1427 Woodland Rd · Thomaston, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 60.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.3/30.0
- DSCR +9.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.4/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
PRICE REDUCTION!! Property converted into a duplex. Apartment A consists of 2 bedrooms 1 bath, living/dining/kitchen combination, storage room, window heat/air unit. Apartment B consists of the living/dining combination, kitchen downstairs and bedroom and bath upstairs, situated on approx. 0.31 acres. Property being sold AS-IS. Both units are currently rented. Call for showing today.
Key facts
- Storage room
- Potential to convert
- Water meter
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Address: 1427 Woodland Road, Thomaston, GA 30286; Located in Upson County
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water available; Septic tank; Electricity available; Propane available
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Resale condition; Structure type: Other
- Construction: Built in 1971; Construction materials: Other
- Exterior features: Composition roof; Lot approximately 0.31 acres; Lot details: other
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms total; 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Other flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Heating present (type: Other); Window unit(s) for cooling
- Interior features: One-and-a-half story layout; Mud room; Family room
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in mud room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $333 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
- Recommended offer: $101k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 4.0% in Thomaston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#455 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Thomaston-Upson County (rural): math 26% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #123 of 174 in GA (top 71%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Upson-Lee Middle School (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #271 of 470 statewide, top 60%, 927 students, 83% FRL); Upson-Lee High School (math 18% / reading 17%, grade F, #264 of 424 statewide, top 63%, 1,178 students, 70% FRL) — zoned schools average 77% FRL vs 60% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 199 active listings in the ZIP; 111 units permitted in Upson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Upson County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 254 days — a 12% lower offer ($101k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $15k; list at $115k implies a 667% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 60% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 254 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.24% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.77%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.42%
- DSCR
- 1.55
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $285,220
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 601 Nelson Dr | 0.72mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,340 (+7%) | 10mo | $305,000 | $130 | 38 |
| 1112 S Green St | 0.74mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,384 (+9%) | 15mo | $280,000 | $117 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.08×
- Total profit
- $2,620
- Equity at exit
- $17,147
- IRR
- 11.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.92×
- Total profit
- $29,708
- Equity at exit
- $9,943
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30286
- Home prices YoY
- -14.7%
- Active inventory
- 199
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,427 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$143 /mo · $1,713/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$300
- Net cashflow
- $333
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 45 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $115,000 Active 254 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $115,000 Active 253 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $115,000 Active 252 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $115,000 Active 251 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $115,000 Active 249 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $115,000 Active 248 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $115,000 Active 245 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $115,000 Active 244 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $115,000 Active 243 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $115,000 Active 242 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $115,000 Active 239 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $115,000 Active 238 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $115,000 Active 237 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $115,000 Active 236 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $115,000 Active 235 DOM
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2026-04-28status Price Change 389-char remark
Show marketing remark (389 chars)
PRICE REDUCTION!! Property converted into a duplex. Apartment A consists of 2 bedrooms 1 bath, living/dining/kitchen combination, storage room, window heat/air unit. Apartment B consists of the living/dining combination, kitchen downstairs and bedroom and bath upstairs, situated on approx. 0.31 acres. Property being sold AS-IS. Both units are currently rented. Call for showing today.
-
2026-04-28status Price Change
Show marketing remark (389 chars)
PRICE REDUCTION!! Property converted into a duplex. Apartment A consists of 2 bedrooms 1 bath, living/dining/kitchen combination, storage room, window heat/air unit. Apartment B consists of the living/dining combination, kitchen downstairs and bedroom and bath upstairs, situated on approx. 0.31 acres. Property being sold AS-IS. Both units are currently rented. Call for showing today.
-
2026-04-28price $115,000 389-char remark
Show marketing remark (389 chars)
PRICE REDUCTION!! Property converted into a duplex. Apartment A consists of 2 bedrooms 1 bath, living/dining/kitchen combination, storage room, window heat/air unit. Apartment B consists of the living/dining combination, kitchen downstairs and bedroom and bath upstairs, situated on approx. 0.31 acres. Property being sold AS-IS. Both units are currently rented. Call for showing today.
-
2026-04-28price $115,000
Show marketing remark (389 chars)
PRICE REDUCTION!! Property converted into a duplex. Apartment A consists of 2 bedrooms 1 bath, living/dining/kitchen combination, storage room, window heat/air unit. Apartment B consists of the living/dining combination, kitchen downstairs and bedroom and bath upstairs, situated on approx. 0.31 acres. Property being sold AS-IS. Both units are currently rented. Call for showing today.
