816 N Baxter St · Lima, OH 45801

$59,000

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 960 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 151 Days on market

Built 1919 4,007 sqft lot $61/sqft · 38% below area Est $95k · 38% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Schools +2.6/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Investors! Look at this value add investment project property ready for your renovations! This 3 bedroom, one full bath home offers 960 square feet on a 40 x 100 lot! Improvements include: Newer siding, gutters, kitchen cabinets, tile flooring, and hot water tank! Priced to sell, no seller financing. Ask us about the other 16 value add properties for sale in the area that are similar and can be bundled for purchase in groups or portfolio! AS IS. Great area and ARV! Hurry this will not last long!

Key facts

• Hot water tank
• Newer siding
• Kitchen cabinets

Tags

• NEWER SIDING
• NEWER GUTTERS
• KITCHEN CABINETS
• TILE FLOORING
• HOT WATER TANK

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $59k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $508 ($6k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $59k).
• Recommended offer: $52k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 16.6% vs local median 7.7% in Lima — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 64/100 on livability (#787 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
• Lima City (urban): math 29% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #575 of 656 in OH (top 88%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 74 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 88 units permitted in Allen County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $408 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Allen County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 151 days — a 12% lower offer ($52k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 3 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price; built in 1919 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $51,920 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 151 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1919 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.14% ✓
• Cap rate: 16.63%
• Cash-on-cash: 36.90%
• DSCR: 2.64
• GRM: 3.9

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $94,917
• List price: $59,000
• Delta: -37.84%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
638 Hazel Ave	0.08mi	2/1.5 (-1)	960 (0%)	1mo	$130,000	$135	88
806 Ewing Ave	0.32mi	3/1.0	992 (+3%)	1mo	$31,000	$31	79
765 Ewing Ave	0.22mi	3/1.0	1,006 (+5%)	4mo	$157,000	$156	78
809 Rice Ave	0.25mi	2/1.0 (-1)	936 (-2%)	1mo	$60,000	$64	78
923 Burch Ave	0.36mi	2/1.0 (-1)	1,029 (+7%)	0mo	$142,000	$138	66
1120 Melrose St	0.43mi	3/1.0	1,040 (+8%)	2mo	$165,000	$159	65
760 W O'connor Ave	0.54mi	3/1.5	920 (-4%)	2mo	$125,000	$136	64
608 W O'connor Ave	0.56mi	2/1.0 (-1)	896 (-7%)	3mo	$79,500	$89	56
1027 Sherman Ave	0.61mi	3/1.0	1,052 (+10%)	4mo	$130,000	$124	52
1245 Latham Ave	0.71mi	3/1.0	1,066 (+11%)	1mo	$145,000	$136	48
722 N Elizabeth St	0.54mi	2/1.0 (-1)	824 (-14%)	4mo	$15,000	$18	42
500 W Robb Ave	0.71mi	2/2.0 (-1)	842 (-12%)	4mo	$125,000	$148	34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 32.8%
• Equity multiple: 2.38×
• Total profit: $22,863
• Equity at exit: $8,797

10-year hold

• IRR: 39.9%
• Equity multiple: 4.74×
• Total profit: $61,851
• Equity at exit: $5,101

Cash invested: $16,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 73 Landlord-Friendly
• State Ohio: 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 45801

• Active inventory: 74
• Price-to-rent: 3.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,262 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$309
• Tax from tax record: −$155 /mo · $1,855/yr
• Insurance: −$25
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$265
• Net cashflow: $508

Break-even live

Break-even rent $618

Max offer price $59,000

Occupancy floor 55%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $14,750
• Closing costs: $1,770
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 3 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
545 W Market St Unit 340 1/2 Mcpheron Lima, OH	2.0	1.0	900	$800	$0.89	43d	1	0.75mi
1014 W Market St Apt 3 Lima, OH	2.0	1.0	800	$1,400	$1.75	43d	1	0.80mi
43 Town Sq Lima, OH	2.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1100	$1,413	$1.28	43d	9	0.91mi

Listing history 26 events

1. 2026-06-19
   days on market $59,000 Active 151 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $59,000 Active 150 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $59,000 Active 149 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $59,000 Active 148 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $59,000 Active 147 DOM
6. 2026-06-14
   days on market $59,000 Active 145 DOM
7. 2026-06-12
   days on market $59,000 Active 144 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $59,000 Active 141 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $59,000 Active 140 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $59,000 Active 139 DOM
11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $59,000 Active 138 DOM
12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $59,000 Active 135 DOM
13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $59,000 Active 134 DOM
14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $59,000 Active 133 DOM
15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,000 Active 132 DOM
16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,000 Active 131 DOM
17. 2026-04-25
    price $59,000 500-char remark

    Show marketing remark (500 chars)

    Investors! Look at this value add investment project property ready for your renovations! This 3 bedroom, one full bath home offers 960 square feet on a 40 x 100 lot! Improvements include: Newer siding, gutters, kitchen cabinets, tile flooring, and hot water tank! Priced to sell, no seller financing. Ask us about the other 16 value add properties for sale in the area that are similar and can be bundled for purchase in groups or portfolio! AS IS. Great area and ARV! Hurry this will not last long!

