None · Meadow Woods, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.9/10.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$280,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Very nice 4 bedroom 2.5 bathroom bank owned home for sale in gated community! Property is being sold "as is. "Home is located near the airport, 15 minutes from Disney and Sea World.
Key facts
- Meadow woods area
- Shopping and dining
- 6,404 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $280k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $284 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $276k (1.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $276k (1.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 3.7% in Meadow Woods — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#652 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Orange (suburban): math 46% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #43 of 73 in FL (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Wyndham Lakes Elementary (math 57% / reading 59%, grade C+, #751 of 2,144 statewide, top 36%, 584 students, 55% FRL); Cypress Creek High (math 20% / reading 44%, grade F, #415 of 667 statewide, top 63%, 3,467 students, 43% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.2%/yr); 344 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 8,053 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,133 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($85k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Orange County population projected at +52% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $160k; list at $280k implies a 75% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.35%
- DSCR
- 1.19
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $444,050
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14324 Fieldstone Lake Way | 0.39mi | 5/2.5 (+1) | 2,067 (-0%) | 4mo | $485,000 | $235 | 71 |
| 2167 Windcrest Lake Cir | 0.27mi | 4/2.0 | 1,985 (-4%) | 23mo | $475,000 | $239 | 56 |
| 14536 Grassy Cove Cir | 0.54mi | 4/2.5 | 2,290 (+10%) | 0mo | $445,000 | $194 | 55 |
| 1711 Brook Hollow Dr | 0.51mi | 4/2.5 | 2,190 (+6%) | 14mo | $460,000 | $210 | 54 |
| 14819 Cedar Branch Way | 0.42mi | 4/2.0 | 1,987 (-4%) | 22mo | $470,000 | $237 | 51 |
| 144 Pinewood Cir | 0.71mi | 4/2.5 | 1,916 (-8%) | 13mo | $410,000 | $214 | 41 |
| 14572 Grassy Cove Cir | 0.59mi | 4/2.0 | 1,792 (-14%) | 8mo | $395,000 | $220 | 38 |
| 3228 Fairfield Dr | 0.68mi | 4/2.0 | 1,841 (-11%) | 10mo | $345,000 | $187 | 37 |
| 3209 Fairfield Dr | 0.74mi | 4/2.5 | 2,294 (+11%) | 16mo | $460,000 | $201 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.55×
- Total profit
- $-35,323
- Equity at exit
- $41,749
- IRR
- -9.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.51×
- Total profit
- $-38,589
- Equity at exit
- $24,209
Cash invested: $78,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32824
- Rents YoY
- -0.2%
- Active inventory
- 344
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,756 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,468
- Tax from tax record
- −$188 /mo · $2,256/yr
- Insurance
- −$117
- HOA
- −$120
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$579
- Net cashflow
- $284
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $443 | -5% $364 | +0% $284 | +5% $205 | +10% $126 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $67 | -5% $175 | +0% $284 | +5% $393 | +10% $502 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $425 | -0.5pp $356 | base $284 | +0.5pp $212 | +1.0pp $138 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $70,000
- Closing costs
- $8,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1743 Capesterre Dr Orlando, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1979 | $2,900 | $1.47 | 5d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 1735 White Heron Bay Cir Orlando, FL | 5.0 | 3.5 | 2532 | $3,500 | $1.38 | 25d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 1538 Avleigh Cir Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1406 | $2,350 | $1.67 | 25d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 1802 Meadow Pond Way Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1506 | $2,500 | $1.66 | 4d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1501 Chevington Ct Orlando, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1859 | $2,450 | $1.32 | 8d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1542 Brook Hollow Dr Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1539 | $2,300 | $1.49 | 11d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 1835 Island Walk Dr Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1964 | $2,100 | $1.07 | 25d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 3258 Fairfield Dr Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1756 | $2,695 | $1.53 | 25d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 15055 Willow Arbor Cir Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1803 | $2,500 | $1.39 | 16d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 15067 Willow Arbor Cir Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2303 | $2,445 | $1.06 | 8d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 13115 Canna Lily Dr Orlando, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2052 | $1,250 | $0.61 | 23d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1746 Mandavilla Dr Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1609 | $2,300 | $1.43 | 16d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 2217 Crosston Cir Orlando, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2283 | $3,000 | $1.31 | 25d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 3113 Fairfield Dr Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2500 | $2,800 | $1.12 | 11d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1567 Astoria Arbor Ln Orlando, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2060 | $2,600 | $1.26 | 3d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1524 Astoria Arbor Ln Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2058 | $2,500 | $1.21 | 23d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 15535 Willow Arbor Cir Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1747 | $2,450 | $1.40 | 25d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1899 Portofino Meadows Blvd Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1687 | $2,200 | $1.30 | 23d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 2205 Wyndam Way Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2294 | $2,499 | $1.09 | 13d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 182 Pinewood Cir Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1462 | $2,300 | $1.57 | 5d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 2502 Quail Park Ter Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2160 | $2,495 | $1.16 | 25d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 3100 Orchard