-
2026-04-26historical 389-char remark
Show marketing remark (389 chars)
PRICE REDUCTION!! Property converted into a duplex. Apartment A consists of 2 bedrooms 1 bath, living/dining/kitchen combination, storage room, window heat/air unit. Apartment B consists of the living/dining combination, kitchen downstairs and bedroom and bath upstairs, situated on approx. 0.31 acres. Property being sold AS-IS. Both units are currently rented. Call for showing today.
-
2026-04-26historical
Show marketing remark (389 chars)
PRICE REDUCTION!! Property converted into a duplex. Apartment A consists of 2 bedrooms 1 bath, living/dining/kitchen combination, storage room, window heat/air unit. Apartment B consists of the living/dining combination, kitchen downstairs and bedroom and bath upstairs, situated on approx. 0.31 acres. Property being sold AS-IS. Both units are currently rented. Call for showing today.
-
2026-03-27status Back On Market
Show marketing remark (389 chars)
PRICE REDUCTION!! Property converted into a duplex. Apartment A consists of 2 bedrooms 1 bath, living/dining/kitchen combination, storage room, window heat/air unit. Apartment B consists of the living/dining combination, kitchen downstairs and bedroom and bath upstairs, situated on approx. 0.31 acres. Property being sold AS-IS. Both units are currently rented. Call for showing today.
-
2026-03-27status Back On Market 389-char remark
Show marketing remark (389 chars)
PRICE REDUCTION!! Property converted into a duplex. Apartment A consists of 2 bedrooms 1 bath, living/dining/kitchen combination, storage room, window heat/air unit. Apartment B consists of the living/dining combination, kitchen downstairs and bedroom and bath upstairs, situated on approx. 0.31 acres. Property being sold AS-IS. Both units are currently rented. Call for showing today.
-
2026-03-23historical 389-char remark
Show marketing remark (389 chars)
PRICE REDUCTION!! Property converted into a duplex. Apartment A consists of 2 bedrooms 1 bath, living/dining/kitchen combination, storage room, window heat/air unit. Apartment B consists of the living/dining combination, kitchen downstairs and bedroom and bath upstairs, situated on approx. 0.31 acres. Property being sold AS-IS. Both units are currently rented. Call for showing today.
-
2026-03-23historical
Show marketing remark (389 chars)
PRICE REDUCTION!! Property converted into a duplex. Apartment A consists of 2 bedrooms 1 bath, living/dining/kitchen combination, storage room, window heat/air unit. Apartment B consists of the living/dining combination, kitchen downstairs and bedroom and bath upstairs, situated on approx. 0.31 acres. Property being sold AS-IS. Both units are currently rented. Call for showing today.
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2026-02-02price $119,900 389-char remark
Show marketing remark (389 chars)
PRICE REDUCTION!! Property converted into a duplex. Apartment A consists of 2 bedrooms 1 bath, living/dining/kitchen combination, storage room, window heat/air unit. Apartment B consists of the living/dining combination, kitchen downstairs and bedroom and bath upstairs, situated on approx. 0.31 acres. Property being sold AS-IS. Both units are currently rented. Call for showing today.
-
2026-02-02price $119,900
Show marketing remark (389 chars)
PRICE REDUCTION!! Property converted into a duplex. Apartment A consists of 2 bedrooms 1 bath, living/dining/kitchen combination, storage room, window heat/air unit. Apartment B consists of the living/dining combination, kitchen downstairs and bedroom and bath upstairs, situated on approx. 0.31 acres. Property being sold AS-IS. Both units are currently rented. Call for showing today.
-
2026-01-23price $125,000 389-char remark
Show marketing remark (389 chars)
PRICE REDUCTION!! Property converted into a duplex. Apartment A consists of 2 bedrooms 1 bath, living/dining/kitchen combination, storage room, window heat/air unit. Apartment B consists of the living/dining combination, kitchen downstairs and bedroom and bath upstairs, situated on approx. 0.31 acres. Property being sold AS-IS. Both units are currently rented. Call for showing today.
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2025-12-10price $125,000
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2025-10-23price $129,900 389-char remark
Show marketing remark (389 chars)
PRICE REDUCTION!! Property converted into a duplex. Apartment A consists of 2 bedrooms 1 bath, living/dining/kitchen combination, storage room, window heat/air unit. Apartment B consists of the living/dining combination, kitchen downstairs and bedroom and bath upstairs, situated on approx. 0.31 acres. Property being sold AS-IS. Both units are currently rented. Call for showing today.
