30 Southport Ln · Boynton Beach, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$129,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
LIGHT & AIRY, QUALITY FURNISHINGS, GOLF VIEW, GOOD LOCATION OPPOSITE POOL & CLUBHOUSE. EQUITY REQUIRED.
Key facts
- Hurricane windows
- Remodeled kitchen
- Lush landscaping
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $130k).
- Recommended offer: $114k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 19.2% vs local median 4.3% in Boynton Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#351 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety B+, cost of living B; Watch: amenities D+, crime D-, commute F.
- Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.6%/yr); 445 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,905/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($76k/yr) (locally 1813% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 233 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 28y ago; this cycle's ask is 2635% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $56k; list at $130k implies a 134% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 233 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.24% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- 46.09%
- DSCR
- 3.05
- GRM
- 3.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 39.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.63×
- Total profit
- $59,463
- Equity at exit
- $19,369
- IRR
- 44.8%
- Equity multiple
- 4.67×
- Total profit
- $133,636
- Equity at exit
- $11,231
Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33436
- Home prices YoY
- -26.0%
- Rents YoY
- -0.6%
- Active inventory
- 445
- Price-to-rent
- 3.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,905 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$681
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$162 /mo · $1,948/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$610
- Net cashflow
- $1,397
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,475
- Closing costs
- $3,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 61 Eastgate Dr Unit A Boynton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1572 | $7,000 | $4.45 | 24d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 1770 NW 22nd Ave Delray Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1850 | $7,000 | $3.78 | 16d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 1630 NW 22nd Ave Delray Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1560 | $4,200 | $2.69 | 24d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 2583 NW 13th St Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1466 | $2,600 | $1.77 | 17d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 1640 NW 19th Ter #103 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1148 | $1,950 | $1.70 | 7d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 1640 NW 19th Ter #103 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1148 | $1,950 | $1.70 | 21d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 1440 NW 20th Ave #104 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1335 | $2,650 | $1.99 | 13d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 2915 NW 12th St Unit D Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1499 | $3,200 | $2.13 | 7d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 1641 NW 19th Ter Unit 46A Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1104 | $2,000 | $1.81 | 18d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 1551 NW 20th Ave #102 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1148 | $1,995 | $1.74 | 24d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1860 NW 13th St #201 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1335 | $2,800 | $2.10 | 24d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1520 NW 19th Ter #203 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1335 | $2,200 | $1.65 | 24d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1560 NW 18th Ave #104 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1148 | $2,100 | $1.83 | 21d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1560 NW 18th Ave #104 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1148 | $2,100 | $1.83 | 20d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1441 NW 19th Ter #201 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1148 | $2,250 | $1.96 | 24d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 340 Lake Monterey Cir Boynton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1188 | $2,350 | $1.98 | 24d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1631 NW 18th Ave #201 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1148 | $3,300 | $2.87 | 24d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 400 Lake Monterey Cir Boynton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1144 | $2,400 | $2.10 | 10d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 872 NW 29th Ave Unit A Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1188 | $2,700 | $2.27 | 24d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 161 Monterey Bay Dr Boynton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1188 | $2,300 | $1.94 | 18d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 161 Monterey Bay Dr Boynton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1188 | $2,300 | $1.94 | 3d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 161 Monterey Bay Dr #161 Boynton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1188 | $2,200 | $1.85 | 2d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 161 Monterey Bay Dr #161 Boynton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1188 | $2,300 | $1.94 | 24d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 161 Monterey Bay Dr #161 Boynton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1188 | $2,250 | $1.89 | 13d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 169 Monterey Bay Dr Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1389 | $2,800 | $2.02 | 14d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 169 Monterey Bay Dr Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1389 | $2,800 | $2.02 | 24d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 138 Monterey Bay Dr Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1551 | $2,800 | $1.81 | 1d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 20 Westgate Ln Unit 20G Boynton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1712 | $7,990 | $4.67 | 10d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 101 Lake Monterey Cir Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1584 | $2,999 | $1.89 | 20d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 797 NW 32nd Ave Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1480 | $2,800 | $1.89 | 17d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 797 NW 32nd Ave Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1480 | $2,800 | $1.89 | 24d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 81 Nottingham Pl Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2209 | $3,500 | $1.58 | 17d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 81 Nottingham Pl Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2209 | $3,500 | $1.58 | 21d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1916 Palmland Dr Unit D Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $3,200 | $2.96 | 24d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 2622 NW 7th Ct Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1384 | $2,750 | $1.99 | 24d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 945 Sunflower Ave Delray Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1755 | $4,500 | $2.56 | 7d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1225 E Magnolia Cir Delray Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1705 | $3,700 | $2.17 | 24d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 4311 N Magnolia Cir Delray Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1705 | $3,100 | $1.82 | 24d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 2712 Lake Ida Rd Delray Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1604 | $4,000 | $2.49 | 7d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 183 Lake Monterey Cir Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1584 | $2,800 | $1.77 | 24d | 1 | 0.91mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-03days on market $129,900 Active 233 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $129,900 Active 231 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $129,900 Active 230 DOM
-
2026-01-06historical $4,750
-
2025-11-01$4,750
-
2025-10-13$129,900 Active
-
1999-09-16soldstatus $55,500 111-char remark
Show marketing remark (111 chars)
LIGHT & AIRY, QUALITY FURNISHINGS, GOLF VIEW, GOOD LOCATION OPPOSITE POOL & CLUBHOUSE. EQUITY REQUIRED.
-
1999-06-28historical 111-char remark
Show marketing remark (111 chars)
LIGHT & AIRY, QUALITY FURNISHINGS, GOLF VIEW, GOOD LOCATION OPPOSITE POOL & CLUBHOUSE. EQUITY REQUIRED.
-
1998-12-30$59,500 111-char remark
Show marketing remark (111 chars)
LIGHT & AIRY, QUALITY FURNISHINGS, GOLF VIEW, GOOD LOCATION OPPOSITE POOL & CLUBHOUSE. EQUITY REQUIRED.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $34,858
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,276
- − Property taxes
- −$1,948
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,789
- − Management
- −$2,789
- − Depreciation
- −$3,779
- Taxable income
- $15,627
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,751
- After-tax cash flow
- $13,015/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Palm Beach
- NCES district ID
- 1201500
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,943
- Composite
- 42.72/100
- National rank
- #3160
- State rank
- #34 of 73 in FL
Livability — Boynton Beach
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #351
- US rank
- #6098
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Boynton Beach, FL
- County
- Palm Beach County · 1,438,312 people
- City population
- 148,060
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 48,743
- Household income
- $75,789
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1813.0
Population outlook (Palm Beach County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,637,487 people
- By 2030
- 1,743,255 · +6.5%
- By 2040
- 1,948,712 · +19.0%
- By 2050
- 2,132,979 · +30.3%
- By 2075
- 2,530,027 · +54.5%
- By 2100
- 2,706,979 · +65.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 52% Black 24% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 10% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 3% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 12% Romanian 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 27% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 64% English-only · Spanish 14% French/Haitian/Cajun 13% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Palm Beach
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 49.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.8 2020: D+12.8 2016: D+15.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+22.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -109.59%
- Current HPI
- 311.7742
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.57%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
-92.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-06 Rental Removed $4,750 LISTANZA
- 2025-11-01 Listed for Rent $4,750 LISTANZA
- 2025-10-13 Listed $129,900 ForSaleByOwner.com
- 1999-09-16 Sold (MLS) $55,500 Beaches MLS
- 1999-06-28 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 1998-12-30 Listed $59,500 Beaches MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…