18. 2026-03-03
    price $65,000 500-char remark

    Show marketing remark (500 chars)

    Investors! Look at this value add investment project property ready for your renovations! This 3 bedroom, one full bath home offers 960 square feet on a 40 x 100 lot! Improvements include: Newer siding, gutters, kitchen cabinets, tile flooring, and hot water tank! Priced to sell, no seller financing. Ask us about the other 16 value add properties for sale in the area that are similar and can be bundled for purchase in groups or portfolio! AS IS. Great area and ARV! Hurry this will not last long!

19. 2026-02-21
    price $67,500 500-char remark

    Show marketing remark (500 chars)

    Investors! Look at this value add investment project property ready for your renovations! This 3 bedroom, one full bath home offers 960 square feet on a 40 x 100 lot! Improvements include: Newer siding, gutters, kitchen cabinets, tile flooring, and hot water tank! Priced to sell, no seller financing. Ask us about the other 16 value add properties for sale in the area that are similar and can be bundled for purchase in groups or portfolio! AS IS. Great area and ARV! Hurry this will not last long!

20. 2026-01-19
    listed $69,500 Active 500-char remark

    Show marketing remark (500 chars)

    Investors! Look at this value add investment project property ready for your renovations! This 3 bedroom, one full bath home offers 960 square feet on a 40 x 100 lot! Improvements include: Newer siding, gutters, kitchen cabinets, tile flooring, and hot water tank! Priced to sell, no seller financing. Ask us about the other 16 value add properties for sale in the area that are similar and can be bundled for purchase in groups or portfolio! AS IS. Great area and ARV! Hurry this will not last long!

21. 2025-07-09
    price $77,000
22. 2025-05-21
    price $40,000
23. 2025-04-29
    listed $50,000 Active
24. 2022-03-29
    soldstatus $56,000
25. 2022-03-22
    soldstatus $21,703
26. 2021-06-23
    listed $49,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $1,855 · $155/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,855 · $155/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $15,138
• − Mortgage interest: −$3,305
• − Property taxes: −$1,855
• − Insurance: −$295
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,211
• − Management: −$1,211
• − Depreciation: −$1,716
• Taxable income: $5,545
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,331
• After-tax cash flow: $4,765/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Lima City
• NCES district ID: 3904422
• Math proficiency: 29% ▼ -13.00%
• Reading proficiency: 36% ▼ -6.00%
• Median HH income: $29,685
• Composite: 26.31/100
• National rank: #7243
• State rank: #575 of 656 in OH

Livability — Lima

• Score: 64/100
• State rank: #787
• US rank: #14288

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Lima, OH
• County: Allen County · 21,739 people
• City population: 21,739
• Metro: Lima, OH
• Population (ZIP): 21,739
• Household income: $51,731
• Rent vs Own: 45.7% rent · 54.3% own
• Severe rent burden: 1141.0

Population outlook (Allen County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 100,321 people
• By 2030: 97,693 · -2.6%
• By 2040: 91,802 · -8.5%
• By 2050: 86,152 · -14.1%
• By 2075: 73,659 · -26.6%
• By 2100: 58,716 · -41.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (71%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 71% Black 14% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 5%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 2% Italian 1% Iranian 1%
• Foreign-born: 2% · Canada, China
• Languages at home: 96% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Allen

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+44.1) · D 27.5% · R 71.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: -23.4pp toward R · 2008: -20.7pp · 2024: -44.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+44.1 2020: R+39.5 2016: R+38.2 2012: R+25.7 2008: R+20.7

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -164.79%
• Current HPI: 219.5329
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Lima, OH
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.98%
• F500 in state: 48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Insurance	3	$145B
▸Industrial Machinery	3	$49B
▸Financial Services	3	$24B
▸Consumer Goods	2	$93B
▸Aerospace / Defense	2	$47B
▸Utilities	2	$33B

Price history

+18.2% since first listed

10 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-25 Price Changed $59,000 MLSNOW
• 2026-03-03 Price Changed $65,000 MLSNOW
• 2026-02-21 Price Changed $67,500 MLSNOW
• 2026-01-19 Listed $69,500 MLSNOW
• 2025-07-09 Price Changed $77,000 MARMLS
• 2025-05-21 Price Changed $40,000 MARMLS
• 2025-04-29 Listed $50,000 MARMLS
• 2022-03-29 Sold (Public Records) $56,000 Public Records
• 2022-03-22 Sold (MLS) $21,703 WCARE
• 2021-06-23 Listed $49,900 WCARE

Property tax history

+12.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,855 · +243.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.