233 Annex St · New Sarpy, LA
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- A99
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.59%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,009 – $1,996
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.4/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$112,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This home needs your Tender Loving Care to make it cute again. Also, A Great Home for Investors. Located in St. Charles Parish School District along the Mississippi River. Levee access for recreation activies. This home will not go FHA or VA.
Key facts
- Levee access
- Mississippi river
- 7,797 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $112k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $413 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $112k).
- Recommended offer: $111k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 49/100 on livability (#433 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- St. Charles Parish (suburban): math 40% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #14 of 98 in LA (top 14%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 85 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 74 units permitted in St. Charles Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $778 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Charles County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($111k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $18k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A99 (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.44% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.04%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.52%
- DSCR
- 1.91
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $138,516
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 228 Annex St | 0.03mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (+3%) | 7mo | $140,000 | $117 | 84 |
| 324 W Easy St | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (+3%) | 14mo | $273,000 | $228 | 58 |
| 216 W Lawson St | 0.56mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,207 (+4%) | 12mo | $144,000 | $119 | 52 |
| 716 Vans Ln | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 | 1,100 (-6%) | 23mo | $30,000 | $27 | 45 |
| 322 Ormond Meadows Dr Unit C | 0.74mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,150 (-1%) | 14mo | $139,000 | $121 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.26×
- Total profit
- $8,182
- Equity at exit
- $16,774
- IRR
- 16.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.31×
- Total profit
- $41,360
- Equity at exit
- $9,727
Cash invested: $31,500 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70047
- Home prices YoY
- -14.4%
- Active inventory
- 85
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,625 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$590
- Tax from tax record
- −$108 /mo · $1,302/yr
- Insurance
- −$47
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$341
- Net cashflow
- $413
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,125
- Closing costs
- $3,375
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 56 Stanton Hall Dr Destrehan, LA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1418 | $1,700 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 15909 River Rd Hahnville, LA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 745 | $1,150 | $1.54 | 24d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-04-16soldstatus $110,000
-
2026-03-25status Pending 242-char remark
Show marketing remark (242 chars)
This home needs your Tender Loving Care to make it cute again. Also, A Great Home for Investors. Located in St. Charles Parish School District along the Mississippi River. Levee access for recreation activies. This home will not go FHA or VA.
-
2026-03-25status Pending
Show marketing remark (242 chars)
This home needs your Tender Loving Care to make it cute again. Also, A Great Home for Investors. Located in St. Charles Parish School District along the Mississippi River. Levee access for recreation activies. This home will not go FHA or VA.
-
2026-03-12price $112,500 242-char remark
Show marketing remark (242 chars)
This home needs your Tender Loving Care to make it cute again. Also, A Great Home for Investors. Located in St. Charles Parish School District along the Mississippi River. Levee access for recreation activies. This home will not go FHA or VA.
-
2026-03-12price $112,500
Show marketing remark (242 chars)
This home needs your Tender Loving Care to make it cute again. Also, A Great Home for Investors. Located in St. Charles Parish School District along the Mississippi River. Levee access for recreation activies. This home will not go FHA or VA.
-
2026-02-26$130,000 Active 242-char remark
Show marketing remark (242 chars)
This home needs your Tender Loving Care to make it cute again. Also, A Great Home for Investors. Located in St. Charles Parish School District along the Mississippi River. Levee access for recreation activies. This home will not go FHA or VA.
-
2026-02-26$130,000 Active
Show marketing remark (242 chars)
This home needs your Tender Loving Care to make it cute again. Also, A Great Home for Investors. Located in St. Charles Parish School District along the Mississippi River. Levee access for recreation activies. This home will not go FHA or VA.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,302 · $108/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,302 · $108/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone A99 · 59% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,503
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,302
- − Property taxes
- −$1,302
- − Insurance
- −$2,065
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,560
- − Management
- −$1,560
- − Depreciation
- −$3,273
- Taxable income
- $3,441
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$826
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,135/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Charles Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201440
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -38.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -32.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,261
- Composite
- 40.0/100
- National rank
- #3830
- State rank
- #14 of 98 in LA
Livability — New Sarpy
- Score
- 49/100
- State rank
- #433
- US rank
- #25891
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New Sarpy, LA
- County
- Saint Charles Parish · 27,180 people
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,220
- Household income
- $87,333
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 468.0
Population outlook (St. Charles County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 53,296 people
- By 2030
- 53,030 · -0.5%
- By 2040
- 51,646 · -3.1%
- By 2050
- 49,771 · -6.6%
- By 2075
- 46,993 · -11.8%
- By 2100
- 44,473 · -16.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (67%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 67% Black 20% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 21% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Charles
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+32.4) · D 33.0% · R 65.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.1pp toward R · 2008: -31.2pp · 2024: -32.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+32.4 2020: R+29.6 2016: R+30.8 2012: R+27.8 2008: R+31.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -40.34%
- Current HPI
- 238.9532
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
-15.4% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
- 2026-03-25 Pending — AcadianaMLS
- 2026-03-25 Pending — GSREIN
- 2026-03-12 Price Changed $112,500 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-03-12 Price Changed $112,500 GSREIN
- 2026-02-26 Listed $130,000 GSREIN
- 2026-02-26 Listed $130,000 AcadianaMLS
Property tax history
+3.5%/yrLatest (2024): $1,302 · +98.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…