1246 Fulgur St #202 · Sanibel, FL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.3/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- DSCR +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$675,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Your Beach Getaway Awaits! This stunning 2-bedroom, 2-bath condo boasts Gulf views and has been beautifully remodeled, making it the perfect family retreat or rental property. Located in the sought-after Sanibel Siesta complex, the condo offers excellent rental income with the convenience of an on-site rental office. Whether you're looking for a relaxing vacation spot or an investment opportunity, this condo has it all. Enjoy direct access to the pristine Gulf of Mexico beach, take a dip in the pool, or explore the local area with on site bike rentals and exciting activities. Don’t miss out on the chance to own your slice of paradise
Key facts
- Remodeled
- On site bike rentals
- Gulf views
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Pets allowed: conditional (call)
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly fee; Association fee includes management, cable TV, insurance, internet, irrigation water, laundry, legal/accounting, grounds maintenance, pest control, reserve fund, sewer, and trash; Association amenities include bike storage and laundry; Condo-hotel community with elevator and proximity to hotel/motel; 62 units in the community
Exterior
- Parking: On-site management (building amenity)
- Security: Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; High-speed internet available
- Home design: Condo unit in a 4-story building; Entry level: 1; North-facing; Resale property; Has a view; Waterfront on the Gulf
- Construction: Block, concrete, and stucco construction; Built-up/flat/rolled (hot mop) roof
- Exterior features: Security/high-impact doors; Automatic sprinklers/irrigation; Outdoor grill; Lanai/porch (screened); Private heated in-ground pool with electric heat; Pond on lot; Oversized lot; South exposure; Public-maintained road; Municipal irrigation
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Split bedroom layout
- Flooring: Tile flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central electric cooling
- Interior features: Impact glass windows; Furnished; Breakfast bar; Open living/dining area; Tub with shower; High-speed internet available; Split-bedroom floorplan; Screened porch
- Laundry & utility: Common area laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $675k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-129 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $652k (3.4% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($7k rent vs $675k).
- Recommended offer: $634k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.8% in Sanibel — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#541 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, employment A+; Watch: housing D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 526 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $20k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 79 days — a 6% lower offer ($634k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $275k; list at $675k implies a 145% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 79 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.06%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.82%
- DSCR
- 0.96
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.38×
- Total profit
- $-116,879
- Equity at exit
- $100,645
- IRR
- -9.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.42×
- Total profit
- $-109,457
- Equity at exit
- $58,362
Cash invested: $189,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33957
- Home prices YoY
- -15.7%
- Active inventory
- 526
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $6,991 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,540
- Tax from tax record
- −$531 /mo · $6,370/yr
- Insurance
- −$281
- HOA
- −$1,300
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,468
- Net cashflow
- $-129
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $253 | -5% $62 | +0% $-129 | +5% $-320 | +10% $-511 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-681 | -5% $-405 | +0% $-129 | +5% $147 | +10% $423 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $211 | -0.5pp $43 | base $-129 | +0.5pp $-304 | +1.0pp $-482 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $168,750
- Closing costs
- $20,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 827 E Gulf Dr Unit G8 Sanibel, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $10,500 | $10.10 | 25d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1992 Roseate Ln Unit 414 Sanibel, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,400 | $1.56 | 4d | 1 | 1.22mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $1,300 · $15,600/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 16 events
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2026-06-17days on market $675,000 Active 79 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $675,000 Active 78 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $675,000 Active 77 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $675,000 Active 75 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $675,000 Active 72 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $675,000 Active 71 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $675,000 Active 69 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $675,000 Active 65 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $675,000 Active 64 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $675,000 Active 63 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $675,000 Active 62 DOM
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2026-03-30$675,000 Active
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2026-03-03historical
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2025-12-18price $675,000
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2025-03-17$719,000 Active
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1999-03-02soldstatus $275,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $6,370 · $531/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,370 · $531/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $83,892
- − Mortgage interest
- −$37,810
- − Property taxes
- −$6,370
- − Insurance
- −$3,375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$6,711
- − Management
- −$6,711
- − HOA
- −$15,600
- − Depreciation
- −$19,636
- Taxable loss
- −$12,322
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,957
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,410/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lee
- NCES district ID
- 1201080
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,518
- Composite
- 41.49/100
- National rank
- #3458
- State rank
- #42 of 73 in FL
Livability — Sanibel
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #541
- US rank
- #10166
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sanibel, FL
- City population
- 6,402
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,402
Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 871,946 people
- By 2030
- 955,468 · +9.6%
- By 2040
- 1,113,587 · +27.7%
- By 2050
- 1,256,891 · +44.1%
- By 2075
- 1,560,270 · +78.9%
- By 2100
- 1,726,848 · +98.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Two or more races 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Romanian 4% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -93.08%
- Current HPI
- 501.0
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+145.5% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-30 Listed $675,000 FORTMLS
- 2026-03-03 Listing Removed — FORTMLS
- 2025-12-18 Price Changed $675,000 FORTMLS
- 2025-03-17 Listed $719,000 FORTMLS
- 1999-03-02 Sold (Public Records) $275,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.1%/yrLatest (2025): $6,370 · +483.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…