Pl Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1565 | $2,140 | $1.37 | 25d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1568 Portofino Meadows Blvd Orlando, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1922 | $2,350 | $1.22 | 16d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 2347 Crosston Cir Orlando, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2114 | $3,200 | $1.51 | 21d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 3028 Stillwater Dr Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2294 | $2,800 | $1.22 | 18d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 3039 Stillwater Dr Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1565 | $2,250 | $1.44 | 25d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 14235 Sun Bay Dr Orlando, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1878 | $2,800 | $1.49 | 5d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1291 Sandestin Way Orlando, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2000 | $2,549 | $1.27 | 5d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 1540 Whitewater Falls Dr Orlando, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2165 | $2,500 | $1.15 | 25d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 1271 Sandestin Way Orlando, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1680 | $2,900 | $1.73 | 25d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 15154 Braywood Trl Orlando, FL | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2814 | $3,000 | $1.07 | 25d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 72 Lakepointe Cir Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1471 | $2,200 | $1.50 | 18d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 818 Vermont Woods Ln Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1463 | $2,200 | $1.50 | 16d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 13000 Breaking Dawn Dr Orlando, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1055 | $2,279 | $2.16 | 2d | 27 | 1.17mi |
| 2608 Spring Hill Dr Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1839 | $2,600 | $1.41 | 5d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1646 Buckeye Falls Way Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1545 | $2,300 | $1.49 | 25d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 1898 Zac St Kissimmee, FL | 3.0–4.0 | 2.5 | 1740 | $3,280 | $1.88 | 3d | 89 | 1.35mi |
| 3113 Turret Dr Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1874 | $2,100 | $1.12 | 25d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 101 Gardenia Rd Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1850 | $2,300 | $1.24 | 25d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 2841 Adelaide Ct Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1642 | $2,400 | $1.46 | 23d | 1 | 1.47mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $120 · $1,440/yr
- Likely covers
- security
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-03-07status Pending
-
2026-03-06$280,000 Active
-
2009-10-29soldstatus $160,000 191-char remark
Show marketing remark (191 chars)
Very nice 4 bedroom 2.5 bathroom bank owned home for sale in gated community! Property is being sold "as is. "Home is located near the airport, 15 minutes from Disney and Sea World.
-
2009-10-08$141,099 191-char remark
Show marketing remark (191 chars)
Very nice 4 bedroom 2.5 bathroom bank owned home for sale in gated community! Property is being sold "as is. "Home is located near the airport, 15 minutes from Disney and Sea World.
-
2008-11-07historical
-
2008-01-22$198,750
-
2006-12-06soldstatus $355,000
-
2006-11-03soldstatus $355,000
-
2006-08-08$325,000
-
2005-05-23soldstatus $233,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,256 · $188/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,324 · $194/mo
- Expected delta
- +$68/yr (+$6/mo · 3.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $33,074
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,684
- − Property taxes
- −$2,256
- − Insurance
- −$1,400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,646
- − Management
- −$2,646
- − HOA
- −$1,440
- − Depreciation
- −$8,145
- Taxable loss
- −$1,144
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$274
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,687/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Orange
- NCES district ID
- 1201440
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,350
- Composite
- 41.47/100
- National rank
- #3461
- State rank
- #43 of 73 in FL
Livability — Meadow Woods
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #652
- US rank
- #12935
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Meadow Woods, FL
- County
- Orange County · 1,471,359 people
- City population
- 55,282
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 58,368
- Household income
- $84,841
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1015.0
Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,618,226 people
- By 2030
- 1,787,404 · +10.5%
- By 2040
- 2,125,621 · +31.4%
- By 2050
- 2,454,016 · +51.6%
- By 2075
- 3,173,711 · +96.1%
- By 2100
- 3,607,781 · +122.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 62% Two or more races 34% White 15% Black 13% Asian 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 26% Cuban 2% Dominican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Hispanic 1% Russian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 32% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 36% English-only · Spanish 54% Other Indo-European 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Orange
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.6) · D 56.1% · R 42.5% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.0pp toward R · 2008: 18.6pp · 2024: 13.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.6 2020: D+23.1 2016: D+24.6 2012: D+18.2 2008: D+18.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -165.20%
- Current HPI
- 280.977
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.21%
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+20.2% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-07 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-06 Listed $280,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-10-29 Sold (MLS) $160,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-10-08 Listed $141,099 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-11-07 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-01-22 Listed $198,750 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-12-06 Sold (Public Records) $355,000 Public Records
- 2006-11-03 Sold (MLS) $355,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-08-08 Listed $325,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-05-23 Sold (Public Records) $233,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.3%/yrLatest (2025): $2,256 · +7.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…