2101 15th St N · Bessemer, AL
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 44.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.7/5.0
- Schools +0.8/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$54,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
House is sold as-is and subject to Probate Court approval.
Key facts
- 6,534 sq ft lot
- Built 1959
- Listed 43 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking; On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Connected sewer; Electric water heater; Internet service available
- Home design: Existing construction; Siding: vinyl and other
- Construction: Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Fenced yard; Porch; Open deck
Interior
- Kitchen: Laminate countertops
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on main level
- Flooring: Tile flooring; Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom with tub/shower combo
- Heating & cooling: Gas heat; Central cooling
- Interior features: Handyman special; Attic; Ceilings: see remarks
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room on main level; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $39 ($469/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
- Recommended offer: $53k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.5% vs local median 5.9% in Bessemer — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#331 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, employment F.
- Bessemer City (suburban): math 3% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #120 of 129 in AL (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 87% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Abrams Elementary School (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #568 of 627 statewide, top 94%, 254 students, 78% FRL); Bessemer City High School (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #276 of 305 statewide, top 95%, 850 students, 61% FRL) — zoned schools average 69% FRL vs 87% district-wide (18 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.1%/yr); 115 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($35k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wind risk, 44% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.92% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.47%
- Cash-on-cash
- 36.35%
- DSCR
- 2.62
- GRM
- 4.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $43,746
- List price
- $54,900
- Delta
- 25.50%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2225 19th St N | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 888 (+2%) | 1mo | $35,000 | $39 | 72 |
| 2000 18th Way | 0.24mi | 2/1.0 | 810 (-7%) | 13mo | $16,119 | $20 | 66 |
| 1712 Long 14th St N | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 959 (+10%) | 2mo | $47,000 | $49 | 60 |
| 1500 Long 14th St | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 | 960 (+10%) | 2mo | $80,000 | $83 | 56 |
| 1554 27th Ave N | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 | 900 (+3%) | 19mo | $155,000 | $172 | 48 |
| 1308 22nd Ave | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,000 (+15%) | 10mo | $79,000 | $79 | 46 |
| 1550 27th Ave N | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 | 900 (+3%) | 23mo | $150,000 | $167 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.40×
- Total profit
- $-9,221
- Equity at exit
- $8,186
- IRR
- -34.2%
- Equity multiple
- -0.02×
- Total profit
- $-15,650
- Equity at exit
- $4,747
Cash invested: $15,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35020
- Home prices YoY
- -24.2%
- Rents YoY
- -3.1%
- Active inventory
- 115
- Price-to-rent
- 4.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,053 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$288
- Tax from tax record
- −$55 /mo · $664/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$221
- Net cashflow
- $39
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $70 | -5% $55 | +0% $39 | +5% $24 | +10% $8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-44 | -5% $-2 | +0% $39 | +5% $81 | +10% $122 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $67 | -0.5pp $53 | base $39 | +0.5pp $25 | +1.0pp $10 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,725
- Closing costs
- $1,647
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1314 22nd Ave N Bessemer, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1038 | $1,000 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 2234 19th St N Bessemer, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1106 | $975 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 1623 26th Ave N Bessemer, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1004 | $1,095 | $1.09 | 12d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 2423 Circle Dr Bessemer, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 732 | $1,050 | $1.43 | 44d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1015 11th St N Bessemer, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 876 | $975 | $1.11 | 12d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 817 15th St N Bessemer, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1116 | $1,125 | $1.01 | 4d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 719 16th St N Bessemer, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1085 | $1,075 | $0.99 | 24d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 2822 Brooklane Dr Bessemer, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $1,000 | $1.03 | 44d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $54,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $54,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $54,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $54,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $54,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $54,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $54,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $54,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $54,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $54,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $54,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $54,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $54,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $54,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-06$54,900 Active 58-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $664 · $55/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $664 · $55/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 44% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,634
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,075
- − Property taxes
- −$664
- − Insurance
- −$5,393
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,011
- − Management
- −$1,011
- − Depreciation
- −$1,597
- Taxable loss
- −$117
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$28
- After-tax cash flow
- $497/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bessemer City
- NCES district ID
- 0100330
- Math proficiency
- 3% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 19% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $29,721
- Composite
- 8.45/100
- National rank
- #9905
- State rank
- #120 of 129 in AL
Livability — Bessemer
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #331
- US rank
- #20078
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bessemer, AL
- County
- Jefferson County · 527,445 people
- City population
- 48,018
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,892
- Household income
- $35,362
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1001.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 74% Hispanic / Latino 13% White 11% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 11%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -57.54%
- Current HPI
- 179.7702
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -3.12%
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Listed $54,900 Greater Alabama MLS
Property tax history
+6.1%/yrLatest (2025): $664 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…