604 N Victoria Rd #4 · Donna, TX
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +10.1/15.0
- Cash flow +8.6/30.0
- Appreciation +7.5/10.0
- Condition / age +4.8/5.0
- 1% rule +2.7/10.0
- Livability +2.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.4/10.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -3.4
$119,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3/2 over 1500sq ft. Family friendly floor plan with designer touches everywhere. Island kitchen with stainless appliances and a farmhouse sink. Beautifully painted walls with incredible light from all of the upgrade low-e windows, and upgrade flooring. Price includes, delivery and set-up, caliche pad, vapor barrier, Central A/C and Heat, (2) 4x4 decks and upgrade vinyl skirting, plus our award winning in house service! MSRP- $127,900 Sale Price $119,900!
Key facts
- Vinyl skirting
- Island kitchen
- Low-e windows
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $120k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-103 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $105k (12.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $92k (23.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $92k (23.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 3.3% in Donna — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 54/100 on livability (#1,411 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Donna ISD (suburban): math 11% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #821 of 826 in TX (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: T Price El (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #3,836 of 4,322 statewide, top 91%, 417 students, 97% FRL); W A Todd Middle (math 9% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,556 of 1,662 statewide, top 94%, 693 students, 92% FRL); Donna H S (math 16% / reading 21%, grade F, #1,436 of 1,632 statewide, top 88%, 2,095 students, 92% FRL) — zoned schools average 94% FRL vs 48% district-wide (45 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 509 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 110d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 61% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 7,378 units permitted in Hidalgo County in 2024 (641 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($36k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $13k of equity ($829 loan paydown + $12k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Hidalgo County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 863 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 863 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.77% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.69%
- DSCR
- 0.84
- GRM
- 10.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $127,202
- List price
- $119,900
- Delta
- -5.74%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3505 Kerps St | 1.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,510 (+1%) | 1mo | $249,000 | $165 | 62 |
| 1706 Foxtail St | 1.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,516 (+2%) | 2mo | $260,000 | $172 | 61 |
| 3401 Kerps St | 1.42mi | 3/2.5 | 1,446 (-3%) | 0mo | $239,950 | $166 | 58 |
| 3501 Kerps St | 1.18mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,510 (+1%) | 1mo | $249,000 | $165 | 57 |
| 2832 Sienna Dr W | 1.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,576 (+6%) | 1mo | $310,000 | $197 | 55 |
| 3417 Kerps St | 1.18mi | 3/2.5 | 1,446 (-3%) | 4mo | $259,000 | $179 | 55 |
| 2305 Cardinal Dr | 1.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,598 (+7%) | 1mo | $264,000 | $165 | 52 |
| 2109 Zinnia St | 1.31mi | 3/2.5 | 1,595 (+7%) | 3mo | $267,900 | $168 | 49 |
| 212 S 26th St | 0.88mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,416 (-5%) | 3mo | $138,000 | $97 | 45 |
| 2112 Blue Sky Dr | 1.39mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,614 (+8%) | 2mo | $271,000 | $168 | 45 |
| 3098 Briggs Rd #3 | 1.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,193 (-20%) | 1mo | $140,000 | $117 | 39 |
| 523 N 12th St | 1.25mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,196 (-20%) | 3mo | $160,000 | $134 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.75×
- Total profit
- $58,737
- Equity at exit
- $108,015
- IRR
- 19.5%
- Equity multiple
- 6.31×
- Total profit
- $178,171
- Equity at exit
- $232,939
Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 14 active
- Median asking
- $96,900 ($78/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 863 d
- This list price
- 79% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +9.1% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 78537
- Home prices YoY
- 5.8%
- Active inventory
- 509
- Price-to-rent
- 10.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $918 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$150 /mo · $1,798/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$193
- Net cashflow
- $-103
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-20 | -5% $-62 | +0% $-103 | +5% $-145 | +10% $-186 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-176 | -5% $-140 | +0% $-103 | +5% $-67 | +10% $-31 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-43 | -0.5pp $-73 | base $-103 | +0.5pp $-134 | +1.0pp $-166 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,975
- Closing costs
- $3,597
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 33 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2607 E North Ave Donna, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 950 | $1,150 | $1.21 | 0d | 7 | 0.26mi |
