10-01 Price Changed $100,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-09-22 Listed $130,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1989-10-12 Sold (Public Records) $12,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $316 · +16.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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