Fourplex
3514 12th Ave · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 62.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +8.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +5.5/30.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.1/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
$2,199,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
EXTRA-LARGE(3200 SQFT-21x78 HOUSE SIZE) FULLY DETACHED 100% BRICK PHENOMENAL 4 FAMILY HOME(IN EXCELLENT CONDITION)+ FULL FINISHED BASEMENT WITH SEPARATE FRONT ENTRANCE + SHARED DRIVEWAY IDEALLY SITUATED IN A MOST DESIRABLE BORO-PARK/KENSINGTON LOCATION- SURROUNDED BY ALL TRANSPORTATION, SHOPPING, FINE SCHOOLS & HOUSES OF WORSHIP. .. THIS BEAUTIFULLY WELL-MAINTAINED FABULOUS 4 FAMILY PROPERTY WHICH CAN BE DELIVERED VACANT, IS PERFECT FOR ANY & ALL TYPES OF BUYERS(INVESTORS, END-USERS, BUILDERS & DEVELOPERS). .. YOU ABSOLUTLEY WILL NOT WANT TO MISS OUT ON THIS OUTSTANDING OPPORTUNITY TO OWN A PRIZED PIECE OF REAL ESTATE IN ONE OF BROOKLYN'S MOST DESIRABLE AND SOUGHT-AFTER NE
Key facts
- 2,250 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Built 1931
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Four-unit multifamily (4 units total); Unit 1: 1-bedroom, 1-bath, 3 rooms — month-to-month tenancy; Unit 2: 2-bedroom, 1-bath, 4 rooms — month-to-month tenancy; Unit 3: 2-bedroom, 1-bath, 5 rooms — month-to-month tenancy; Unit 4: 2-bedroom, 1-bath, 5 rooms — month-to-month tenancy
- Financial info: Rental income reported: $8,800 (presumably monthly); Financing options considered: exchange, bank mortgage, cash; Utility expense noted
Exterior
- Parking: Shared driveway with 1 parking space
- Utilities: 220V electric; Gas for heating and hot water; Utilities recorded (expense listed separately)
- Home design: Detached building; Residential property; Flat roof; Poured concrete foundation; Brick construction; Building footprint approximately 78 x 21; Zoning: R5
- Construction: Brick exterior; Flat roof; Poured concrete foundation
- Exterior features: Back yard; Shared drive
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Stove
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on level 1; Four bedrooms on level 2; Four separate residential units (unit counts provided below)
- Flooring: Hardwood floors; Ceramic floors; Tile floors
- Bathrooms: Five full bathrooms total (two on level 1, two on level 2); Each unit includes at least one full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: No central AC units listed; Heating by baseboard and steam/radiator; Gas hot water
- Interior features: Deck; Porch; Finished, full basement with separate entrance; Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Stove; Other
- Laundry & utility: In-unit laundry area; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4 × 3-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $2.20M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-5k ($-56k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-1k/mo.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $1.53M (30.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.34M (39.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $1.34M (39.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 3.8% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.3%/yr); 163 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 10,063 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (9,789 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $13,357/mo this rent would consume 165% of the median local household income ($97k/yr) (locally 4459% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $146k of equity ($15k loan paydown + $130k appreciation (5.9% local appreciation)).
- Kings County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$233k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 90 days — a 6% lower offer ($2.07M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1931 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 62% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 90 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 39% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1931 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.61% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.76%
- Cash-on-cash
- -9.05%
- DSCR
- 0.60
- GRM
- 13.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.93% appreciation · 5.35% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.59×
- Total profit
- $362,419
- Equity at exit
- $1,372,618
- IRR
- 10.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.23×
- Total profit
- $1,372,723
- Equity at exit
- $2,480,790
Cash invested: $615,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 11218
- Home prices YoY
- 1.7%
- Rents YoY
- 5.3%
- Active inventory
- 163
- Price-to-rent
- 54.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $13,357 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$11,532
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$2,749 /mo · $32,985/yr
- Insurance
- −$916
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$2,805
- Net cashflow
- $-4,645
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-3,125 | -5% $-3,885 | +0% $-4,645 | +5% $-5,405 | +10% $-6,164 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-5,700 | -5% $-5,172 | +0% $-4,645 | +5% $-4,117 | +10% $-3,590 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-3,537 | -0.5pp $-4,085 | base $-4,645 | +0.5pp $-5,215 | +1.0pp $-5,794 |
4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4× units | 3 | 1.5 | $13,356 |
| #1 | 3 | 1.5 | $3,339 |
| #2 | 3 | 1.5 | $3,339 |
| #3 | 3 | 1.5 | $3,339 |
| #4 | 3 | 1.5 | $3,339 |
| Total (4 units) | $13,357 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $549,750
- Closing costs
- $65,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $2,199,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $2,199,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $2,199,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $2,199,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $2,199,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $2,199,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $2,199,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $2,199,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $2,199,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $2,199,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $2,199,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-03-20$2,199,000 Active
-
2025-11-25price $2,550,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 62% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $160,284
- − Mortgage interest
- −$123,178
- − Property taxes
- −$32,985
- − Insurance
- −$10,995
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$12,823
- − Management
- −$12,823
- − Depreciation
- −$63,971
- Taxable loss
- −$96,491
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$23,158
- After-tax cash flow
- $-32,579/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Kings County · 2,614,986 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 72,042
- Household income
- $97,366
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4459.0
Population outlook (Kings County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,847,441 people
- By 2030
- 2,937,006 · +3.1%
- By 2040
- 3,095,491 · +8.7%
- By 2050
- 3,228,968 · +13.4%
- By 2075
- 3,321,723 · +16.7%
- By 2100
- 3,111,387 · +9.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 49% Asian 18% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 11% Black 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 5% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Scotch-Irish 4% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 33% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 50% English-only · Other Indo-European 13% Spanish 12% German/W. Germanic 9%
Political lean MEDSL · Kings
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+44.0) · D 72.0% · R 28.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.5pp toward R · 2008: 59.4pp · 2024: 44.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+44.0 2020: D+54.8 2016: D+61.8 2012: D+63.9 2008: D+59.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.93%
- Current HPI
- 361.9653
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.35%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
-13.8% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-20 Listed $2,199,000 BNYMLS
- 2025-11-25 Price Changed $2,550,000 BNYMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…