| 602 N Victoria Rd Donna, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1033 | $1,431 | $1.39 | 62d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 2813 Bravo Rd Unit B Weslaco, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,250 | $1.25 | 6d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 2705 Woodpecker Rd Unit 2 Weslaco, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1020 | $1,200 | $1.18 | 119d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 3707 U.S. 83 Business Unit 442 Donna, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $799 | $0.83 | 139d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 3707 U.S. 83 Business Unit 333 Donna, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $899 | $0.94 | 139d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 3707 U.S. 83 Business Unit 431 Donna, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $799 | $0.83 | 119d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 3707 U.S. 83 Business Unit 464 Donna, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $799 | $0.83 | 62d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 3707 U.S. 83 Business Unit 419 Donna, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $824 | $0.86 | 6d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 3707 U.S. 83 Business Unit 340 Donna, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $799 | $0.83 | 6d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 2609 Woodpecker Rd Unit 3 Weslaco, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1068 | $1,250 | $1.17 | 6d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 2609 Woodpecker Rd Unit 1 Weslaco, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1020 | $1,250 | $1.23 | 119d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 2604 Woodpecker Rd Unit 2 Weslaco, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1068 | $1,200 | $1.12 | 110d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 2605 Woodpecker Rd Unit 1 Weslaco, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1068 | $1,250 | $1.17 | 0d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 2605 Woodpecker Rd Unit 4 Weslaco, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1183 | $1,300 | $1.10 | 119d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 2605 Woodpecker Rd Unit 4 Weslaco, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1183 | $1,350 | $1.14 | 5d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 503 Sparrow Rd Unit 1 Weslaco, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,350 | $1.35 | 6d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 503 Sparrow Rd Unit 1 Weslaco, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 117d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 2509 Woodpecker Rd Unit 4 Weslaco, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1209 | $1,350 | $1.12 | 6d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 2608 Mockingbird Rd Unit 4 Weslaco, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1183 | $1,380 | $1.17 | 117d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 2613 Mockingbird Rd Unit D Weslaco, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 973 | $1,200 | $1.23 | 139d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 412 Sparrow Rd Unit 1 Weslaco, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1020 | $1,250 | $1.23 | 119d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 800 Oriole Rd Unit 3 Weslaco, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1020 | $1,200 | $1.18 | 6d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 800 Oriole Rd Unit 4 Weslaco, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1185 | $1,350 | $1.14 | 6d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 408 Sparrow Rd #4 Weslaco, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1185 | $1,400 | $1.18 | 110d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 408 Sparrow Rd #4 Weslaco, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1185 | $1,350 | $1.14 | 6d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 700 Oriole Rd #2 Weslaco, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1020 | $1,250 | $1.23 | 139d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 2013 Canyon Dr Unit 4 Weslaco, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1111 | $1,200 | $1.08 | 119d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 2103 Taft St Unit 4 Weslaco, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1111 | $1,095 | $0.99 | 139d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 3099 Briggs Rd Weslaco, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 995 | $1,200 | $1.21 | 62d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 3086 Briggs Rd Unit B Midway South, TX | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1050 | $1,300 | $1.24 | 119d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 3056 Stark Rd Unit 4 WESLACO, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1137 | $1,300 | $1.14 | 6d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 1721 Harrison St Weslaco, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1005 | $1,025 | $1.02 | 139d | 1 | 1.32mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-24days on market $119,900 Active 863 DOM
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2026-09-23days on market $119,900 Active 862 DOM
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2026-09-22days on market $119,900 Active 861 DOM
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2026-09-21days on market $119,900 Active 860 DOM
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2026-09-20days on market $119,900 Active 859 DOM