-
2025-10-23price $129,900
Show marketing remark (389 chars)
PRICE REDUCTION!! Property converted into a duplex. Apartment A consists of 2 bedrooms 1 bath, living/dining/kitchen combination, storage room, window heat/air unit. Apartment B consists of the living/dining combination, kitchen downstairs and bedroom and bath upstairs, situated on approx. 0.31 acres. Property being sold AS-IS. Both units are currently rented. Call for showing today.
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2025-09-24$134,900 New 389-char remark
Show marketing remark (389 chars)
PRICE REDUCTION!! Property converted into a duplex. Apartment A consists of 2 bedrooms 1 bath, living/dining/kitchen combination, storage room, window heat/air unit. Apartment B consists of the living/dining combination, kitchen downstairs and bedroom and bath upstairs, situated on approx. 0.31 acres. Property being sold AS-IS. Both units are currently rented. Call for showing today.
-
2025-09-24$134,900 New
Show marketing remark (389 chars)
PRICE REDUCTION!! Property converted into a duplex. Apartment A consists of 2 bedrooms 1 bath, living/dining/kitchen combination, storage room, window heat/air unit. Apartment B consists of the living/dining combination, kitchen downstairs and bedroom and bath upstairs, situated on approx. 0.31 acres. Property being sold AS-IS. Both units are currently rented. Call for showing today.
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2024-02-10historical
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2023-11-01price $131,500
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2023-10-09price $139,900
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2023-08-23price $142,500
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2023-08-05$150,000 New
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2014-09-18price $15,000
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2014-04-22soldstatus $15,000 Sold
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2014-03-21status Under Contract
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2014-03-21price $39,900
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2013-12-11$39,900 New
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2013-11-01historical
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2013-07-17$39,900 New
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,713 · $143/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,713 · $143/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 60% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,121
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$1,713
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,370
- − Management
- −$1,370
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable income
- $2,306
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$554
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,447/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Thomaston-Upson County
- NCES district ID
- 1305280
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,757
- Composite
- 21.44/100
- National rank
- #8338
- State rank
- #123 of 174 in GA
Livability — Thomaston
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #455
- US rank
- #21482
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Thomaston, GA
- City population
- 24,616
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,616
Population outlook (Upson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 24,396 people
- By 2030
- 23,158 · -5.1%
- By 2040
- 20,522 · -15.9%
- By 2050
- 17,828 · -26.9%
- By 2075
- 12,216 · -49.9%
- By 2100
- 7,779 · -68.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Black 27% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Upson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.7) · D 30.0% · R 69.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.5pp toward R · 2008: -28.3pp · 2024: -39.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.7 2020: R+34.1 2016: R+35.0 2012: R+29.1 2008: R+28.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -54.56%
- Current HPI
- 316.6771
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
Price history
+188.2% since first listed30 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-28 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2026-04-28 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2026-04-28 Price Changed $115,000 GAMLS
- 2026-04-28 Price Changed $115,000 GAMLS
- 2026-04-26 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2026-04-26 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2026-03-27 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2026-03-27 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2026-03-23 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2026-03-23 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2026-02-02 Price Changed $119,900 GAMLS
- 2026-02-02 Price Changed $119,900 GAMLS
- 2026-01-23 Price Changed $125,000 GAMLS
- 2025-12-10 Price Changed $125,000 GAMLS
- 2025-10-23 Price Changed $129,900 GAMLS
- 2025-10-23 Price Changed $129,900 GAMLS
- 2025-09-24 Listed $134,900 GAMLS
- 2025-09-24 Listed $134,900 GAMLS
- 2024-02-10 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2023-11-01 Price Changed $131,500 GAMLS
- 2023-10-09 Price Changed $139,900 GAMLS
- 2023-08-23 Price Changed $142,500 GAMLS
- 2023-08-05 Listed $150,000 GAMLS
- 2014-09-18 Price Changed $15,000 GAMLS
- 2014-04-22 Sold (MLS) $15,000 GAMLS
- 2014-03-21 Pending — GAMLS
- 2014-03-21 Price Changed $39,900 GAMLS
- 2013-12-11 Listed $39,900 GAMLS
- 2013-11-01 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2013-07-17 Listed $39,900 GAMLS
Property tax history
+6.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,713 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…