9821 Manistique St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.1/30.0
- DSCR +9.4/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.8/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,777
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 9821 Manistique, a brick ranch offering 2 bedrooms, 1.5 bathrooms, a full basement, and a detached 1-car garage. The home features a functional floor plan, generous storage space, and an opportunity for a new owner to add their own personal touches. Conveniently located on Detroit's east side with access to shopping, dining, parks, schools, and major commuter routes. Whether you're searching for a primary residence or your next investment opportunity, this property offers a solid foundation in an established neighborhood. Buyer and buyer's agent to verify all information.
Key facts
- Full basement
- Brick ranch
- Detached garage
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (1.5 car)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Ground-level entry with steps
- Construction: Brick construction; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot dimensions approximately 35 x 190 (0.15 acres)
Interior
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 2
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No cooling
- Interior features: Unfinished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $282 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $98k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 492 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $690 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $2k; list at $100k implies a 5443% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.69%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.12%
- DSCR
- 1.54
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $50,350
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9768 Manistique St | 0.06mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 986 (+4%) | 0mo | $35,000 | $35 | 86 |
| 10058 Greensboro St | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 928 (-2%) | 3mo | $40,000 | $43 | 71 |
| 10696 Stratman St | 0.34mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,000 (+5%) | 3mo | $53,000 | $53 | 66 |
| 9459 Lakepointe St | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 855 (-10%) | 2mo | $40,000 | $47 | 64 |
| 10904 N Mogul St | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,045 (+10%) | 0mo | $113,000 | $108 | 63 |
| 11203 Stockwell St | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,012 (+6%) | 5mo | $107,500 | $106 | 58 |
| 14263 Hampshire St | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,056 (+11%) | 5mo | $16,500 | $16 | 50 |
| 10326 Beaconsfield St | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,042 (+10%) | 3mo | $66,000 | $63 | 49 |
| 14728 Wilfred St | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,050 (+10%) | 3mo | $30,500 | $29 | 47 |
| 5818 Beaconsfield St | 0.66mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,038 (+9%) | 3mo | $60,000 | $58 | 44 |
| 11830 Riad St | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 | 1,076 (+13%) | 5mo | $42,000 | $39 | 40 |
| 5759 Barham St | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,075 (+13%) | 5mo | $72,000 | $67 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.73% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.97×
- Total profit
- $-838
- Equity at exit
- $14,877
- IRR
- 6.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.43×
- Total profit
- $12,050
- Equity at exit
- $8,627
Cash invested: $27,938 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48224
- Rents YoY
- 0.7%
- Active inventory
- 492
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,181 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$523
- Tax from tax record
- −$86 /mo · $1,028/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$248
- Net cashflow
- $282
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $339 | -5% $310 | +0% $282 | +5% $254 | +10% $226 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $189 | -5% $236 | +0% $282 | +5% $329 | +10% $375 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $332 | -0.5pp $308 | base $282 | +0.5pp $256 | +1.0pp $230 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,944
- Closing costs
- $2,993
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9516 Wayburn St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $950 | $1.19 | 18d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 10644 Stratman St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 18d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 10141 Roxbury St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1115 | $1,000 | $0.90 | 45d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 9190 Hayes St Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $850 | $1.13 | 16d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 9927 Beaconsfield St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 942 | $1,375 | $1.46 | 16d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 13400 Longview St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 45d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 9747 Somerset Ave Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 797 | $1,100 | $1.38 | 45d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 13137 Elmdale St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1115 | $1,400 | $1.26 | 25d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 13067 Wade St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 660 | $900 | $1.36 | 6d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 5751 Nottingham Rd Unit 5/21/26 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,225 | $1.11 | 0d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 10404 Somerset Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1108 | $1,475 | $1.33 | 5d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 15010 Cedargrove St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1018 | $1,350 | $1.33 | 45d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 9140 Whittier Ave Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $700 | $1.27 | 45d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 11235 Roxbury St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1062 | $1,325 | $1.25 | 18d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 15238 Seymour St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $1,300 | $1.22 | 0d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 5235 Chatsworth St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,050 | $1.17 | 45d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 5076 Chalmers St Unit 5074 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $925 | $1.32 | 25d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 10037 Grayton St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 5d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 10177 Boleyn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 767 | $1,250 | $1.63 | 45d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 5284 Devonshire Rd Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,050 | $1.62 | 25d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 5284 Devonshire Rd Unit 2 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,050 | $1.40 | 16d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 5025 Somerset Ave Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 772 | $900 | $1.17 | 45d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 14103 Rochelle Ave Unit 3 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $800 | $1.14 | 45d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 12201 Morang Ave Unit 8 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 610 | $875 | $1.43 | 45d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 5112 Haverhill St Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 45d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 11611 Morang Ave Detroit, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 709 | $1,040 | $1.47 | 45d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 15494 Mapleridge St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 937 | $1,275 | $1.36 | 45d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 12210 Longview St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,100 | $1.08 | 45d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 10400 Britain St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 890 | $1,100 | $1.24 | 45d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 10370 Britain St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 11529 Roxbury St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,200 | $1.67 | 13d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 5783 Yorkshire Rd Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,200 | $1.15 | 45d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 12740 August St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,300 | $1.44 | 6d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 11776 Rossiter St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 964 | $1,150 | $1.19 | 12d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 5031 Bedford St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 876 | $1,870 | $2.13 | 0d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 5028 Bedford St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 6d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 10692 Meuse St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 955 | $1,250 | $1.31 | 13d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 4667 Eastlawn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 646 | $1,095 | $1.70 | 5d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 4391 Nottingham Rd Unit 4393 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1038 | $950 | $0.92 | 6d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 16927 Chandler Park Dr Unit 3_ Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $900 | $1.50 | 16d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $99,777 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,777 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-17pricedays on market $99,777 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $104,777 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $104,777 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $104,777 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $104,777 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $104,777 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $104,777 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $104,777 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $104,777 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $104,777 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $104,777 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $104,777 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,028 · $86/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,282 · $107/mo
- Expected delta
- +$254/yr (+$21/mo · 24.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,168
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,589
- − Property taxes
- −$1,028
- − Insurance
- −$499
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,133
- − Management
- −$1,133
- − Depreciation
- −$2,903
- Taxable income
- $1,882
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$452
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,935/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,668
- Household income
- $44,856
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2515.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 88% White 8% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 1% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -226.38%
- Current HPI
- 161.886
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.73%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+4091.1% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Listed $104,777 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-29 Listed $104,777 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2013-07-30 Sold (MLS) $1,800 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2013-06-30 Sold (MLS) $1,800 REALCOMP
- 2013-06-28 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2013-06-28 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2013-06-03 Listed $2,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2013-05-31 Listed $2,500 REALCOMP
Property tax history
-2.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,028 · -34.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…