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2026-09-19days on market $119,900 Active 858 DOM
-
2026-09-18days on market $119,900 Active 857 DOM
-
2026-09-17days on market $119,900 Active 856 DOM
-
2026-09-16days on market $119,900 Active 855 DOM
-
2026-09-15days on market $119,900 Active 854 DOM
-
2026-09-14days on market $119,900 Active 853 DOM
-
2026-09-13days on market $119,900 Active 852 DOM
-
2026-09-12days on market $119,900 Active 851 DOM
-
2026-09-11days on market $119,900 Active 850 DOM
-
2026-09-05days on market $119,900 Active 844 DOM
-
2026-09-04days on market $119,900 Active 843 DOM
-
2026-09-03days on market $119,900 Active 842 DOM
-
2026-08-31days on market $119,900 Active 839 DOM
-
2026-08-30days on market $119,900 Active 838 DOM
-
2026-08-29days on market $119,900 Active 837 DOM
-
2026-08-28days on market $119,900 Active 836 DOM
-
2026-08-27days on market $119,900 Active 835 DOM
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2026-08-25days on market $119,900 Active 833 DOM
-
2026-08-24days on market $119,900 Active 832 DOM
-
2026-08-23days on market $119,900 Active 831 DOM
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2026-08-22days on market $119,900 Active 830 DOM
-
2026-08-21days on market $119,900 Active 829 DOM
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2026-08-20days on market $119,900 Active 828 DOM
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2026-08-19days on market $119,900 Active 827 DOM
-
2026-08-18days on market $119,900 Active 826 DOM
-
2026-08-17days on market $119,900 Active 825 DOM
-
2026-08-16days on market $119,900 Active 824 DOM
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2026-08-15days on market $119,900 Active 823 DOM
-
2026-08-15days on market $119,900 Active 822 DOM
-
2026-08-13days on market $119,900 Active 821 DOM
-
2026-08-12days on market $119,900 Active 820 DOM
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2026-08-11days on market $119,900 Active 819 DOM
-
2026-08-10days on market $119,900 Active 818 DOM
-
2026-08-09days on market $119,900 Active 817 DOM
-
2026-08-08days on market $119,900 Active 816 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $119,900 Active 815 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $119,900 Active 814 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $119,900 Active 813 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $119,900 Active 812 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $119,900 Active 811 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $119,900 Active 808 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $119,900 Active 807 DOM
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2026-07-29days on market $119,900 Active 806 DOM
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2026-07-27days on market $119,900 Active 804 DOM
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2026-07-25days on market $119,900 Active 802 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,018
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,716
- − Property taxes
- −$1,798
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$881
- − Management
- −$881
- − Depreciation
- −$3,488
- Taxable loss
- −$3,347
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$803
- After-tax cash flow
- $-436/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This manufactured home is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed. It offers a modern and well-maintained living space with good curb appeal.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Painting — Neutral paint can be refreshed to match current trends ↑
- Resale Lighting — Upgrading to modern fixtures can enhance the home's appeal ↑
- Rental Decor — Adding more personal touches can make the home more inviting for renters ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Donna ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4817390
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -30.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $27,330
- Composite
- 11.16/100
- National rank
- #9728
- State rank
- #821 of 826 in TX
Livability — Donna
- Score
- 54/100
- State rank
- #1411
- US rank
- #24172
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Hidalgo · 955,232 people
- City population
- 51,346
- Metro
- McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 51,346
- Household income
- $36,331
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 9% of renters
Population outlook (Hidalgo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 955,232 people
- By 2030
- 1,009,774 · +5.7%
- By 2040
- 1,120,332 · +17.3%
- By 2050
- 1,225,036 · +28.2%
- By 2075
- 1,439,189 · +50.7%
- By 2100
- 1,533,429 · +60.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 95% Two or more races 49% White 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 91%
- Foreign-born
- 27% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 15% English-only · Spanish 84%
Political lean MEDSL · Hidalgo
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.1% · R 51.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -41.6pp toward R · 2008: 38.7pp · 2024: -2.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.9 2020: D+17.1 2016: D+40.5 2012: D+41.8 2008: D+38.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 13.30%
- Current HPI
- 243.3933
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+0.8% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2024-05-15 Price Changed $119,900 Zillow
- 2024-05-14 Listed $118,900 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…